Manchester United vs Barnsley Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
by Ian John in Carabao Cup Predictions
Old Trafford will host the Carabao Cup Third round tie between Manchester United and Barnsley this week. The Red Devils come into this game in good spirits after a morale-boosting 3-0 win at the weekend away to Southampton. League One’s The Tykes are the massive underdogs in this match. Will our prediction back the favourites, or can the outsiders land an upset win?
Manchester United begin their quest to win the Carabao Cup with this home tie against Barnsley. Erik Ten Hag’s team got back to winning ways this weekend, defeating Southampton 3-0 on the road. That excellent result moved them to ninth in the league table and should ensure they are in good spirits heading into this fixture.
United have won two and lost two games this season, but the strength of their squad, and the fact the manager has traditionally picked strong teams for this competition, makes them the hot favourites to progress into the Fourth round here.
Barnsley boss Darrell Clarke has led his team to seventh in the League One table after six games. However, they were well-beaten at the weekend, losing 3-0 away to Stevenage.
In the Carabao Cup, the Tykes drew 1-1 away to Wigan in the First round, before winning on penalties. They then upset Championship Sheffield United, winning their Second round match 1-0 at Oakwell.
However, this game against Manchester United is a massive step up in class for the Yorkshire team.
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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester United v Barnsley Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.09 | 10 | 21 |
|
|
1.22 | 7 | 12 |
|
|
1.26 | 6.05 | 11.5 |
|
|
1.26 | 6.05 | 11.5 |
|
|
1.22 | 5.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.6 | 10 |
|
|
1.08 | 9 | 22 |
|
|
1.25 | 6 | 11 |
|
|
1.24 | 6 | 11 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester United and Barnsley?
Our prediction for the Manchester United vs Barnsley match is: Man Utd to win and Over 2.5 Goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/09/2024 between Manchester United and Barnsley in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.41% for a win of Manchester United against Barnsley with odds of 1.29 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester United vs Barnsley is 17.48% with odds of 10 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.11% chance ⭐ for a win of Barnsley vs Manchester United with odds of 22 at Stake.
Manchester United - Barnsley Prediction and Best Odds:
| Manchester United Barnsley Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester United wins | 42.41% | 1.29 at Betwinner |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.51% | 1.63 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 45.24% | 2.25 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Barnsley / Full-time: Manchester United | 18.94% | 19 at Bet365 |
Manchester United vs Barnsley Form
Manchester United and Barnsley Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
16 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Community Shield
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - League One
7 Sep 2024 - League One
31 Aug 2024 - League One
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - League One
20 Aug 2024 - EFL Trophy
Players list
A. Bayindir
DefenderM. De Ligt
N. Mazraoui
H. Maguire
MidfielderC. Eriksen
B. Fernandes
T. Collyer
Casemiro
ForwardAntony
A. Diallo
J. Zirkzee
G. Slonina
DefenderC. O'Keeffe
C. McCarthy
M. Durand de Gevigney
MidfielderS. Humphrys
J. Earl
L. Connell
M. Craig
A. Phillips
K. Lofthouse
ForwardS. Cosgrove
Substitutes
T. Heaton
DefenderN. Mazraoui
L. Martinez
M. De Ligt
B. Fernandes
A. Diallo
K. Mainoo
ForwardJ. Zirkzee
E. Wheatley
B. Killip
DefenderC. McCarthy
M. Craig
J. Benson
J. Russell
ForwardS. Cosgrove
K. Lofthouse
A. Marsh
S. Humphrys
Missing players
L. Yoro
T. Malacia
L. Shaw
V. Lindelof
MidfielderM. Mount
ForwardR. Hojlund
Manchester United - Barnsley Key Points
- All of Man Utd's last three games have seen Over 2.5 Goals.
- Seven of Barnsley's nine games this season have had Over 2.5 Goals.
- Man Utd average 11.5 shots per match this season with 6.5 of those on target.
- Barnsley have conceded in seven of nine games this season.
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Our Manchester United vs Barnsley Prediction
Our prediction for the Manchester United vs. Barnsley Carabao Cup third-round tie is: Manchester United will win and over 2.5 Goals will be scored.
The home side are two divisions higher than their opponents and come into this game on the back of an excellent 3-0 win at Southampton. In contrast, Barnsley's last game away from home saw them lose 3-0 at Stevenage. All the data in this game suggests that this should be a comfortable win for the home side and that many chances should be created and taken.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Manchester United Barnsley
| Manchester United vs Barnsley | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United wins | 1.36 | 1.09 | -19.9% |
| Draw | 4.75 | 10 | +110.5% |
| Barnsley wins | 8 | 21 | +162.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester United is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 19.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 73.5% and is now 91.7% (18.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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