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England - Community Shield

Manchester City
10 Aug 2024 10:00
Manchester United

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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Manchester City vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips - Community Shield

 by Sridhar in Football Predictions

The Wembley Stadium in London will be split between the red and blue halves of Manchester as Manchester City play Manchester United in the Community Shield. This match is the traditional curtain-raiser of the English season and will be played on Saturday with the prediction of a high-scoring game between the Citizens and the Red Devils.

City are the reigning Premier League champions, while United won last year’s FA Cup to earn a right to play this match. Incidentally, United won the FA Cup final 2-1 against City, overcoming all odds and injuries that hampered them.

There’s anticipation and hope for United for the upcoming season as they look for a new start under the INEOS group and a host of management changes. Manager Erik ten Hag has the backing for now but will be under no disillusion from the backing, while his opposite number, Pep Guardiola, looks relaxed and is planning another year of title challenges.

Which Manchester side will end up winning the first silverware of the season? Let’s take a deeper look at the squads and their chances.

The Best Betting Odds for Manchester City v Manchester United Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
19 1.03 26
Ladbrokes
1.6 4.4 4.8
1xbet
1.8 1.04 1.95
22bet
1.8 1.04 1.95
Betobet
1.95 3.8 3.6
Betwinner
1.72 4.16 4.34
Stake
9 1.08 15
Melbet
1.57 4.54 5.1
Tonybet
1.57 4.6 4.8
Check all Manchester City vs Manchester United odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Manchester United?

Our prediction for the Manchester City vs Manchester United match is: Over 2.5 goals scored.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/08/2024 between Manchester City and Manchester United in Community Shield :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.81% for a win of Manchester City against Manchester United with odds of 19 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Manchester United is 9.12% with odds of 4.6 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 41.07% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester United vs Manchester City with odds of 26 at Bet365.

Manchester City - Manchester United Prediction and Best Odds:

Manchester City Manchester United Prediction Probability Odds
Manchester City wins 49.81% 19 at Bet365
Over 2.5 goals 77.96% 12.5 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 66.25%
Half-time: Manchester United / Full-time: Manchester City 21.18% 21 at Bet365

Manchester City vs Manchester United Form

Manchester City and Manchester United Last Matches

Manchester City
Manchester City Last matches
W L L L D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.83 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
2 :  4
Manchester City

30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester City
2 :  2
Barcelona

27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester City
2 :  3
AC Milan

23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester City
3 :  4
Celtic

25 May 2024 - FA Cup

Manchester City
1 :  2
Manchester United

19 May 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
West Ham
W W L L L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.83 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester City
2 :  2
Barcelona

27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester City
2 :  3
AC Milan

23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester City
3 :  4
Celtic

25 May 2024 - FA Cup

Manchester City
1 :  2
Manchester United

19 May 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
West Ham

4 May 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
5 :  1
Wolves
D W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
33% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
2 :  4
Manchester City

14 May 2024 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  2
Manchester City

11 May 2024 - Premier League

Fulham
0 :  4
Manchester City

28 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  2
Manchester City

25 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  4
Manchester City

9 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  3
Manchester City
Manchester United
Manchester United Last matches
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
0 :  3
Liverpool

31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
3 :  2
Betis

27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
2 :  1
Manchester United

20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Rangers
0 :  2
Manchester United

15 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Rosenborg
1 :  0
Manchester United

25 May 2024 - FA Cup

Manchester City
1 :  2
Manchester United
W D L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
0 :  3
Liverpool

31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
3 :  2
Betis

15 May 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Newcastle

12 May 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  1
Arsenal

27 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Burnley

24 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
4 :  2
Sheffield United
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
2 :  1
Manchester United

20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Rangers
0 :  2
Manchester United

15 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Rosenborg
1 :  0
Manchester United

25 May 2024 - FA Cup

Manchester City
1 :  2
Manchester United

19 May 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  2
Manchester United

6 May 2024 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
4 :  0
Manchester United

Manchester City vs Manchester United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Manchester City

67 %

Draw

0 %

Manchester United

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.17
Total goals
83%
BTTS
2.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

25 May 2024 - FA Cup

Manchester City
1 :  2
Manchester United

3 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Manchester United

29 Oct 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  3
Manchester City

3 Jun 2023 - FA Cup

Manchester City
2 :  1
Manchester United

14 Jan 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  1
Manchester City

2 Oct 2022 - Premier League

Manchester City
6 :  3
Manchester United
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Manchester City - Manchester United: Form Analysis

Manchester City haven’t had a pre-season to gloat about, as their trip to the United States didn’t go per plan. They lost three and won just one of their friendlies. A 4-3 defeat to Celtic started their trip, which was then followed by a 3-2 loss at the hands of AC Milan.

