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Manchester City vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions
Manchester City are fith in the Premier League and this weekend are home to Newcastle United. The visitors are only behind City on goal difference. Can the Citizens bounce back from their midweek Champions League defeat? Read our match prediction to discover our views.
A win for Chelsea at Brighton on Friday will see these two sides both be five points behind the top four. However, if Chelsea don't win, the winners of this match could climb into the top four. City might just need to secure a top four finish to guarantee being in the Champions League next season.
Newcastle United are attempting to make it five consecuive away wins in the Premier League. They'd be in the top four but for losing their last two home league fixtures. They are already in the Carabao Cup final so may well win more silverware than City this season. Can they win at the Etihad though?
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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester City v Newcastle Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.85 | 4.33 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.9 | 4.2 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.91 | 4 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.92 | 4.28 | 3.71 |
|
|
1.92 | 4.28 | 3.71 |
|
|
1.9 | 4.1 | 3.45 |
|
|
1.86 | 4.16 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.86 | 4.16 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.94 | 4.1 | 3.55 |
|
|
1.79 | 4.22 | 3.88 |
|
|
1.93 | 4.1 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.92 | 4.2 | 3.61 |
|
|
1.88 | 4 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.87 | 4.1 | 3.65 |
|
|
1.87 | 4 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.92 | 4.25 | 3.65 |
|
|
1.85 | 4 | 3.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Newcastle?
Our prediction for the Manchester City vs Newcastle match is: Newcastle to win or draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/02/2025 between Manchester City and Newcastle in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.56% for a win of Manchester City against Newcastle with odds of 1.94 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Newcastle is 11.75% with odds of 4.33 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.68% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Manchester City with odds of 3.88 at Melbet.
Manchester City vs Newcastle Form
Manchester City and Newcastle's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
41 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 13 |
|
6
|
41 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 13 |
Manchester City and Newcastle Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
2 Feb 2025 - Premier League
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
2 Feb 2025 - Premier League
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
19 Jan 2025 - Premier League
14 Jan 2025 - Premier League
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
5 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
15 Jan 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
15 Jan 2025 - Premier League
12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
7 Jan 2025 - Carabao Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
Manchester City vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
16 Mar 2024 - FA Cup
13 Jan 2024 - Premier League
27 Sep 2023 - Carabao Cup
19 Aug 2023 - Premier League
4 Mar 2023 - Premier League
Manchester City - Newcastle: Form Analysis
The 3-2 home loss to Real Madrid means it's unlikely that Manchester City will reach the last 16. of the Champions League. The Blues just keep on conceding goals, even Leyton Orient scored against them in the FA Cup last weekend.
City are struggling to keep home clean sheets.
City have won seven of their 11 home league games this season. Only Manchester United have beaten them in their last five home league fixtures. Keeping home clean sheets in the Premier League is a tough task for them.
13 of the last 15 home league matches have seen them concede at least once. That goes back well before their dramatic loss of form.
Newcastle United have won their last four away league games. That includes victories at both Manchester United and Tottenham. Those wins have made it six away league victories this season.
Each of their last five away league games has seen them score at least twice. 12 of their last 15 away games in the Premier League have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
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Missing players
N. Ake
MidfielderO. Bobb
Rodri
ForwardJ. Doku
J. Lascelles
ForwardC. Wilson
H. Barnes
Manchester City & Newcastle Squad Analysis
Manchester City have major doubts over both Jack Grealish and Manuel Akanji for this match. Both of them were injured during the first half of City's Champions League game against Real Madrid on Tuesday.
Foden may start this game for City.
Phil Foden is expected to be given a recall to the starting line-up after only being a substitute in that Champions League defeat. Jeremy Doku and Omar Marmoush are also in with a chance of starting this match against Newcastle United. Nico Gonzalez could also be in the starting line-up and make his Premier League debut. He could replace Kevin De Bruyne who may be rested with the Champions League second leg in mind.
Newcastle have some injury worries ahead of this trip to Manchester City. Dan Burn, Joelinton, Harvey Barnes, Jamaal Lascelles and Sven Botman are all carrying injuries at present. Anthony Gordon missed their FA Cup win at Birmingham City but is expected to be fit.
United left out some players for the FA Cup win and they are expected to make their return for this Premier League fixture.
Most goals and assists
Manchester City
Newcastle
E. Haaland
(27 Goals)
A. Isak
(19 Goals)
Savinho
(8 Assists)
J. Murphy
(8 Assists)
Manchester City and Newcastle Stats in Premier League
Manchester City - Newcastle Key Points
- Newcastle have won their last four away league games.
- Newcastle have scored at least twice in each of their last seven away league and cup fixtures.
- The reverse fixture ended in a 1-1 draw.
- Newcastle have had recent away wins at Tottenham, Manchester United and Arsenal.
- Manchester City have failed to win three of their last six home league matches.
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Our Manchester City vs Newcastle Prediction
Newcastle United have been playing well on the road in recent weeks. There have been some notable wins at Tottenham and Manchester United in the Premier League and at Arsenal in the Carabao Cup (where CIty recently lost 5-1),
Manchester City continue to be inconsistent and struggle to keep clean sheets. The rest of their season could be about securing a Champions League place next season. Our main Manchester City v Newcastle prediction is a double chance bet on Newcastle to win or draw.
Manchester City vs Newcastle - Other Interesting Predictions
Alexander Isak to score
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
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Manchester City vs Newcastle match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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