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England - FA Cup

Manchester City
16 Mar 2024 13:30
Newcastle

Prediction :

Manchester City to win and Over 2.5 Goals

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Manchester City vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup

 by Ian John in FA Cup Predictions

Manchester City face Newcastle in the FA Cup Quarterfinals at the Etihad this weekend, in what will be their fourth meeting this season. City did the double over the Magpies in the league, but Newcastle eliminated City in the Carabao Cup, winning 1-0 at St James' Park back in September. It is fair to say that both teams' fortunes have changed since then. Manchester City are on an incredible 21-game unbeaten run, during which they have won the FIFA Club World Cup as well as cementing 3rd place in the League table, a point behind Arsenal and Liverpool who lie above them. City drew 1-1 at Anfield ahead of this game, but they did have a free week in midweek having already qualified for the Champions League Quarter Finals by beating Copenhagen the week before. Unsurprisingly, Pep Guardiola's team start this game as the massive favourites to progress to a Wembley semi-final. 

Eddie Howe's Newcastle will be hoping that lightning can strike twice in the domestic cup competitions this season. In all three games with City this season, Newcastle have been in it right until the end of the game, but what is notable is that the Magpies have just the 14th best record in the Premier League this season away from home. That is usually nowhere near good enough to get something from a trip to the Etihad to face the current Treble winners. Eddie Howe's team lost their last two away games at Arsenal (4-1) and at Chelsea (3-2) on Monday Night and with just three wins in the league in their last 11 games, losing six of those matches, it looks a huge ask for the visitors to end City's hopes of another treble with a win here.

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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester City v Newcastle Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.33 4.75 9.5
Betfred
1.25 6 11
Ladbrokes
1.25 6 9.5
NetBet
1.23 6.2 10
1xbet
1.26 6.76 13.1
22bet
1.26 6.76 13.1
Betwinner
1.22 6.5 12.5
Stake
1.25 6.4 9.8
Melbet
1.22 6.5 12.5
Tonybet
1.26 6.6 10
Check all Manchester City vs Newcastle odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Newcastle?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/03/2024 between Manchester City and Newcastle in FA Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.93% for a win of Manchester City against Newcastle with odds of 1.33 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Newcastle is 19.86% with odds of 6.76 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 20.21% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Manchester City with odds of 13.1 at 1xbet.

Manchester City - Newcastle Prediction and Best Odds:

Manchester City Newcastle Prediction Probability Odds
Manchester City wins 59.93% 1.33 at Bet365
Over 2.5 goals 58.89% 1.64 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 69.58%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Manchester City 22.03% 4.1 at Stake

Manchester City vs Newcastle Form

Manchester City and Newcastle Last Matches

Manchester City
Manchester City Last matches
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Manchester City

6 Mar 2024 - Champions League

Manchester City
3 :  1
FC Copenhagen

3 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Manchester United

27 Feb 2024 - FA Cup

Luton Town
2 :  6
Manchester City

24 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  1
Manchester City

20 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  0
Brentford
W W D W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Mar 2024 - Champions League

Manchester City
3 :  1
FC Copenhagen

3 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Manchester United

20 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  0
Brentford

17 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  1
Chelsea

10 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Everton

31 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Burnley
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Manchester City

27 Feb 2024 - FA Cup

Luton Town
2 :  6
Manchester City

24 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  1
Manchester City

13 Feb 2024 - Champions League

FC Copenhagen
1 :  3
Manchester City

5 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  3
Manchester City

26 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Tottenham
0 :  1
Manchester City
Newcastle
Newcastle Last matches
W D L D W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

11 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  2
Newcastle

2 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
3 :  0
Wolves

27 Feb 2024 - FA Cup

Blackburn
1 :  1
Newcastle

24 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Newcastle

17 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Bournemouth

10 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
2 :  3
Newcastle
W L L D D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

2 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
3 :  0
Wolves

17 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Bournemouth

3 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
4 :  4
Luton Town

13 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  3
Manchester City

26 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  3
Nottingham Forest

16 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
3 :  0
Fulham
W W W L D L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

11 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  2
Newcastle

27 Feb 2024 - FA Cup

Blackburn
1 :  1
Newcastle

24 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Newcastle

10 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
2 :  3
Newcastle

30 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  3
Newcastle

27 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Fulham
0 :  2
Newcastle

Manchester City vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Manchester City

67 %

Draw

17 %

Newcastle

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
33%
BTTS
2.33
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

13 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  3
Manchester City

27 Sep 2023 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
1 :  0
Manchester City

19 Aug 2023 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  0
Newcastle

4 Mar 2023 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Newcastle

21 Aug 2022 - Premier League

Newcastle
3 :  3
Manchester City

8 May 2022 - Premier League

Manchester City
5 :  0
Newcastle
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Manchester City against Newcastle Lineups: Starting 11

Manchester City

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

18
S. Ortega
2
K. Walker
25
M. Akanji
3
R. Dias
24
J. Gvardiol
16
Rodri
8
M. Kovacic
47
P. Foden
20
B. Silva
11
J. Doku
9
E. Haaland
14
A. Isak
28
J. Willock
10
A. Gordon
33
D. Burn
36
S. Longstaff
39
B. Guimaraes
23
J. Murphy
4
S. Botman
6
J. Lascelles
5
F. Schar
1
M. Dubravka

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Newcastle

Missing players

Manchester City
Manchester City
Goalkeeper

Ederson

Newcastle
Newcastle
Defender

T. Livramento

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Manchester City
CD Huachipato Newcastle
Top Goalscorer
Norway E. Haaland (33 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Sweden A. Isak (23 Goals)
Best assists
England P. Foden (12 Assists)
Belgium K. De Bruyne (12 Assists)
Best assists
England K. Trippier (11 Assists)

Manchester City - Newcastle Key Points

  1. FA Cup Holders Manchester City come into the game 3rd in the Premier League. They are unbeaten in their last 21 games.
  2. Newcastle lie 10th in the Premier League table. All three of their FA Cup victories so far this season have come on the road (3-0 at Sunderland, 2-0 at Fulham and 1-1 (4-3 on penalties) at Blackburn Rovers.
  3. Both teams have scored in six of Manchester City's last eight games and in seven of Newcastle's last eight matches too.
  4. Newcastle games average more goals per game than any other team in the Premier League with 3.82 goals per game on average. Man City matches have averaged 3.25 goals per game so far this season.
  5. These teams have met three times this season. Manchester City won both league encounters, 1-0 at St James' Park and 3-2 at the Etihad, but Newcastle knocked Manchester City out of the League Cup with a 1-0 win at St. James' Park back in September. 6 of the last 10 games between the two have seen over 3.5 goals scored.
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Our Manchester City vs Newcastle Prediction

One thing seems certain for this FA Cup clash between Manchester City and Newcastle United - there should be goals. Man City have not been scoring freely of lately in the Premier League, but they did put six past Luton in the last round of the FA Cup and Newcastle's games this season seem to attract plenty of goals. City's record though, especially at home, is sensational and it is impossible to back against them here. Our prediction for Man City v Newcastle is for Man City to win and Over 2.5 Goals to be scored.

Prediction :

Manchester City to win and Over 2.5 Goals

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$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Manchester City vs Newcastle Prediction
Up to $200 to bet on Manchester City - Newcastle! 

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