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Manchester City vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
by Ian John in FA Cup Predictions
Manchester City face Newcastle in the FA Cup Quarterfinals at the Etihad this weekend, in what will be their fourth meeting this season. City did the double over the Magpies in the league, but Newcastle eliminated City in the Carabao Cup, winning 1-0 at St James' Park back in September. It is fair to say that both teams' fortunes have changed since then. Manchester City are on an incredible 21-game unbeaten run, during which they have won the FIFA Club World Cup as well as cementing 3rd place in the League table, a point behind Arsenal and Liverpool who lie above them. City drew 1-1 at Anfield ahead of this game, but they did have a free week in midweek having already qualified for the Champions League Quarter Finals by beating Copenhagen the week before. Unsurprisingly, Pep Guardiola's team start this game as the massive favourites to progress to a Wembley semi-final.
Eddie Howe's Newcastle will be hoping that lightning can strike twice in the domestic cup competitions this season. In all three games with City this season, Newcastle have been in it right until the end of the game, but what is notable is that the Magpies have just the 14th best record in the Premier League this season away from home. That is usually nowhere near good enough to get something from a trip to the Etihad to face the current Treble winners. Eddie Howe's team lost their last two away games at Arsenal (4-1) and at Chelsea (3-2) on Monday Night and with just three wins in the league in their last 11 games, losing six of those matches, it looks a huge ask for the visitors to end City's hopes of another treble with a win here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester City v Newcastle Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.33 | 4.75 | 9.5 |
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1.25 | 6 | 11 |
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1.25 | 6 | 9.5 |
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1.23 | 6.2 | 10 |
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1.26 | 6.76 | 13.1 |
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1.26 | 6.76 | 13.1 |
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1.22 | 6.5 | 12.5 |
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1.22 | 6.5 | 12.5 |
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1.25 | 6.4 | 9.8 |
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1.22 | 6.5 | 12.5 |
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1.26 | 6.6 | 10 |
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1.2 | 6.5 | 11 |
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1.23 | 6.1 | 11 |
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1.22 | 6 | 11 |
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1.25 | 6.5 | 12 |
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1.22 | 6.5 | 12 |
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1.24 | 7 | 12 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Newcastle?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/03/2024 between Manchester City and Newcastle in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.93% for a win of Manchester City against Newcastle with odds of 1.33 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Newcastle is 19.86% with odds of 7 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.21% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Manchester City with odds of 13.1 at 1xbet.
Manchester City - Newcastle Prediction and Best Odds:
Manchester City Newcastle Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Manchester City wins | 59.93% | 1.33 at Bet365 |
Over 2.5 goals | 58.89% | 1.64 at 1xbet |
Both Team To Score | 69.58% | |
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Manchester City | 22.03% | 4.6 at Unibet |
Manchester City vs Newcastle Form
Manchester City and Newcastle Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Mar 2024 - Premier League
6 Mar 2024 - Champions League
3 Mar 2024 - Premier League
27 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
24 Feb 2024 - Premier League
20 Feb 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Mar 2024 - Champions League
3 Mar 2024 - Premier League
20 Feb 2024 - Premier League
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
10 Feb 2024 - Premier League
31 Jan 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Mar 2024 - Premier League
27 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
24 Feb 2024 - Premier League
13 Feb 2024 - Champions League
5 Feb 2024 - Premier League
26 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Mar 2024 - Premier League
2 Mar 2024 - Premier League
27 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
24 Feb 2024 - Premier League
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
10 Feb 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2024 - Premier League
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
3 Feb 2024 - Premier League
13 Jan 2024 - Premier League
26 Dec 2023 - Premier League
16 Dec 2023 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Mar 2024 - Premier League
27 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
24 Feb 2024 - Premier League
10 Feb 2024 - Premier League
30 Jan 2024 - Premier League
27 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
Manchester City vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Jan 2024 - Premier League
27 Sep 2023 - Carabao Cup
19 Aug 2023 - Premier League
4 Mar 2023 - Premier League
21 Aug 2022 - Premier League
8 May 2022 - Premier League
Manchester City against Newcastle Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
Ederson
T. Livramento
Most goals and assists
Manchester City - Newcastle Key Points
- FA Cup Holders Manchester City come into the game 3rd in the Premier League. They are unbeaten in their last 21 games.
- Newcastle lie 10th in the Premier League table. All three of their FA Cup victories so far this season have come on the road (3-0 at Sunderland, 2-0 at Fulham and 1-1 (4-3 on penalties) at Blackburn Rovers.
- Both teams have scored in six of Manchester City's last eight games and in seven of Newcastle's last eight matches too.
- Newcastle games average more goals per game than any other team in the Premier League with 3.82 goals per game on average. Man City matches have averaged 3.25 goals per game so far this season.
- These teams have met three times this season. Manchester City won both league encounters, 1-0 at St James' Park and 3-2 at the Etihad, but Newcastle knocked Manchester City out of the League Cup with a 1-0 win at St. James' Park back in September. 6 of the last 10 games between the two have seen over 3.5 goals scored.
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Our Manchester City vs Newcastle Prediction
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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