England - Carabao Cup

Manchester United

26 Feb 2023 11:30

Newcastle

Prediction :

Manchester United wins the match

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Manchester United vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup

Prediction published on 23/02/2023, 18:00 by Steve Ashfield | Modified on 26/02/2023 at 10:30 in Carabao Cup Predictions

The first English domestic trophy of the 2022/23 season will be won on Sunday. Manchester United take on Newcastle United in the Carabao Cup final. Both clubs are in the top five of the English Premier League with Man Utd third and seven points clear of fifth placed Newcastle. Manchester United haven't won a trophy for five years and as for Newcastle, you have to go back to the 1950s for their last major domestic cup success. A win for Newcastle would be the first time they have lifted the EFL Cup, now known for sponsorship reasons as the Carabao Cup Manchester United are bidding to win the cup for the sixth time.

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There is no shortage of betting markets for this final. To win in 90 minutes, Manchester United are the 2.2 favourites to win with Newcastle available at 3.4. If you believe the game will end in a draw after 90 minutes, the odds are 3.3. Alternatively, you can bet on which side will lift the trophy. Manchester United are 1.62 and Newcastle 2.3. Marcus Rashford keeps on scoring goals and he's 4.5 to score the first goal and 2.3 to score anytime. Last year's Carabao Cup final went to penalties, it's 10.0 on Manchester United winning via a penalty shootout with Newcastle at 11.0.

Manchester United vs Newcastle Form

Manchester United and Newcastle Last Matches

Manchester United Last matches

All Home Away

W D W D W W

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals

67% BTTS

2.17 Goals scored

1 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

23 Feb 2023 - Europa League

Manchester United

2 : 1

Barcelona

19 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United

3 : 0

Leicester

16 Feb 2023 - Europa League

Barcelona

2 : 2

Manchester United

12 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Leeds

0 : 2

Manchester United

8 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United

2 : 2

Leeds

4 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United

2 : 1

Crystal Palace

W W W D W W

Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals

67% BTTS

2.33 Goals scored

0.83 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

23 Feb 2023 - Europa League

Manchester United

2 : 1

Barcelona

19 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United

3 : 0

Leicester

8 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United

2 : 2

Leeds

4 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United

2 : 1

Crystal Palace

1 Feb 2023 - Carabao Cup

Manchester United

2 : 0

Nottingham Forest

28 Jan 2023 - FA Cup

Manchester United

3 : 1

Reading

W D L W W D

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.83 Goals scored

1 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

16 Feb 2023 - Europa League

Barcelona

2 : 2

Manchester United

12 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Leeds

0 : 2

Manchester United

25 Jan 2023 - Carabao Cup

Nottingham Forest

0 : 3

Manchester United

22 Jan 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal

3 : 2

Manchester United

18 Jan 2023 - Premier League

Crystal Palace

1 : 1

Manchester United

31 Dec 2022 - Premier League

Wolves

0 : 1

Manchester United

Newcastle Last matches

All Home Away

D W W D D L

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals

50% BTTS

0.83 Goals scored

0.83 Goals conceded

17% Over 2.5

83% Under 2.5

18 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle

0 : 2

Liverpool

11 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Bournemouth

1 : 1

Newcastle

4 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle

1 : 1

West Ham

31 Jan 2023 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle

2 : 1

Southampton

24 Jan 2023 - Carabao Cup

Southampton

0 : 1

Newcastle

21 Jan 2023 - Premier League

Crystal Palace

0 : 0

Newcastle

D W W W D L

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals

33% BTTS

1 Goals scored

0.67 Goals conceded

17% Over 2.5

83% Under 2.5

18 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle

0 : 2

Liverpool

4 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle

1 : 1

West Ham

31 Jan 2023 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle

2 : 1

Southampton

15 Jan 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle

1 : 0

Fulham

10 Jan 2023 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle

2 : 0

Leicester

31 Dec 2022 - Premier League

Newcastle

0 : 0

Leeds

W D L D W D

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals

33% BTTS

1 Goals scored

0.5 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

11 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Bournemouth

1 : 1

Newcastle

24 Jan 2023 - Carabao Cup

Southampton

0 : 1

Newcastle

21 Jan 2023 - Premier League

Crystal Palace

0 : 0

Newcastle

7 Jan 2023 - FA Cup

Sheffield Wednesday

2 : 1

Newcastle

3 Jan 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal

0 : 0

Newcastle

26 Dec 2022 - Premier League

Leicester

0 : 3

Newcastle

Manchester United against Newcastle : Head to Head (H2H)

Manchester United

67 %

Draw

33 %

Newcastle

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5

Total goals

83%

BTTS

2.67

Goals scored (Team 1)

0.83

Goals scored (Team 2)

67%

Over 2.5

33%

Under 2.5

16 Oct 2022 - Premier League

Manchester United

0 : 0

Newcastle

27 Dec 2021 - Premier League

Newcastle

1 : 1

Manchester United

11 Sep 2021 - Premier League

Manchester United

4 : 1

Newcastle

21 Feb 2021 - Premier League

Manchester United

3 : 1

Newcastle

17 Oct 2020 - Premier League

Newcastle

1 : 4

Manchester United

26 Dec 2019 - Premier League

Manchester United

4 : 1

Newcastle

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Manchester United - Newcastle: Form Analysis

Manchester United are the clear form pick to win the Carabao Cup final. They are unbeaten in their last nine games with the most recent win being the 2-1 home victory over Barcelona. The only loss sustained in their last 20 competitive matches was away at league leaders Arsenal and that was to a very late goal. United have scored at least twice in each of their last ten matches. Marcus Rashford has been prolific since the season resumed (and didn't do too bad in the World Cup either). He's scored 16 goals in his last 18 games and his blank against Barca ended a run of scoring in six straight matches. United beat Aston Villa, Burnley, Charlton and Nottingham Forest to reach this final, not the hardest route to the final. Away from Old Trafford, they have only that loss to the Gunners in their last seven competitive fixtures with Rashford scoring in five of the last six.

