England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions
Manchester City's difficult season may well have a happy ending. They are fifth in the Premier League and on Wednesday, they play host to Leicester City who are 19th in the table. Can the Foxes get a shock away win? Read our match prediction.
City are only a point behind the top four but fifth place might just be enough to see them back in the Champions League again next season. The weekend saw them win at Bournemouth to reach the FA Cup semi-finals. Now they return to Premier League action and look to end a run of two top-flight games without a win. This home match against Leicester looks an ideal opportunity to earn three points.
Leicester City are nine points from safety but with a -40 goal difference, that's all but ten. The Foxes are in terrible form and look doomed to be relegated at the end of the season. With 65 league goals conceded this season, it could be a long night in Manchester for them on Wednesday.
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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester City v Leicester Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.2 | 7.5 | 12 |
|
|
1.18 | 7.5 | 15 |
|
|
1.4 | 3.75 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.23 | 7.69 | 11.8 |
|
|
1.23 | 7.69 | 11.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Leicester?
Our prediction for the Manchester City vs Leicester match is: Manchester City to win and lead at both half and full time.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/04/2025 between Manchester City and Leicester in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 74.73% for a win of Manchester City against Leicester with odds of 1.4 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Leicester is 7.35% with odds of 8 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 17.92% chance ⭐ for a win of Leicester vs Manchester City with odds of 16 at Betfair.
Manchester City - Leicester Prediction and Best Odds:
| Manchester City Leicester Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 74.73% | 1.4 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.69% | 1.44 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 50.83% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Manchester City/Manchester City | 39.79% | 1.67 at Bet365 |
Manchester City vs Leicester Form
Manchester City and Leicester's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
61 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 23 |
|
19
|
18 | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | -46 |
Manchester City and Leicester Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
1 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
1 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
2 Feb 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - Premier League
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
27 Feb 2025 - Premier League
21 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
7 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - Premier League
21 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
15 Jan 2025 - Premier League
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
27 Feb 2025 - Premier League
7 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
26 Jan 2025 - Premier League
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
Manchester City vs Leicester Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
15 Apr 2023 - Premier League
29 Oct 2022 - Premier League
26 Dec 2021 - Premier League
11 Sep 2021 - Premier League
7 Aug 2021 - Community Shield
Manchester City - Leicester: Form Analysis
Manchester City's reign as Premier League champions is coming to an end. They are 22 points behind leaders Liverpool and their main aim now is to ensure they qualify for next season's Champions League.
The fifth place they currently hold could well be good enough to achieve that but a top-four finish would definitely see them qualify. It's tight though and only four points separate them from Bournemouth who are tenth.
Sunday saw them win 2-1 at Bournemouth to reach the FA Cup semi-finals. The Citizens have gone two home league games without a win but had won three in a row before a loss to Liverpool and draw with Brighton.
City are on their way back to the Championship.
It is likely only a matter of when Leicester will be relegated. They have only won four league games since their return to the top flight. Their last seven league and cup games have all been lost and 14 of the last 16.
On the road, City have lost ten of their 14 league fixtures with 35 goals conceded. They don't just let in far too many goals, they have failed to score in their last six league fixtures. Their last three away league games have been lost by an aggregate score of 7-0.
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Players list
Ederson
DefenderR. Dias
V. Reis
MidfielderM. Nunes
N. O'Reilly
N. Gonzalez
R. Lewis
O. Bobb
J. Grealish
ForwardJ. McAtee
O. Marmoush
M. Hermansen
DefenderW. Faes
C. Coady
L. Thomas
R. Pereira
C. Okoli
MidfielderW. Ndidi
R. Pereira
B. Facundo
ForwardJ. Ayew
O. Skipp
Substitutes
S. Ortega
DefenderV. Reis
R. Lewis
M. Kovacic
P. Foden
K. De Bruyne
O. Bobb
B. Silva
J. McAtee
J. Stolarczyk
DefenderW. Coulibaly
C. Okoli
R. Pereira
O. Skipp
B. Facundo
S. Mavididi
B. De cordova-Reid
J. Ayew
Missing players
M. Akanji
J. Stones
N. Ake
MidfielderRodri
ForwardE. Haaland
I. Fatawu
Manchester City & Leicester Squad Analysis
Erling Haaland is a major doubt for this home game against Leicester. He injured his knee in Sunday's FA Cup win at Bournemouth and was seen leaving the ground with a protective boot on and needing crutches.
Marmoush is expected to replace Haaland.
Omar Marmoush is therefore likely to start this match and he has been in good scoring form for City since his arrival. The Egyptian scored in the win at Bournemouth.
Nico O'Reilly put in a good performance at the weekend and could start a Premier League game for City for the first time. He could well replace Matheus Nunes.
Leicester will still be without Abdul Fatawu who won't be playing for them again this season. Ricardo Pereira is expected to be fit to play as full-back in this game. Even without Haaland, Manchester City will be making life difficult for their opponents who have such a leaky defence.
Harry Souttar still has a problem with his ankle injury and Odsonne Edourard does not appear to be in Van Nistelrooy's plans. That's surprising considering Leicester's inability to score goals in recent matches.
Most goals and assists
Manchester City
Leicester
E. Haaland
(29 Goals)
J. Vardy
(7 Goals)
Savinho
(10 Assists)
W. Ndidi
(4 Assists)
Manchester City - Leicester Key Points
- Manchester City won the reverse fixture 2-0 last December.
- Leicester City have lost ten away league games this season.
- Leicester City have lost 14 of their last 16 games.
- Leicester City have failed to score in their last six league matches.
- Manchester City have only lost one of their last five home league games and that was to Liverpool.
- Six of Leicester's ten away league losses have seen them behind at both half and full time.
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Our Manchester City vs Leicester Prediction
Leicester are getting close to the point of no return. They are nine points from safety, concede far too many goals and haven't scored a league goal themselves since January 26. Relegation is on its way for the Foxes.
Manchester City have had a disappointing season but could yet win honors this season. This is a golden opportunity to earn three points and to boost their goal difference. Our main Manchester City v Leicester prediction is Manchester City to win and lead at both half and full time.
Prediction :
Manchester City to win and lead at both half and full time
Manchester City vs Leicester - Other Interesting Predictions
Omar Marmoush to score
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Manchester City Leicester
| Manchester City vs Leicester | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 1.22 | 1.2 | -1.6% |
| Draw | 7 | 7.5 | +7.1% |
| Leicester wins | 10 | 12 | +20.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 82.0% and is now 83.3% (1.4%)
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Manchester City vs Leicester match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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