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England - Carabao Cup

Manchester City
24 Sep 2024 14:45
Watford

Prediction :

Half Time: Manchester City, Full Time: Manchester City

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Manchester City vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup

 by Steve Ashfield in Carabao Cup Predictions

Manchester City host Championship side Watford in the third round of the Carabao Cup. Can the Hornets get a shock win at the Premier League champions?  Find out our views in our match prediction.

The home side needed a late goal to draw 2-2 at home with Arsenal on Sunday. The Citizens will make plenty of changes for this game but still have a squad that is more than strong enough to defeat their opponents.

City lost at this stage of the Carabao Cup last season. They have had great success in this competition though and won it four seasons in a row between 2017-18 and 2020-21. This is their first match in this season's competition.

That late goal against Arsenal meant City are unbeaten in their seven games played this season. In the Carabao Cup, they have only lost once at home since 2014. That was a home loss to Manchester United in January 2020.

They have won their last 15 games against Watford, last losing to them in 2007. It's 37 years since they lost a home fixture against Watford.  The last five games have been won by an astonishing aggregate score of 26-2. 

Watford last reached the fourth round of this competition in the 2019-20 season. They face an almighty task to get that far in the Carabao Cup this season.

The Hornets are eighth in the Championship and only a point behind the final promotion play-off position. The weekend saw them lose 4-1 at Norwich City making it just one point from their last three games.

MK Dons and Plymouth have been beaten by them in this season's Carabao Cup, both won to nil at home. This is so much tougher and we tip City to win and lead at half and full time.

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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester City v Watford Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.1 10 17
Ladbrokes
1.3 4.2 9.5
1xbet
1.11 10 17.6
22bet
1.11 10 17.6
Betobet
1.11 8.75 21
Betwinner
1.11 10 17.6
LSbet
1.11 10 17.6
Stake
1.11 8.2 17
Melbet
1.14 8.2 17
Tonybet
1.15 8 16
Betway
1.09 10 21
Unibet
1.12 10 17
Betfair
1.08 12 29
Betsson
1.1 11 29
William Hill
1.11 7 19
Vbet
1.11 11 25
Check all Manchester City vs Watford odds
Up to $200 to bet on Manchester City - Watford! 

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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Watford?

Our prediction for the Manchester City vs Watford match is: Manchester City to win and lead at half and full time.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/09/2024 between Manchester City and Watford in Carabao Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.24% for a win of Manchester City against Watford with odds of 1.3 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Watford is 23.66% with odds of 12 at Betfair.
  • Our prediction model gives a 14.11% chance ⭐ for a win of Watford vs Manchester City with odds of 29 at Betfair.

Manchester City - Watford Prediction and Best Odds:

Manchester City Watford Prediction Probability Odds
Manchester City wins 62.24% 1.3 at Ladbrokes
Over 2.5 goals 69.6% 1.36 at William Hill
Both Team To Score 69.58%
Half-time / Full-time : Manchester City/Manchester City 34.3% 1.5 at Ladbrokes

Manchester City vs Watford Form

Manchester City and Watford Last Matches

Manchester City
Manchester City Last matches
W W W W D D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  2
Arsenal

18 Sep 2024 - Champions League

Manchester City
0 :  0
Inter Milan

14 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Brentford

31 Aug 2024 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  3
Manchester City

24 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
4 :  1
Ipswich Town

18 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  2
Manchester City
D D W W D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  2
Arsenal

18 Sep 2024 - Champions League

Manchester City
0 :  0
Inter Milan

14 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Brentford

24 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
4 :  1
Ipswich Town

10 Aug 2024 - Community Shield

Manchester City
1 :  1
Manchester United

30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester City
2 :  2
Barcelona
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

31 Aug 2024 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  3
Manchester City

18 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  2
Manchester City

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
2 :  4
Manchester City

14 May 2024 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  2
Manchester City

11 May 2024 - Premier League

Fulham
0 :  4
Manchester City

28 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  2
Manchester City
Watford
Watford Last matches
W W W L D L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Sep 2024 - Championship

Norwich
4 :  1
Watford

14 Sep 2024 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Coventry City

1 Sep 2024 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  0
Watford

27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Watford
2 :  0
Plymouth

24 Aug 2024 - Championship

Watford
2 :  1
Derby County

17 Aug 2024 - Championship

Watford
3 :  0
Stoke
D W W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Sep 2024 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Coventry City

