England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions
Manchester City's chances of qualifying for next season's Champions League have been boosted this week. They are sixth in the Premier League and on Saturday are home to 11th-placed Crystal Palace. Can the Citizens get an important home win? Here's our match prediction.
It was confirmed this week that the top five in the Premier League will all go into next season's Champions League. City are still outside even the extra place but only by a point. A win in this early kick-off will take them into fourth position in the table. City are on an unbeaten run at present and in the FA Cup semi-finals. They still lack the consistency that has won them so many titles in recent years.
Crystal Palace are 11th but could still be playing European football next season. They are also in the last four of the FA Cup and only five points behind the eighth place in the Premier League that could earn European qualification. The Eagles are unbeaten in their last eight league and cup games.
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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester City v Crystal Palace Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.62 | 4.2 | 5 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.33 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.75 | 2.9 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.3 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.58 | 5.49 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Crystal Palace?
Our prediction for the Manchester City vs Crystal Palace match is: Manchester City to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/04/2025 between Manchester City and Crystal Palace in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.74% for a win of Manchester City against Crystal Palace with odds of 1.75 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Crystal Palace is 20.07% with odds of 4.6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Crystal Palace vs Manchester City with odds of 5.6 at Betsson.
Manchester City - Crystal Palace Prediction and Best Odds:
| Manchester City Crystal Palace Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace wins | 45.19% | 5.6 at Betsson |
| Under 2.5 | 50.82% | 2.4 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 39.17% | 1.7 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Crystal Palace | 16.59% | 13 at Betfair |
Manchester City vs Crystal Palace Form
Manchester City and Crystal Palace's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
55 | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 20 |
|
11
|
43 | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 1 |
Manchester City and Crystal Palace Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
30 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
1 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
1 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2025 - Premier League
30 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
29 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
13 Mar 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
1 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - Premier League
13 Mar 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
1 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
29 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
10 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
2 Feb 2025 - Premier League
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
Manchester City vs Crystal Palace Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
16 Dec 2023 - Premier League
11 Mar 2023 - Premier League
27 Aug 2022 - Premier League
14 Mar 2022 - Premier League
Manchester City - Crystal Palace: Form Analysis
Manchester City have only lost one of their last five Premier League games. That was an away loss at Nottingham Forest but five points have been earned from their three league games since then.
Three of their last five league fixtures have seen them keep a clean sheet. That's a big improvement on their defending earlier in the season. Home form has seen the Blues win nine of their 15 fixtures at the Etihad. Only Liverpool have beaten them in their last seven home league matches.
Palace are on an unbeaten away run.
Crystal Palace have gone eight league and cup games without defeat. Last weekend saw them beat Brighton 2-1 at home but the Eagles are flying high on the road too. They are unbeaten in their last ten away league matches but were held to a 1-1 draw at Southampton last time out.
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Manchester City against Crystal Palace Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
M. Akanji
J. Stones
N. Ake
MidfielderRodri
ForwardE. Haaland
C. Riad
MidfielderC. Doucoure
Manchester City & Crystal Palace Squad Analysis
Manchester City need to use their home advantage and secure three vital points. They will have to hopefully qualify for next season's Champions League without the services of top scorer Erling Haaland. That isn't quite the crisis it sounds with Omar Marmoush in good scoring form for City since he joined them. Of the last eight goals City have scored, five of them have been scored by the Egyptian.
City will also be without Nathan Ake, Manuel Akanji and John Stones. Their defensive record has been poor this season but they have gone two league games without conceding and will want to keep that run going.
Crystal Palace will be missing Eddie Nketiah for this game. He came on as a sub against Brighton and ended up being sent off. Palace also had Marc Guehi sent off in that heated Premier League game and he also misses the visit to the Etihad.
City need to keep close tabs on Mateta.
Palace have scored in 15 of their last 17 away league games. They needed a 92nd minute goal to earn a 1-1 draw at Southampton in their most recent away league fixture. City will need to keep a close eye on Jean Philippe Mateta who has scored twice for Palace in two of their last four away league games.
Most goals and assists
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
E. Haaland
(29 Goals)
J. Mateta
(16 Goals)
Savinho
(10 Assists)
E. Eze
(10 Assists)
Manchester City - Crystal Palace Key Points
- Manchester City have won nine home league games this season.
- Palace could only draw at now-relegated Southampton in their last away league match.
- Manchester City have only lost one of their last seven home league matches.
- Manchester City have kept a clean sheet in three of their last five league games.
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Our Manchester City vs Crystal Palace Prediction
Manchester City didn't expect to be at the stage where they'd be delighted finishing fifth can take them into the Champions League. They will not find it easy getting three points against Palace but at least the loss of Haaland is tempered by the form of Marmoush.
Another bonus is that their defending has improved of late. Palace are on a good run and still with hopes of European football. An away draw at Southampton is not inspiring though. Our main Manchester City v Crystal Palace prediction is Manchester City to win.
Manchester City vs Crystal Palace - Other Interesting Predictions
Omar Marmoush to score
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Manchester City Crystal Palace
| Manchester City vs Crystal Palace | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 1.55 | 1.62 | +4.5% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 4.2 | -6.7% |
| Crystal Palace wins | 5.25 | 5 | -4.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Crystal Palace is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 19.0% and is now 20.0% (1.0%)
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Manchester City vs Crystal Palace match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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