Newcastle United have been struggling for wins of late. They come into this final without a win in their last three matches. Their most recent match was a 2-0 home loss to Liverpool. Before that, they'd had two 1-1 draws with West Ham United and Bournemouth who are both struggling at the bottom of the Premier League. The goals aren't flowing for Newcastle with only two scored in the last three matches. Only twice in their last 11 league and cup games have they scored more than once. Away from home, United have only one win in their last five games with three draws and just three goals scored. That one win was important though as it was the 1-0 win at Southampton in the first leg of the semi-finals. To reach this final, the Magpies have beaten Tranmere Rovers (who they trailed 1-0 to), Crystal Palace (on penalties), Bournemouth, Leicester and Southampton.

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Manchester United against Newcastle Lineups: Starting 11

Manchester United

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

D. De Gea

D. Dalot

R. Varane

L. Martinez

L. Shaw

Fred

Casemiro

Antony

B. Fernandes

M. Rashford

W. Weghorst

A. Saint-Maximin

C. Wilson

M. Almiron

Joelinton

B. Guimaraes

S. Longstaff

D. Burn

S. Botman

F. Schar

K. Trippier

L. Karius

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Newcastle

Manchester United & Newcastle Squad Analysis

Newcastle United will be without their goalkeeper Nick Pope. He was sent off against Liverpool last weekend and is banned for this cup final. He's likely to be replaced by Loris Karius as their number two goalie Martin Dubravka is cup-tied. If Karius does play, it'll be his debut. Joe Willcock is also doubtful after suffering a hamstring injury. Eddie Howe believes that his player will be fit for this game. Matt Targett may return to the squad and the highly influential Bruno Guimaraes has completed his three-game suspension and is likely to start on Sunday.

Another player back from a domestic suspension is Manchester United's Casemiro. He's expected to start this match. Maguire and Martial both have injuries but could make the bench. Marcus Rashford is fit and he'll be hoping to end a disastrous scoring drought of one game. He'd scored in his previous five games before failing to get on the scoresheet against Barcelona on Thursday.

Most goals and assists

Manchester United

Newcastle

Top Goalscorer

M. Rashford (29 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

C. Wilson (18 Goals)

Best assists

B. Fernandes (12 Assists)

Best assists

K. Trippier (7 Assists)

Manchester United - Newcastle Key Points

Manchester United are unbeaten in their last nine games.
Newcastle United have gone three games without a win.
Newcastle have only scored twice in their last three games.
Manchester United are unbeaten in their last six games against Newcastle.
Manchester United have scored at least twice in each of their last nine games.

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Our Manchester United vs Newcastle Prediction

Manchester United can win this Carabao Cup final. It'll be their first major trophy since 2017 and they are the clear form pick. They have Marcus Rashford in the form of his life, even Erling Haaland is starting to get jealous. Thursday saw them beat Barcelona to home to qualify for the last 16 of the Europa League. Form away from Old Trafford is also solid with only one loss in the last seven games. Newcastle United have been in good form this season but they haven't been firing on all cylinders in recent weeks. They are still fourth in the Premier League but have only three points from their last four league games, none of which have been won. Newcastle aren't scoring many goals at present, unlike their opponents. Our Manchester United v Newcastle United main prediction is a win for the Red Devils in 90 minutes.

Prediction :

Manchester United wins the match

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Manchester United vs Newcastle - Other Interesting Predictions

Manchester United to lift the trophy

Odds 1.62

If you want to avoid any problems caused by a draw after 90 minutes, then back Manchester United to lift the trophy. Newcastle do tend to draw a lot (three in the last four Premier League games) and the last two matches between these two sides ended level.

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Marcus Rashford to score anytime

Odds 2.3

Rashford just keeps on scoring for Manchester United with 16 in the last 18 games. A bet on him to score in this match has to be placed.

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Manchester United vs Newcastle match : Frequently asked questions

The Carabao Cup final between Manchester United and Newcastle United kicks off on Sunday February 26 at 4.30pm.

This Carabao Cup final is being shown live on Sky Sports Main Event. You do need a subscription or a NOW TV Day Pass to see this game. You can also follow it on the Sportytrader LiveScore page with live text updates and a lot more.

The Carabao Cup final will be played at Wembley Stadium in North London.

The weather forecast for the Carabao Cup final is for it to be partly cloudy. A temperature of eight degrees celcius is forecasted.

David Coote will referee the 2022/23 Carabao Cup final between Manchester United and Newcastle United. It'll be the second Wembly final that he's refereed. The other was the 2014 League One Play-off final nine years ago. He's been refereeing Premier League games since 2018.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.