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Manchester City vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
A crucial top-half clash in the Premier League is on the cards this weekend when Manchester City take on Brighton & Hove Albion at the Etihad Stadium on Saturday afternoon. The Citizens are in fifth place in the league standings, while the Seagulls are two spots behind them in seventh after 28 games. Check out our match prediction below!
Manchester City have dominated this fixture in the past, having never lost a home Premier League match to this opponent (W12 D2 L0), with the last 10 encounters ending in victory. It is the most that the Citizens have faced a single opponent at home without losing in their league history. However, Brighton won the reverse fixture 2-1 at the Amex in November and now have the opportunity to complete their first-ever league double over the defending champions.
The hosts are the clear favourites in this contest, according to the bookmakers. Let’s get into the key stats.
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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester City v Brighton Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.67 | 4.33 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.67 | 4 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.91 | 2.9 | 4 |
|
|
1.68 | 4.59 | 4.69 |
|
|
1.68 | 4.59 | 4.69 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.3 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.64 | 4.46 | 4.56 |
|
|
1.64 | 4.46 | 4.56 |
|
|
1.68 | 4.4 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.64 | 4.46 | 4.56 |
|
|
1.69 | 4.4 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.33 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.66 | 4.25 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.67 | 4.4 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.33 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.68 | 4.5 | 4.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Brighton?
Our prediction for the Manchester City vs Brighton match is: over 2.5 and btts.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/03/2025 between Manchester City and Brighton in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.26% for a win of Manchester City against Brighton with odds of 1.91 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Brighton is 6.3% with odds of 4.59 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 49.44% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Manchester City with odds of 4.69 at 1xbet.
Manchester City vs Brighton Form
Manchester City and Brighton's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
47 | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 15 |
|
7
|
46 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 6 |
Manchester City and Brighton Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
1 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
2 Feb 2025 - Premier League
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
2 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
14 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
14 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Jan 2025 - Premier League
16 Jan 2025 - Premier League
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
Manchester City vs Brighton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
25 Apr 2024 - Premier League
21 Oct 2023 - Premier League
24 May 2023 - Premier League
22 Oct 2022 - Premier League
20 Apr 2022 - Premier League
Manchester City - Brighton: Form Analysis
Manchester City will come into this match looking to bounce back from a 1-0 defeat to this season’s surprise package, Nottingham Forest, at the City Ground last weekend.
That result marked the Citizens' ninth league defeat of the season - the joint-most Pep Guardiola has ever suffered in his managerial career and his first such run since the 2019-20 campaign.
The last reigning league champions to lose 10 in a season was Chelsea back in 2017-18!
However, barring a 2-0 loss to Liverpool last time out, the hosts have been good on their home patch of late, having won and scored two or more goals in each of their preceding three games at this venue.
Meanwhile, Brighton & Hove Albion notched up their 12th win of the season last weekend when they came from a goal behind to beat Fulham 2-1 in stoppage time at Craven Cottage.
With that, the Seagulls are now riding a six-match win streak across all competitions dating back to the start of February and scored two or more goals in each of those victories.
The visitors have also been in good form on the road recently, with three wins in their last four, while they have only failed to find the back of the net once in 14 league outings this season.
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Manchester City vs Brighton last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
M. Akanji
J. Stones
N. Ake
MidfielderO. Bobb
Rodri
J. Steele
DefenderF. Kadioglu
Igor
L. Dunk
J. Veltman
T. Lamptey
MidfielderJ. Milner
M. O'Riley
Manchester City & Brighton Squad Analysis
After scoring six goals in four matches in January, Phil Foden has now failed to find a goal or assist in any of his last five matches.
Given that the Citizens drew blank in two of their last three games, Guardiola may consider bringing Omar Marmoush and Kevin de Bruyne back into the starting lineup this weekend.
Erling Haaland has scored three goals in his last three Premier League home games!
The Norwegian international has netted 20 goals this season, including seven in his last nine, and trails Mo Salah by seven in the race for the Golden Boot.
Given City’s current injuries in defence, one player that could make inroads for the visitors this weekend is Kaoru Mitoma. He has seven league goals this season and scored in three of his last four away games.
The only player to have scored more league goals than the Japan international this term is Joao Pedro, with eight. He scored the winner last weekend and is now looking to find the net in a fourth consecutive league match.
Most goals and assists
Manchester City
Brighton
E. Haaland
(28 Goals)
J. Pedro
(8 Goals)
Savinho
(9 Assists)
J. Pedro
(6 Assists)
Manchester City and Brighton Stats in Premier League
Manchester City - Brighton Key Points
- Six of Manchester City’s last nine league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams have scored in four of Manchester City’s last six home league games.
- Eight of Brighton’s last 10 league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams have scored in seven of Brighton’s last 10 away league games.
- Over 2.5 goals were scored in six of the last seven matches between these sides.
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Our Manchester City vs Brighton Prediction
While Man City have dominated this fixture over the years, they have been some way from their best this season and are unlikely to find it easy against an opponent that has been in good form lately.
The Seagulls have won their last four league games and scored two or more in each of those victories, and they have also netted at least twice in four of their last five on the road in the top flight. Our Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction is over 2.5 and btts.
Manchester City vs Brighton - Other Interesting Predictions
Manchester City wins the match
Manchester City have never lost a home league game against this opponent and won the last 10 such matches before this one.
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Manchester City vs Brighton match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Man City and Brighton will be played on March 15 at 15:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Man City and Brighton will take place at the Etihad Stadium in Manchester.
The Premier League match between Man City and Brighton will not be broadcast on TV in the UK.
However, you can keep up to the minute with all the action using our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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