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Manchester United vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
The final match of the calendar year in the Premier League will take us to Old Trafford where Manchester United will be facing off against Newcastle United on Monday night. The Red Devils have slipped to 14th in the league standings while the Magpies are up to fifth leading up to the halfway stage. Check out our match prediction below!
Man United have enjoyed success in this fixture, losing only one of their last 39 home league matches against this opponent, which was way back in 2013 when David Moyes was still at the helm. However, Newcastle have won two of their last three Premier League games against the Red Devils - as many as they managed in their previous 16 encounters with them.
There is very little to choose between these two according to the latest bookmaker odds, but given their recent record, it’s unsurprising to see the visitors installed as marginal favourites. Who will end the year on a high? Let’s get into the key stats and try to find out.
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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester United v Newcastle Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.7 | 3.4 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.6 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.62 | 3.6 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.73 | 3.83 | 2.51 |
|
|
2.73 | 3.83 | 2.51 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.6 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.66 | 3.72 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.66 | 3.72 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.55 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.66 | 3.72 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.6 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.73 | 3.69 | 2.52 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.6 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.55 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.6 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.72 | 3.7 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.62 | 3.6 | 2.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester United and Newcastle?
Our prediction for the Manchester United vs Newcastle match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/12/2024 between Manchester United and Newcastle in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.87% for a win of Manchester United against Newcastle with odds of 2.75 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester United vs Newcastle is 15.17% with odds of 3.83 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.95% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Manchester United with odds of 2.55 at Bet365.
Manchester United vs Newcastle Form
Manchester United and Newcastle's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
29 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
|
14
|
22 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -3 |
Manchester United and Newcastle Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
19 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
10 Nov 2024 - Premier League
7 Nov 2024 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
19 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
24 Nov 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
25 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
30 Nov 2024 - Premier League
10 Nov 2024 - Premier League
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
Manchester United vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 May 2024 - Premier League
2 Dec 2023 - Premier League
1 Nov 2023 - Carabao Cup
2 Apr 2023 - Premier League
26 Feb 2023 - Carabao Cup
16 Oct 2022 - Premier League
Manchester United - Newcastle: Form Analysis
It has been a tough start to life in Manchester for new boss Ruben Amorim, who saw his side suffer a 2-0 defeat to relegation candidates Wolverhampton Wanderers on Boxing Day.
That was the third defeat in a row across all competitions that the Red Devils conceded, a period during which they were dumped out of the Carabao Cup by Tottenham Hotspur.
United have also lost their last two home games to Nottingham Forest and AFC Bournemouth. They have also conceded two or more goals in four of their five league games this month.
No team has lost more Premier League games since the start of December than Man United (4)!
Meanwhile, Newcastle United have been on an upward trajectory of late and enter this match off the back of a very impressive 3-0 victory over Aston Villa at home on Boxing Day.
The Toons are now on a four-match win streak across all competitions, and unlike their upcoming opponents, got through to the Carabao Cup semi-final with a 3-1 win against Brentford.
The visitors have split their last six away games two wins, two draws and two defeats, but have only failed to score in one of their nine league matches on the road this term.
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Manchester United vs Newcastle last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
L. Shaw
V. Lindelof
MidfielderM. Mount
N. Pope
DefenderJ. Lascelles
S. Botman
E. Krafth
ForwardC. Wilson
Manchester United & Newcastle Squad Analysis
Man United will be without the services of their skipper Bruno Fernandes for this match after he was sent off for the third time this season during the loss to Wolves on Boxing Day.
Manuel Ugarte is another player who will feature for the Red Devils this week, as he was shown his fifth yellow card of the campaign in the same match and will have to serve a one-match suspension.
Victor Lindelof (knock), Mason Mount (muscle) and Luke Shaw are the three injury absentees for the hosts in this one.
Will Marcus Rashford be recalled to the Man United squad this week?
Newcastle received an injury boost ahead of their Boxing Day fixture against Aston Villa, with Matt Targett being cleared fit to return to the squad after a spell on the sidelines.
However, Nick Pope is still a doubt owing to a knock which should see Martin Dubravka continue between the sticks if the England international is unable to return in time.
Emil Krafth (collarbone), Jamaal Lascelles (cruciate ligament) and Callum Wilson (hamstring) are ruled out through injury and only expected back in the New Year.
Most goals and assists
Manchester United
Newcastle
R. Hojlund
(7 Goals)
, 
M. Rashford
(7 Goals)
, 
A. Garnacho
(7 Goals)
A. Isak
(12 Goals)
B. Fernandes
(10 Assists)
J. Murphy
(6 Assists)
Manchester United and Newcastle Stats in Premier League
Manchester United - Newcastle Key Points
- Five of Manchester United’s last eight league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Manchester United have conceded two or more goals in four of their last five league matches.
- Manchester United have scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 home games.
- Six of Newcastle United’s last eight league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Newcastle United have scored two or more goals in each of their last five league matches.
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Our Manchester United vs Newcastle Prediction
While Man United have been in a slump of late, their defeat to Bournemouth was the first time they have failed to find the back of the net on their home patch since the end of October against Spurs.
Newcastle, meanwhile, have an in-form Alexander Isak leading the line expertly at present, with the Swede netting in each of his last five league games ahead of this one. This match feels like one where we will see plenty of goalmouth action. Our Manchester United vs Newcastle United prediction is over 2.5.
Manchester United vs Newcastle - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
Manchester United have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five league games but have scored two or more in four of their last six at home. Newcastle United have scored two or more in each of their last five but have only kept one clean sheet in five on the road.
Use £30 free bets for the Manchester United vs. Newcastle game!
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Try your luck on this year's Premier League! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Manchester United vs Newcastle match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Manchester United and Newcastle United will be played on December 30 at 20:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Manchester United and Newcastle United will take place at Old Trafford in Manchester.
The Premier League match between Manchester United and Newcastle United will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the Premier League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Simon Hooper will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Adrian Holmes, Simon Long and Andy Madley as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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