England - FA Cup
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by Steve Ashfield in FA Cup Predictions
FA Cup holders Manchester United are home to Fulham in the FA Cup fifth round. This is the last 16 of this year's competition with the Reds continuing their attempt to be the first side to retain the trophy since Arsenal in 2015. Here's our match prediction.
United have reached the final for the past two seasons and only one since 2014 have they failed to reach at least the sixth round. With this Manchester United squad you can never quite be sure what they might do next.
Fulham were the losing finalists 50 years ago but lost to West Ham 2-0. The Cottagers last reached the sixth round in 2023 with their best this century being a semi-final in 2002. They are ninth in the Premier League and that's five places and nine points above their opponents. Fulham had a good away win in midweek and will hope to continue that form at Old Trafford on Sunday.
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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester United v Fulham Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.25 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.2 | 3 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.4 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.27 | 3.69 | 3.18 |
|
|
2.27 | 3.69 | 3.18 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester United and Fulham?
Our prediction for the Manchester United vs Fulham match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/03/2025 between Manchester United and Fulham in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.52% for a win of Manchester United against Fulham with odds of 2.46 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester United vs Fulham is 7.44% with odds of 3.7 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Fulham vs Manchester United with odds of 3.9 at Betfair.
Manchester United - Fulham Prediction and Best Odds:
| Manchester United Fulham Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester United wins | 46.52% | 2.46 at Betwinner |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.67% | 1.92 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 71.67% | 1.7 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Manchester United | 25.07% | 6 at Betsson |
Manchester United vs Fulham Form
Manchester United and Fulham Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
16 Feb 2025 - Premier League
7 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
2 Feb 2025 - Premier League
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
7 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
2 Feb 2025 - Premier League
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
19 Jan 2025 - Premier League
16 Jan 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
16 Feb 2025 - Premier League
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
26 Jan 2025 - Premier League
12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
5 Jan 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
26 Jan 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
26 Jan 2025 - Premier League
9 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
5 Jan 2025 - Premier League
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
14 Jan 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
Manchester United vs Fulham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Jan 2025 - Premier League
16 Aug 2024 - Premier League
24 Feb 2024 - Premier League
4 Nov 2023 - Premier League
28 May 2023 - Premier League
19 Mar 2023 - FA Cup
Manchester United - Fulham: Form Analysis
Manchester United beat Ipswich Town in midweek but it was another struggle for the Red Devils. Whiile their Premier League form is inconsistent, United have been getting some good results in cup competitions this season.
They have beaten Arsenal on penalties and Leicester City to reach the fifth round. Both teams scored in each of those FA Cup ties. Five of the last six Manchester United home games have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
Fulham can't stop scoring in away games.
Fulham still have a good chance of European football next season and it could even be in the Champions League. These two clubs met in the FA Cup two years ago and both teams scored in that match. Six of the last nine games between United and Fulham have seen both teams score a goal.
That stat has come up in seven of Fulham's last eight away games. The Londoners have scored exactly twice in all but one of their last nine away games. Watford and Wigan have been beaten in this season's FA Cup, both teams scoring in each game.
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Manchester United against Fulham Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
A. Bayindir
DefenderL. Shaw
J. Evans
L. Martinez
MidfielderA. Diallo
K. Mainoo
K. Tete
ForwardR. Nelson
H. Wilson
Manchester United & Fulham Squad Analysis
Patrick Dorgu was sent off against Ipswich and this wil be the first of a three-match domestic suspension. He joins a growing list of United players who are either injured or suspended. That includes several long-term absentees so they won't have too much chance of rotating their squad.
It'll be more of a case of fielding a side that can be competitive and not too inexperienced. The bench is again likely to be dominated by youngsters which could make life difficult for United if it's not going well in the second half. Noussair Mazraoui is likely to be the replacement for Dorgu.
Garnacho may play but he's on the naughty step.
Alejandro Garnacho is expected to be fit for this game against Fulham. He'll be buying his teammates dinner as a punishment for his behaviour when subbed against Ipswich. They'd probably prefer it if he could rediscover his scoring touch and help them into the sixth round.
Sasa Lukic is suspended for Premier League games but the ban doesn't apply to the FA Cup. He's likely to feature in midfield for Fulham at Old Trafford. That will help them in midfield as Emile Smith-Rowe is very doubtful for this game.
Muniz has scored three goals in his last two away games and may relish playing against United's mistake-prone defence.
Most goals and assists
Manchester United
Fulham
B. Fernandes
(14 Goals)
R. Jimenez
(11 Goals)
B. Fernandes
(14 Assists)
A. Robinson
(10 Assists)
Manchester United - Fulham Key Points
- Seven of the last Fulham away games have seen both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in six of the last nine games between these two clubs.
- Five of the last six Manchester United home games have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
- These two clubs have played four FA Cup ties this season with both teams scoring in all of those games.
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Our Manchester United vs Fulham Prediction
United recently won 1-0 at Fulham in the Premier League. That was one of their rare clean sheets but only one has been kept in their six games since then. Midweek saw the Red Devils struggle to get a 3-2 home win over Ipswich with some pretty appalling defending.
Fulham are above United in the league table and consistently scoring twice on their travels but have only kept one clean sheet in their last eight. Our main Manchester United v Fulham prediction is both teams to score.
Manchester United vs Fulham - Other Interesting Predictions
Rodrigo Muniz to score
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Manchester United Fulham
| Manchester United vs Fulham | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United wins | 1.8 | 2.25 | +25.0% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.4 | -5.6% |
| Fulham wins | 4 | 3.1 | -22.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester United is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 25.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 55.6% and is now 44.4% (-11.1%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Manchester United vs. Fulham game!
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Try your luck on this year's FA Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Manchester United vs Fulham match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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