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Manchester United vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Ian John in Premier League Predictions
Few Premier League games are more compelling or exciting than when Manchester United face Chelsea. The two rivals meet on Sunday at Old Trafford with the Red Devils now under the interim head coach Ruud Van Nistelrooy. Will our prediction back the Blues to continue their good away form, or is this a match that suits an entirely different selection?
Despite a big win in Van Nistelrooy’s first game in midweek (5-2 over Leicester in the Carabao Cup) it has been a miserable Premier League season for Manchester United. They lie 14th and are just one of four teams yet to score ten or more goals in their nine Premier League games so far this season. Defensively, United have been relatively solid, with just eleven goals conceded in those nine games.
Chelsea will be seeking to take advantage of United’s issues in front of goal. The Blues have been excellent away from home, winning three of their four games, scoring 11 goals in total across those matches. With an almost fully fit squad to pick from, manager Enzo Maresca will hope to end Chelsea’s eleven-year run without a win in the league at Old Trafford on Sunday afternoon.
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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester United v Chelsea Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.63 | 3.5 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.62 | 2.7 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.61 | 4.12 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.61 | 4.12 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.6 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.54 | 3.94 | 2.46 |
|
|
2.54 | 3.94 | 2.46 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.7 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.57 | 4 | 2.41 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.75 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.74 | 3.72 | 2.58 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.6 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.65 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.9 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.8 | 2.45 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester United and Chelsea?
Our prediction for the Manchester United vs Chelsea match is: A draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/11/2024 between Manchester United and Chelsea in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.53% for a win of Manchester United against Chelsea with odds of 2.74 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester United vs Chelsea is 18.94% with odds of 4.12 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.53% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Manchester United with odds of 2.7 at Ladbrokes.
Manchester United - Chelsea Prediction and Best Odds:
| Manchester United Chelsea Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester United wins | 41.53% | 2.74 at Vbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.22% | 1.55 at Ladbrokes |
| Both Team To Score | 60.42% | 1.4 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Manchester United/Manchester United | 14.5% | 4.33 at Betfair |
Manchester United vs Chelsea Form
Manchester United and Chelsea's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
19 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
|
13
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
Manchester United and Chelsea Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
6 Oct 2024 - Premier League
3 Oct 2024 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
29 Sep 2024 - Premier League
25 Sep 2024 - Europa League
17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
6 Oct 2024 - Premier League
3 Oct 2024 - Europa League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
24 Oct 2024 - Conference League
20 Oct 2024 - Premier League
6 Oct 2024 - Premier League
3 Oct 2024 - Conference League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
6 Oct 2024 - Premier League
3 Oct 2024 - Conference League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Oct 2024 - Conference League
20 Oct 2024 - Premier League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
29 Aug 2024 - Conference League
Manchester United vs Chelsea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Apr 2024 - Premier League
6 Dec 2023 - Premier League
25 May 2023 - Premier League
22 Oct 2022 - Premier League
28 Apr 2022 - Premier League
28 Nov 2021 - Premier League
Manchester United - Chelsea: Form Analysis
Manchester United come into this game with a change of manager. After Erik Ten Hag’s sacking, Ruud Van Nistelrooy is in interim charge for now.
Ruben Amorim will take full charge at Utd on November 11th.
Van Nistelrooy saw an immediate reaction to the change as United thrashed Leicester City 5-2 in the Carabao Cup in midweek. That was a badly needed and morale-boosting win following their 2-1 loss to West Ham last weekend that was the final straw for Ten Hag.
Goals have been a problem for United at home. They have scored just three in four games at Old Trafford, but conceded seven. They have won just one of their last five games, that a 2-1 home win over Brentford the week before the West Ham defeat.
Chelsea have strong away form this season with three wins and one defeat, plus the Londoners have scored eleven goals (conceding just four) in their four away games.
Yet, the Blues last league win at Old Trafford was in 2013.
Their sole defeat in the last six league games was a 2-1 defeat away to Liverpool. However, they followed that up with a 2-1 win over Newcastle in the league last weekend. Yet, when the teams met in the Carabao Cup at St James’ Park in midweek, Chelsea were beaten 2-0.
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Manchester United against Chelsea Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
L. Shaw
T. Malacia
L. Yoro
H. Maguire
MidfielderK. Mainoo
O. Kellyman
J. Sancho
Manchester United & Chelsea Squad Analysis
Ruud Van Nistelrooy will likely be able to select from the same squad of Man Utd players that humbled Leicester City 5-2 in the Carabao Cup in midweek.
That means Antony, Tyrell Malacia, Harry Maguire, Mason Mount, Leny Yoro, Kobbie Mainoo and Luke Shaw are all absentees through injury. Christian Eriksen, an unexplained absentee against Leicester, could be back for the Chelsea match.
Van Nistelrooy will certainly make some changes from the midweek team. Andre Onana will return in goal, while Rasmus Hojlund will likely replace Joshua Zirkzee and Noussair Mazraoui could come in at right back in place of Victor Lindelof.
Chelsea will be without loanee Jadon Sancho for this game, as the player can’t face his parent club due to the terms of his deal with Chelsea. Youngster Omari Kellyman is the only other injury absentee for Enzo Maresca’s team.
It is hard to see Maresca changing his team too much after their win at Newcastle last weekend. Moises Caicedo and Romeo Lavia seem to be first choice in midfield currently, with Noni Madueke, Cole Palmer and Pedro Neto being an attacking trio behind main striker Nicolas Jackson.
Palmer has been Chelsea’s star man this season with seven goals and five assists. He also grabbed a hat-trick when the two teams met at the end of last season. A game which Chelsea won 4-3.
Most goals and assists
Manchester United
Chelsea
A. Garnacho
(6 Goals)
C. Nkunku
(8 Goals)
B. Fernandes
(6 Assists)
C. Palmer
(5 Assists)
Manchester United - Chelsea Key Points
- Man Utd have drawn five of their last nine games in all competitions.
- Chelsea have only lost one of four games away from home in the league this season.
- Chelsea have not won a league match against Man Utd at Old Trafford since 2013.
- Five of the last eight games between the two teams have finished as a draw.
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Our Manchester United vs Chelsea Prediction
Our prediction for the Manchester United vs. Chelsea Premier League match on Sunday is: A draw.
This is a tricky one to predict. In addition to lots of conflicting data, Chelsea have a great away record, but haven't won a league game at Old Trafford since 2013, United are poor at home, but now have a new manager, both teams have conflicting goal scoring records this season, but concede around the same. Draws have been a common result in recent years between the two, so backing the draw here does seem to be the best option.
Manchester United vs Chelsea - Other Interesting Predictions
Cole Palmer (Chelsea) to score at any time.
Last season, Cole Palmer scored a hat-trick against Manchester United for Chelsea at Stamford Bridge and he has been in sensational scoring form for the Londoners once again this season with seven league goals. The ex-Manchester City man has been Chelsea's best and most consistent player and a reliable source of goals. Chelsea have scored a good number of goals on the road this season in the Premier League and we feel that they are likely to score here.
In which case backing Palmer to score at any time is a good secondary bet to make.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Manchester United Chelsea
| Manchester United vs Chelsea | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United wins | 2.3 | 2.63 | +14.3% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.5 | 0% |
| Chelsea wins | 2.9 | 2.6 | -10.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester United is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 14.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 43.5% and is now 38.0% (-5.5%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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