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Manchester City vs West Ham Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
Manchester City will be hoping to kick off the New Year in the Premier League positively when they take on West Ham United at the Etihad Stadium on Saturday afternoon. The Citizens are falling off the pace, currently sixth in the league standings, while the Hammers are 13th after the first half of the season. Check out our match prediction below!
The Sky Blues have dominated this fixture in recent years, winning 14 of their last 15 Premier League home matches against this opponent, including each of the last eight in a row since September 2015. The Irons have now failed to win any of their last 18 top-flight matches against the champions (home or away), which is their joint-longest winless run in league history.
That said, it is unsurprising to see the hosts installed as clear favourites in this contest, but can the visitors find a way to upset the odds? Let’s take a look at some of the important stats at play in this one.
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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester City v West Ham Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.25 | 7 | 9 |
|
|
1.22 | 7.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.4 | 3.75 | 7 |
|
|
1.28 | 7.21 | 9.27 |
|
|
1.28 | 7.21 | 9.27 |
|
|
1.24 | 7.25 | 11 |
|
|
1.23 | 6.8 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.23 | 6.8 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.25 | 7 | 10 |
|
|
1.25 | 7 | 9 |
|
|
1.25 | 7.4 | 11 |
|
|
1.23 | 7 | 10 |
|
|
1.2 | 7 | 10 |
|
|
1.24 | 7.2 | 12 |
|
|
1.24 | 6 | 11 |
|
|
1.25 | 7.2 | 11 |
|
|
1.22 | 7 | 10 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and West Ham?
Our prediction for the Manchester City vs West Ham match is: Manchester City wins & over 1.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/01/2025 between Manchester City and West Ham in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.05% for a win of Manchester City against West Ham with odds of 1.4 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs West Ham is 19.78% with odds of 7.5 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.18% chance ⭐ for a win of West Ham vs Manchester City with odds of 12 at Betsson.
Manchester City - West Ham Prediction and Best Odds:
| Manchester City West Ham Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 53.05% | 1.4 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.82% | |
| Both Team To Score | 51.25% | 1.67 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Manchester City/Manchester City | 26.85% | 1.73 at Bet365 |
Manchester City vs West Ham Form
Manchester City and West Ham's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 |
|
13
|
23 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -15 |
Manchester City and West Ham Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
16 Dec 2024 - Premier League
9 Dec 2024 - Premier League
3 Dec 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
9 Dec 2024 - Premier League
30 Nov 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
16 Dec 2024 - Premier League
3 Dec 2024 - Premier League
25 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
Manchester City vs West Ham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
19 May 2024 - Premier League
16 Sep 2023 - Premier League
3 May 2023 - Premier League
7 Aug 2022 - Premier League
15 May 2022 - Premier League
Manchester City - West Ham: Form Analysis
December proved to be a dismal month for the defending champions, as they only managed to take eight points from a possible 21 on offer via two wins and two draws in seven matches.
The Citizens secured a 2-0 victory over Leicester City in their last outing, bringing an end to a four-match winless run, but it was still only their second league win in 10 games since the start of November.
At home, the Sky Blues are aiming to avoid a third straight match without victory following a 2-1 loss to Manchester United and a 1-1 draw against Everton on Boxing Day.
Man City have only failed to score in one of their last 13 Premier League home games!
Meanwhile, West Ham United were building up a nice run of form last month until they came up against league leaders Liverpool and were smashed 5-0 on their home patch before the end of the year.
That defeat halted a four-match unbeaten streak for the Irons which included wins over Wolves and Southampton either side of draws against Bournemouth and Brighton & Hove Albion.
The Irons have earned 12 of their 23 points on the road this term (W3 D3 L3), and are gunning a third match on the bounce without defeat. They have also scored in all but one of their nine away games to date.
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Manchester City against West Ham Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
Ederson
DefenderR. Dias
J. Stones
MidfielderO. Bobb
Rodri
L. Fabianski
ForwardM. Antonio
J. Bowen
Manchester City & West Ham Squad Analysis
Rodri remains a long-term absentee for Man City owing to an ACL injury, but reports in the last few days suggest that the Ballon d'Or winner could return to action before the end of the season.
Ederson, Matheus Nunes and John Stones are rumoured to be in contention to return to the squad following injury absences this week, while Ruben Dias and Oscar Bobb are still a few weeks away.
Erling Haaland ended a three-match goalless streak by netting against Leicester last week!
West Ham United were handed a major injury blow in the defeat to Liverpool, with their captain Jarrod Bowen sustaining a serious foot injury which will likely see him miss several matches.
The Hammers will also have to make do without Lukasz Fabianski due to a head injury, while Michail Antonio is still hospitalised having undergone surgery on a lower limb fracture following a car accident.
However, the Irons will be able to welcome back Tomas Soucek and Guido Rodriguez this week, both of whom were suspended for the defeat to the Reds before the New Year.
Most goals and assists
Manchester City
West Ham
E. Haaland
(21 Goals)
J. Bowen
(6 Goals)
Savinho
(7 Assists)
J. Bowen
(5 Assists)
Manchester City - West Ham Key Points
- Manchester City have won 14 of their last 15 league home matches against this opponent.
- Manchester City have scored two or more goals in 10 of their last 15 home league games.
- West Ham United are winless in their last 18 league games against this opponent.
- West Ham United have only failed to score in one of their nine away games this season.
- Each of the last five league matches between these sides have ended with Man City winning and over 1.5 goals.
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Our Manchester City vs West Ham Prediction
While Manchester City have been a long way below the type of form we have become accustomed to seeing, that victory over Leicester would have given them a much-needed boost of confidence.
West Ham United were no match for Liverpool in their last outing and there are major concerns about their attacking setup now with Bowen and Antonio both ruled out for the foreseeable future. This looks like a match the hosts should win with relative ease. Our Manchester City vs West Ham United prediction is Manchester City wins & over 1.5.
Manchester City vs West Ham - Other Interesting Predictions
Manchester City over 2.5
Manchester City have scored over 2.5 goals in eight of their last 15 home league games. They have also netted three or more in each of their last four top-flight matches against this opponent.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Manchester City West Ham
| Manchester City vs West Ham | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 1.36 | 1.25 | -8.1% |
| Draw | 5.5 | 7 | +27.3% |
| West Ham wins | 6.5 | 9 | +38.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 73.5% and is now 80.0% (6.5%)
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Manchester City vs West Ham match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Manchester City and West Ham United will be played on January 4 at 15:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Manchester City and West Ham United will take place at the Etihad Stadium in Manchester.
The Premier League match between Manchester City and West Ham United will not be broadcast on TV in the UK.
However, you can stay up to the minute with all the Premier League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Michael Salisbury will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Edward Smart, Derek Eaton and Oliver Langford as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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