England - Carabao Cup
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Manchester City vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
by Steve Ashfield in Carabao Cup Predictions
Manchester City host Championship side Watford in the third round of the Carabao Cup. Can the Hornets get a shock win at the Premier League champions? Find out our views in our match prediction.
The home side needed a late goal to draw 2-2 at home with Arsenal on Sunday. The Citizens will make plenty of changes for this game but still have a squad that is more than strong enough to defeat their opponents.
City lost at this stage of the Carabao Cup last season. They have had great success in this competition though and won it four seasons in a row between 2017-18 and 2020-21. This is their first match in this season's competition.
That late goal against Arsenal meant City are unbeaten in their seven games played this season. In the Carabao Cup, they have only lost once at home since 2014. That was a home loss to Manchester United in January 2020.
They have won their last 15 games against Watford, last losing to them in 2007. It's 37 years since they lost a home fixture against Watford. The last five games have been won by an astonishing aggregate score of 26-2.
Watford last reached the fourth round of this competition in the 2019-20 season. They face an almighty task to get that far in the Carabao Cup this season.
The Hornets are eighth in the Championship and only a point behind the final promotion play-off position. The weekend saw them lose 4-1 at Norwich City making it just one point from their last three games.
MK Dons and Plymouth have been beaten by them in this season's Carabao Cup, both won to nil at home. This is so much tougher and we tip City to win and lead at half and full time.
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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester City v Watford Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.1 | 10 | 17 |
|
|
1.3 | 4.2 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.11 | 10 | 17.6 |
|
|
1.11 | 10 | 17.6 |
|
|
1.11 | 8.75 | 21 |
|
|
1.11 | 10 | 17.6 |
|
|
1.11 | 10 | 17.6 |
|
|
1.11 | 8.2 | 17 |
|
|
1.14 | 8.2 | 17 |
|
|
1.15 | 8 | 16 |
|
|
1.11 | 11 | 25 |
|
|
1.09 | 10 | 21 |
|
|
1.12 | 10 | 17 |
|
|
1.08 | 12 | 29 |
|
|
1.1 | 11 | 29 |
|
|
1.11 | 7 | 19 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Watford?
Our prediction for the Manchester City vs Watford match is: Manchester City to win and lead at half and full time.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/09/2024 between Manchester City and Watford in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.24% for a win of Manchester City against Watford with odds of 1.3 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Watford is 23.66% with odds of 12 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.11% chance ⭐ for a win of Watford vs Manchester City with odds of 29 at Betfair.
Manchester City - Watford Prediction and Best Odds:
| Manchester City Watford Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 62.24% | 1.3 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.6% | 1.36 at William Hill |
| Both Team To Score | 69.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Manchester City/Manchester City | 34.3% | 1.5 at Ladbrokes |
Manchester City vs Watford Form
Manchester City and Watford Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - Premier League
18 Sep 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
18 Aug 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - Premier League
18 Sep 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Community Shield
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
18 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
14 May 2024 - Premier League
11 May 2024 - Premier League
28 Apr 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
1 Sep 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
1 Sep 2024 - Championship
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Manchester City vs Watford Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Apr 2022 - Premier League
4 Dec 2021 - Premier League
21 Jul 2020 - Premier League
21 Sep 2019 - Premier League
18 May 2019 - FA Cup
9 Mar 2019 - Premier League
Players list
S. Ortega
DefenderJ. Gvardiol
J. Stones
R. Lewis
K. Walker
MidfielderJ. McAtee
P. Foden
J. Grealish
M. Nunes
J. Wright
ForwardSavinho
J. Bond
DefenderT. Dele-Bashiru
A. Ogbonna
R. Porteous
MidfielderP. Dwomoh
T. Ince
M. Pollock
ForwardG. Chakvetadze
R. Vata
K. Sema
J. Morris
Substitutes
Ederson
DefenderJ. Gvardiol
R. Dias
M. Akanji
MidfielderJ. Wright
I. Gundogan
M. Kovacic
B. Silva
Savinho
A. Marriott
DefenderA. Tikvic
M. Pollock
T. Dele-Bashiru
G. Chakvetadze
R. Vata
P. Dwomoh
M. Adu Poku
M. Doumbia
Missing players
Rodri
O. Bobb
Most goals and assists
Manchester City
Watford
E. Haaland
(15 Goals)
V. Bayo
(6 Goals)
Savinho
(4 Assists)
, 
R. Lewis
(4 Assists)
, 
M. Nunes
(4 Assists)
G. Chakvetadze
(4 Assists)
Manchester City - Watford Key Points
- Manchester City have won their last 15 games played against Watford.
- Manchester City have scored 26 goals in their last five games against Watford.
- Watford have gone three games without a win.
- Manchester City are unbeaten this season.
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Our Manchester City vs Watford Prediction
Watford have suffered some heavy losses to Manchester City in recent years. After conceding four at Norwich on Saturday they can't be too confident of causing an upset here.
Manchester City looked to be heading to defeat on Sunday but ended up drawing 2-2 with Arsenal. They'll make changes but our Manchester City v Watford prediction is Manchester City to win and lead at half and full time.
Prediction :
Half Time: Manchester City, Full Time: Manchester City
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Manchester City Watford
| Manchester City vs Watford | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 1.2 | 1.1 | -8.3% |
| Draw | 7 | 10 | +42.9% |
| Watford wins | 11 | 17 | +54.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 83.3% and is now 90.9% (7.6%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
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A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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