There was no respite in a loss to Barcelona via penalties after the match ended 2-2 at regular time. That said, City got back to winning ways with a 4-2 win over Chelsea, with Erling Haaland scoring a hat-trick.

City have conceded 11 goals in their last four matches.

That should encourage the United side, which defeated City 2-1 at this venue in last year’s FA Cup final. Their pre-season has been equally poor, though, with three defeats and two wins. They started with a tame 1-0 loss to Rosenborg but bounced back with a 2-0 win over Celtic.

Arsenal defeated United 2-1, and a 3-2 win over Real Betis looked only a minor aberration as their poor form continued with a 3-0 drubbing at the hands of archrivals Liverpool. More than the results, the fact that injuries to the squad kept mounting is a real cause for concern for the Red Devils.

Manchester City against Manchester United Lineups: Starting 11

Manchester City

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

31
Ederson
82
R. Lewis
25
M. Akanji
3
R. Dias
24
J. Gvardiol
8
M. Kovacic
75
N. O'Reilly
52
O. Bobb
87
J. McAtee
11
J. Doku
9
E. Haaland
10
M. Rashford
8
B. Fernandes
16
A. Diallo
37
K. Mainoo
18
Casemiro
7
M. Mount
6
L. Martinez
35
J. Evans
5
H. Maguire
20
D. Dalot
24
A. Onana

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Manchester United

Missing players

Manchester City
Manchester City
Midfielder

Rodri

Manchester United
Manchester United
Defender

L. Shaw

Manchester City & Manchester United Squad Analysis

It would be interesting to see if Manchester City start Erling Haaland, especially after coach Pep Guardiola suggested that his minutes must be managed. There are rumors around goalkeeper Ederson’s future at the club, but in any case, it's Stefan Ortega who is their designated ‘keeper in Cup competitions.

Kyle Walker, Phil Foden, and Rodri could miss out for City.

The trio, along with Kyle Walker, are yet to return to training after the Euro 2024 final and are likely to miss out on this trip to Wembley. United have a longer list of injuries which includes new signings Leny Yoro and Rasmus Hojlund. That leaves another new signing, Joshua Zirkzee, in line for a potential start, unless Jadon Sancho starts in a forward role.

Defensive worries have become synonymous with United, who are set to miss Harry Maguire, Jonny Evans, Aaron Wan-Bissaka, Will Fish, and Victor Lindelof. Luke Shaw and Kobbie Mainoo have started their training recently but could feature for United.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Manchester City
CD Huachipato Manchester United
Top Goalscorer
Portugal B. Silva (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Argentina A. Garnacho (1 Goals)
Best assists
Norway O. Bobb (1 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal B. Fernandes (1 Assists)

Manchester City - Manchester United Key Points

  1. The last seven matches between these Manchester rivals produced over 2.5 goals.
  2. City have seen at least four goals scored in each of their four friendlies in the pre-season.
  3. City have conceded 11 goals in those four friendly matches.
  4. The last three friendlies involving United have seen more than two goals scored each time.

Our Manchester City vs Manchester United Prediction

The two Manchester clubs have struggled to find their footing in the pre-season friendlies, which is understandable. Both teams have seen their friendly matches result in some high-scoring outings. Interestingly, the Manchester derbies in recent times have ended up with at least three goals scored.

That was also the case when United won 2-1 against City at this venue in the final of last season’s FA Cup. That could be the case once again, and our Manchester City vs Manchester United prediction is for over 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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Manchester City vs Manchester United - Other Interesting Predictions

Draw at full-time

Odds 4.75

Four of the last seven Community Shields went on to penalties, and that’s something the United fans won’t mind. With injuries decimating their squad, the Red Devils would be desperate to take the game deeper. City’s record in this competition has been underwhelming, with two defeats in their last two Community Shield competitions. A risky bet worth looking at is backing the match to be a draw in regular time.

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Manchester City Manchester United

Manchester City vs Manchester United Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Manchester City wins 1.44 19 +1,219.4%
Draw 5.25 1.03 -80.4%
Manchester United wins 5.5 26 +372.7%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Manchester City is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 1,219.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 69.4% and is now 5.3% (-64.2%)

Manchester City vs Manchester United match : Frequently asked questions

The Manchester City vs Manchester United Community Shield match is scheduled for a 3 pm BST time kick-off on Saturday, August 10, 2024.
This is the traditional curtain raiser of the English Premier League campaign, played between the winners of Premier League and FA Cup from the last season. The Wembley Stadium in London will host this match.

The Community Shield match will be broadcast live on ITV1 TV Channel. Subscribers can watch it online through the ITVX app and the website.

Otherwise, you can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our Community Shield Livescore page!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Manchester City vs Manchester United Prediction

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