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Manchester City vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
Champions Manchester City will be looking to go back to the top of the Premier League table this weekend when they take on Southampton at the Etihad Stadium on Saturday afternoon. The Citizens are currently in second place in the league standings, while the Saints are second-bottom. Check out our match prediction below.
Manchester City have unsurprisingly been the dominant force in this fixture over the last two decades and enter this match unbeaten in their last 12 encounters with this opponent at home dating back to 2004. Southampton have managed only one win from their last 14 league matches against City, a 1-0 win at home in July 2020.
Expectedly, the hosts are very short-priced favourites according to the latest odds to win this match, but can the visitors pull off what would undoubtedly be the biggest shock of the season so far? Let’s get into the key stats in this one.
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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester City v Southampton Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.13 | 9.5 | 15 |
|
|
1.11 | 11 | 17 |
|
|
1.14 | 10.8 | 17.6 |
|
|
1.14 | 10.8 | 17.6 |
|
|
1.12 | 10 | 20 |
|
|
1.1 | 10 | 19 |
|
|
1.1 | 10 | 19 |
|
|
1.12 | 10 | 20 |
|
|
1.1 | 10 | 19 |
|
|
1.12 | 10 | 20 |
|
|
1.13 | 11 | 21 |
|
|
1.13 | 9 | 17 |
|
|
1.1 | 11.5 | 29 |
|
|
1.1 | 11 | 23 |
|
|
1.12 | 10 | 24 |
|
|
1.12 | 8.5 | 19 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Southampton?
Our prediction for the Manchester City vs Southampton match is: Manchester City over 2.5!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/10/2024 between Manchester City and Southampton in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 70.31% for a win of Manchester City against Southampton with odds of 1.14 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Southampton is 22% with odds of 11.5 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 7.69% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Manchester City with odds of 29 at Unibet.
Manchester City - Southampton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Manchester City Southampton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 70.31% | 1.14 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74.66% | 1.36 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 72.08% | 2.07 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time : Manchester City/Manchester City | 36.99% | 1.5 at Bet365 |
Manchester City vs Southampton Form
Manchester City and Southampton's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
23 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
|
20
|
4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -14 |
Manchester City and Southampton Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
20 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
24 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
22 Sep 2024 - Premier League
18 Sep 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2024 - Premier League
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
18 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
30 Sep 2024 - Premier League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
30 Sep 2024 - Premier League
17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
Manchester City vs Southampton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Apr 2023 - Premier League
11 Jan 2023 - Carabao Cup
8 Oct 2022 - Premier League
20 Mar 2022 - FA Cup
22 Jan 2022 - Premier League
18 Sep 2021 - Premier League
Manchester City - Southampton: Form Analysis
Following back-to-back draws against Arsenal and Newcastle United last month, Manchester City quickly refound their winning form, securing consecutive victories either side of the international break.
After downing Sparta Prague in the Champions League in midweek, the Citizens are still unbeaten in all competitions this season and are the only team yet to suffer defeat in the Premier League.
On home soil, the hosts have won three of their four league games this term and are unbeaten in 34 top-flight matches dating back to November 2022.
Man City are on their longest-ever unbeaten league run of 31 league games dating back to December 6!
Meanwhile, in almost complete contrast, Southampton are set to enter gameweek nine of the season still in search of their first victory back in the top flight.
The Saints have lost seven of their eight games this term, marking only the second time in history they have gone this long without a victory at the start of a season since 1998-99.
Notably, the visitors have already conceded 18 goals in this campaign, 10 of which have come on the road, including three in each of their last three outings.
In their last top-flight season, Southampton lost home and away to this opponent and conceded four goals in each match.
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Manchester City against Southampton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Missing players
O. Bobb
Rodri
J. Grealish
G. Bazunu
MidfielderW. Smallbone
ForwardR. Stewart
R. Fraser
Manchester City & Southampton Squad Analysis
Kyle Walker sustained a knee injury while on international duty earlier this month and missed Man City’s trip to Wolves last week, as well as their Champions League match against Sparta Prague.
Kevin De Bruyne has now missed seven games since picking up a thigh injury last month and Pep Guardiola mentioned in the week that he will not rush the Belgian back into action.
The absence of De Bruyne seems to have had an impact on the output of City’s towering striker Erling Haaland, who has now gone over 300 Premier League minutes without a goal.
Rodri and Oscar Bobb remain Man City’s only long-term injury absentees at present!
Southampton were dealt a significant blow in their loss to Leicester last week, with Japan international Yukinari Sugawara sustaining an injury and he now likely to be sidelined for a few weeks.
In the same match, Will Smallbone picked up a hamstring strain, while Ryan Fraser was sent off, meaning the pair will be forced into watching briefs this weekend.
The remaining absentees for the visitors in this match are Gavin Bazunu (Achilles) and Juan Larios (knock).
Most goals and assists
Manchester City
Southampton
E. Haaland
(15 Goals)
C. Archer
(4 Goals)
Savinho
(4 Assists)
,
R. Lewis
(4 Assists)
, 
M. Nunes
(4 Assists)
M. Fernandes
(4 Assists)
Manchester City - Southampton Key Points
- Manchester City have scored two or more goals in seven of their eight league matches this season.
- Manchester City have scored two or more goals in each of their last eight league home matches.
- Manchester City have scored four goals in three of their last four games against this opponent.
- Southampton have conceded three goals in each of their last three league matches.
- Southampton have conceded three goals in four of their last five away games in all competitions.
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Our Manchester City vs Southampton Prediction
Given the contrasting forms of these two sides this season, this match feels like one where we are asking ourselves not who will win, but how many are Manchester City likely to win by.
The Citizens have dominated this fixture over the last two decades, including scoring four goals in each of their last two encounters with the Saints, and we feel that they should be able to net at least three in this one. Our Manchester City vs Southampton prediction: Manchester City over 2.5!
Manchester City vs Southampton - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 3.5
Manchester City have scored four goals in each of their last two league matches against this opponent. Additionally, each of Southampton’s last three league games have ended with four or more goals scored.
Erling Haaland to score anytime and Man City to win
Erling Haaland has scored six goals in four Premier League home games this season and the Norwegian will be determined to get on the scoresheet having failed to do so in his last three.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Manchester City Southampton
| Manchester City vs Southampton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 1.1 | 1.13 | +2.7% |
| Draw | 9 | 9.5 | +5.6% |
| Southampton wins | 26 | 15 | -42.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 90.9% and is now 88.5% (-2.4%)
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Manchester City vs Southampton match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Manchester City and Southampton will be played on October 26 at 15:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Manchester City and Southampton will take place at the Etihad Stadium in Manchester.
The Premier League match between Manchester City and Southampton will not be broadcast on TV in the UK.
However, you can stay up to the minute with all the Premier League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Tony Harrington will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Derek Eaton, Akil Howson and Samuel Allison as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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