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Manchester City vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Steve Ashfield | in Champions League Predictions
These two clubs have previously met in the final itself. This season Manchester City hosts Real Madrid in the first leg of the play-offs. The winner will be up against either Atletico Madrid or Bayer Leverkusen in the last 16. Can the Citizens get past Real? Read our match prediction.
Both of these clubs were expected to automatically qualify for the last 16. However, City could only finish 22nd in the league phase, 11 places and four points behind Real Madrid. It's been a difficult season for the Blues and they still have a fragile look to them at times. That surfaced again at the weekend when having to come from a goal down to beat League One Leyton Orient in the FA Cup.
Real Madrid are top of La Liga, while City are only fifth in the Premier League. The Whites have only lost one of their last eight matches and as you'll read in our form guide, they are strong on the road. Can they again knock City out of the Champions League just as they did last season?
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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester City v Real Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.1 | 4 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.75 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.3 | 2.7 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.12 | 4.15 | 3.26 |
|
|
2.12 | 4.15 | 3.26 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.8 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.07 | 4 | 3.11 |
|
|
2.07 | 4 | 3.11 |
|
|
2.14 | 3.9 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.06 | 4 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.22 | 4 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.1 | 4 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.9 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.95 | 3.28 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.75 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.75 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.9 | 3.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Real Madrid?
Our prediction for the Manchester City vs Real Madrid match is: over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/02/2025 between Manchester City and Real Madrid in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.04% for a win of Manchester City against Real Madrid with odds of 2.3 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Real Madrid is 17.62% with odds of 4.15 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Madrid vs Manchester City with odds of 3.3 at Betfred.
Manchester City vs Real Madrid Form
Manchester City and Real Madrid Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
2 Feb 2025 - Premier League
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
19 Jan 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
2 Feb 2025 - Premier League
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
19 Jan 2025 - Premier League
14 Jan 2025 - Premier League
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
5 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
1 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
19 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
16 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
12 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
9 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
1 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
6 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
3 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
Manchester City vs Real Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Apr 2024 - Champions League
9 Apr 2024 - Champions League
17 May 2023 - Champions League
9 May 2023 - Champions League
4 May 2022 - Champions League
26 Apr 2022 - Champions League
Manchester City - Real Madrid: Form Analysis
Manchester City have won three of their last four matches. What is worrying though is that their other game was a 5-1 loss at Arsenal in the Premier League. You have to wonder what Real Madrid's attack might do to City.
Home form has recovered with their last four home games being won. Five of the last six have seen both teams score, The only side that didn't manage to score against them were League Two Salford City in the FA Cup.
Two of their home Champions League games have been won this season. The other two were draws against Inter and Feyenoord who came from 3-0 down to draw 3-3.
Real Madrid are top of La Liga but lost three times in the league phase of this competition. A strong finish saw them move up to 11th but miss out on automatic qualification. They scored 20 goals in the league phase but conceded 12, two less than City.
Real bid to extend their impressive away form.
They have won seven of their last nine away matches, including the last two in the Champions League with six goals scored.
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Missing players
Rodri
O. Bobb
D. Carvajal
E. Militao
D. Alaba
A. Rudiger
Manchester City & Real Madrid Squad Analysis
Nico Gonzalez didn't have an ideal debut for Manchester City against Leyton Orient. Their new signing went off injured in the first half and is unlikely to play against Real Madrid. He joins Ederson, Rodri, Jeremy Doku, Nathan Ake and Oscar Bobb on the injured list.
Kevin De Bruyne came on and scored the winner at Orient on Saturday. The Belgian international is expected to start this Champions League game against Real Madrid.
Real Madrid didn't sustain any new injuries in their 1-1 weekend draw with Atletico. However, they are still without Dani Carvajal, Eder Milltao, David Alaba and Antonio Rudiger.
Madrid players and coach are eager to avoid missing the second leg.
With the second leg to come,Madrid will be keen to avoid bookings for Luka Modric, Jude Bellingham, Eduardo Camavinga, Aurelien Tchouameni and Endrick. All are one booking away from a suspension that would keep them out of the second leg. Carlo Ancelotti is also one away so might end up in the stands for the second leg.
Most goals and assists
Manchester City
Real Madrid
E. Haaland
(25 Goals)
K. Mbappe
(19 Goals)
Savinho
(8 Assists)
J. Bellingham
(9 Assists)
Manchester City and Real Madrid Stats in Champions League
Manchester City - Real Madrid Key Points
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 12 of the last 14 Manchester City home games.
- Six of the last eight games between Manchester City and Real Madrid have had over 2.5 goals scored in them.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in six of the last seven Manchester City Champions League fixtures.
- 16 of the last 18 Real Madrid games have seen over 2.5 goals scored in them.
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Our Manchester City vs Real Madrid Prediction
One of the leading sides in Europe will fail to make the last 16 of the Champions League. Manchester City have had a strange season with a confident start to the season and then a terrible run of form. They still look fragile at times and that's worrying for City.
Real Madrid top La Liga and will look to get a good result to take back to Madrid for the second leg. This looks a game that will be full of goals. Our main Manchester City v Real Madrid prediction is over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Manchester City vs Real Madrid - Other Interesting Predictions
Real Madrid to win or draw
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
Manchester City vs Real Madrid match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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