England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions
Manchester United begin an important week and the Premier League may not be their top priority. United are 13th in the Premier League and on Sunday are home to fifth-placed Manchester City. Can the Citizens get a vital away win? Read our match prediction.
While the Reds are struggling to even secure a top ten finish, they could be in next season's Champions League and City might not. United travel to Lyon in the Europa League quarter-finals in midweek. WInning that competition looks to be the only chance United have of playing in European football next season. That's something their owners and accountants definitely want to see happen.
Manchester City are fifth in the Premier League, a point behind Chelsea in fourth and one above sixth-placed Newcastle. They did at least win in midweek but the thought of not qualifying for the Champions League is something that will drive them on in the final weeks of this season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester United v Manchester City Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.3 | 3.6 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.75 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.3 | 2.5 | 2.37 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.69 | 2.08 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.69 | 2.08 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester United and Manchester City?
Our prediction for the Manchester United vs Manchester City match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/04/2025 between Manchester United and Manchester City in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.49% for a win of Manchester United against Manchester City with odds of 3.6 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester United vs Manchester City is 20.78% with odds of 3.76 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs Manchester United with odds of 2.37 at Ladbrokes.
Manchester United - Manchester City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Manchester United Manchester City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester United wins | 41.49% | 3.6 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.38% | 1.83 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 72.5% | 1.59 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time : Manchester United/Manchester United | 14.76% | 5.7 at Betsson |
Manchester United vs Manchester City Form
Manchester United and Manchester City's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
61 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 23 |
|
14
|
38 | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | -8 |
Manchester United and Manchester City Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Mar 2025 - Premier League
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
2 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
2 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
7 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
2 Feb 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Mar 2025 - Premier League
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
16 Feb 2025 - Premier League
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
30 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
1 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
1 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
2 Feb 2025 - Premier League
Manchester United vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Community Shield
25 May 2024 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2024 - Premier League
29 Oct 2023 - Premier League
3 Jun 2023 - FA Cup
Manchester United - Manchester City: Form Analysis
Manchester United were beaten 1-0 at Nottingham Forest in midweek. That ended a run of four Premier League games without defeat but the Red Devils remain in the bottom half of the table.
Home form is a worry for United.
Results at Old Trafford have not been impressive in this season's Premier League. Only six of their 15 games have been won but seven have been lost. Only one of their last four home league fixtures has been won. Four of their last five home league games have seen both teams score.
Manchester City face a battle to secure a place in next season's Champions League. Only four points separate them from eighth-placed Brighton and Hove Albion. Only one of their last four Premier League games has been lost.
None of their final eight fixtures sees them face a side currently in the top six. On the road this season, the Blues have won six league games but lost the same number. Three of their last five matches in all competitions have seen both teams score.
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Players list
A. Onana
DefenderL. Yoro
V. Lindelof
N. Mazraoui
D. Dalot
P. Dorgu
MidfielderM. Mount
Casemiro
B. Fernandes
ForwardA. Garnacho
J. Zirkzee
Ederson
DefenderR. Dias
J. Gvardiol
MidfielderM. Nunes
R. Lewis
M. Kovacic
B. Silva
J. Grealish
K. De Bruyne
J. Doku
ForwardO. Marmoush
Substitutes
A. Bayindir
DefenderH. Amass
L. Shaw
V. Lindelof
G. Kukonki
MidfielderM. Mount
C. Eriksen
ForwardJ. Zirkzee
C. Obi-Martin
S. Ortega
DefenderR. Lewis
V. Reis
A. Khusanov
MidfielderJ. Grealish
Savinho
N. Gonzalez
J. McAtee
ForwardJ. Doku
Missing players
J. Evans
L. Martinez
A. Heaven
MidfielderA. Diallo
K. Mainoo
M. Akanji
J. Stones
N. Ake
MidfielderO. Bobb
Rodri
ForwardE. Haaland
Manchester United & Manchester City Squad Analysis
Manchester City will be without Erling Haaland. He's expected to be out for the next seven weeks. Normally, losing such a prolific scorer would be terrible news for a club. While City aren't delighted with the situation, they do have Omar Marmoush.
He has been in good scoring form for City since joining them in January. The Egyptian was on target again in midweek against Leicester City and that means he has scored in three successive games for his new club.
Kevin De Bruyne is fit and is likely to be on the bench as he winds up his career at the Etihad. Although he is not the force of old, the Belgian can still cause his opposing midfielders plenty of problems. Jack Grealish scored in midweek and is expected to keep De Bruyne out of the starting line-up.
Maguire can go back to defending.
Manchester United lost again in midweek and continue to have several injury problems. How they must love seeing Rashford and Antony in good form while on loan with other clubs. The Forest match highlighted their problems when having to play Harry Maguire up front.
He's expected to return to defence for this game against Manchester City. Matthijs de Ligt is a doubt for this game after being injured in midweek. Mason Mount came on as a sub against Forest and may start there again on Sunday.
.
Most goals and assists
Manchester United
Manchester City
B. Fernandes
(15 Goals)
E. Haaland
(29 Goals)
B. Fernandes
(15 Assists)
Savinho
(10 Assists)
Manchester United - Manchester City Key Points
- Eight of the last nine matches played between these two clubs have seen both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in three of City's last five league and cup games.
- Four of the last five Manchester United home league fixtures have seen both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in seven of United's last ten games in all competitions.
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Our Manchester United vs Manchester City Prediction
Manchester City are not in title contention and that doesn't happen a great deal for Pep Guardiola's team. There is still so much to play for though with a Champions League place to clinch and the FA Cup and Club World Cup to be won.
They lack the consistency of their title-winning days and will be without Erling Haaland this week. Manchester United may well have their minds on the Europa League but this is still a derby match. Our main Manchester United v Manchester City prediction is both teams to score.
Manchester United vs Manchester City - Other Interesting Predictions
Omar Marmoush to score
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Manchester United Manchester City
| Manchester United vs Manchester City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United wins | 3.75 | 3.3 | -12.0% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.6 | 0% |
| Manchester City wins | 1.91 | 2.1 | +9.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester United is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 12.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 26.7% and is now 30.3% (3.6%)
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Manchester United vs Manchester City match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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