27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Watford
2 :  0
Plymouth

24 Aug 2024 - Championship

Watford
2 :  1
Derby County

17 Aug 2024 - Championship

Watford
3 :  0
Stoke

13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Watford
5 :  0
Milton Keynes Dons

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Watford
1 :  1
Brentford
L W L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

21 Sep 2024 - Championship

Norwich
4 :  1
Watford

1 Sep 2024 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  0
Watford

10 Aug 2024 - Championship

Millwall
2 :  3
Watford

30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Wycombe Wanderers
3 :  2
Watford

24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Hibernian
2 :  3
Watford

20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Gillingham
2 :  0
Watford

Manchester City vs Watford Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Manchester City

100 %

Draw

0 %

Watford

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

5.33
Total goals
50%
BTTS
4.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

23 Apr 2022 - Premier League

Manchester City
5 :  1
Watford

4 Dec 2021 - Premier League

Watford
1 :  3
Manchester City

21 Jul 2020 - Premier League

Watford
0 :  4
Manchester City

21 Sep 2019 - Premier League

Manchester City
8 :  0
Watford

18 May 2019 - FA Cup

Manchester City
6 :  0
Watford

9 Mar 2019 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Watford
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Players list

Manchester City
Manchester City
Goalkeeper

S. Ortega

Defender

K. Walker

J. Stones

J. Gvardiol

R. Lewis

Midfielder

M. Nunes

J. Wright

J. McAtee

J. Grealish

P. Foden

Forward

Savinho

Watford
Watford
Goalkeeper

J. Bond

Defender

R. Porteous

T. Dele-Bashiru

A. Ogbonna

Midfielder

M. Pollock

P. Dwomoh

T. Ince

Forward

G. Chakvetadze

K. Sema

R. Vata

J. Morris

Substitutes

Manchester City
Manchester City
Goalkeeper

Ederson

Defender

M. Akanji

R. Dias

J. Gvardiol

K. Braithwaite

Midfielder

Savinho

J. Doku

I. Gundogan

M. Kovacic

J. Wright

N. O'Reilly

B. Silva

Watford
Watford
Goalkeeper

A. Marriott

Defender

A. Tikvic

M. Pollock

F. Ebosele

Midfielder

T. Dele-Bashiru

Y. Larouci

G. Chakvetadze

V. Bayo

R. Vata

K. Baah

P. Dwomoh

I. Louza

Forward

M. Doumbia

M. Adu Poku

Missing players

Manchester City
Manchester City
Midfielder

Rodri

O. Bobb

Watford
Watford

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Manchester City
CD Huachipato Watford
Top Goalscorer
Norway E. Haaland (15 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Ivory Coast V. Bayo (6 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil Savinho (4 Assists)
England R. Lewis (4 Assists)
Portugal M. Nunes (4 Assists)
Best assists
Georgia G. Chakvetadze (4 Assists)

Manchester City - Watford Key Points

  1. Manchester City have won their last 15 games played against Watford.
  2. Manchester City have scored 26 goals in their last five games against Watford.
  3. Watford have gone three games without a win.
  4. Manchester City are unbeaten this season.
Up to $200 to bet on Manchester City - Watford! 

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Our Manchester City vs Watford Prediction

Watford have suffered some heavy losses to Manchester City in recent years. After conceding four at Norwich on Saturday they can't be too confident of causing an upset here.

Manchester City looked to be heading to defeat on Sunday but ended up drawing 2-2 with Arsenal. They'll make changes but our Manchester City v Watford prediction is Manchester City to win and lead at half and full time.

Prediction :

Half Time: Manchester City, Full Time: Manchester City

Exclusive Offer
$200 offered for betting!

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Manchester City Watford

Manchester City vs Watford Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Manchester City wins 1.2 1.1 -8.3%
Draw 7 10 +42.9%
Watford wins 11 17 +54.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Manchester City is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.3% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 83.3% and is now 90.9% (7.6%)

2 Goals Ahead Early Payout

bet365 2 goals ahead early payout

More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well. 

A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Manchester City vs Watford Prediction
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