England - Premier League
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by Daniel Ngulu in Premier League Predictions
Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola has labeled his team’s next Premier League match against Aston Villa a final. On Tuesday the two sides face off in what would be a key game in the race for Champions League football. We have two predictions for this match below, with City being just a point ahead of sixth-placed Villa after both teams won their weekend matches.
Manchester City will be hosting the match at the Etihad Stadium, looking to make the most of a campaign that has gone way below the outgoing champions’ fans' expectations. The season still has five matches to play, and a new champion as well as relegated teams could be determined in midweek.
These two aren’t involved on either end, but their fate as far as the elite European club competition is involved will be in focus. Aston Villa won the reverse meeting between these two, but do they have what it takes to seal a double?
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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester City v Aston Villa Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.83 | 4.1 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.83 | 4 | 4 |
|
|
2.05 | 2.75 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.8 | 4 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.89 | 4.23 | 3.83 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Aston Villa?
Our prediction for the Manchester City vs Aston Villa match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/04/2025 between Manchester City and Aston Villa in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.92% for a win of Manchester City against Aston Villa with odds of 2.05 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Aston Villa is 13.41% with odds of 4.23 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Manchester City with odds of 4.2 at Betfair.
Manchester City vs Aston Villa Form
Manchester City and Aston Villa's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
58 | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 22 |
|
7
|
57 | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
Manchester City and Aston Villa Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
12 Apr 2025 - Premier League
6 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
30 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
1 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
6 Apr 2025 - Premier League
30 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
15 Apr 2025 - Champions League
12 Apr 2025 - Premier League
9 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
15 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - Premier League
20 Mar 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
28 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - Premier League
9 Apr 2025 - Champions League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
30 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
Manchester City vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
3 Apr 2024 - Premier League
6 Dec 2023 - Premier League
12 Feb 2023 - Premier League
3 Sep 2022 - Premier League
22 May 2022 - Premier League
Manchester City - Aston Villa: Form Analysis
Manchester City kept up the pressure for a top five finish with a late win at Everton in their last match. Goals from Nico O’Reilly and Mateo Kovacic in the final six minutes were all they needed for win number 17 in the league.
In light of the season City have had, the last five matches could be considered one of their most stable periods. They have posted four wins in the five games. That’s the same number of wins as in the previous band of 10 matches.
Their three clean sheets in the last four matches are twice the tally they managed in the earlier 14 matches. That, and playing at home, where they have two straight wins in the league, will boost their confidence.
In the last six meetings between these two, there hasn’t been an away win.
Aston Villa will also be bringing their own bag of confidence. Unai Emery’s men had the right response to their Champions League elimination by thumping Newcastle United 4-1 last time out.
With that result, the Lions posted their third straight victory. They come into this one as one of the teams in top form in the league. They have bagged five straight league wins and scored three or more in three of them.
Across all competitions, Villa only lost twice in the last 13 matches. Here they come, not only seeking to extend this record but also targeting a double against City.
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Manchester City vs Aston Villa last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
Ederson
DefenderM. Akanji
J. Stones
N. Ake
MidfielderRodri
P. Foden
ForwardE. Haaland
Manchester City & Aston Villa Squad Analysis
Manchester City will still be without their top weapon in attack, Erling Haaland. The Norwegian is nursing a hamstring injury and could miss the remainder of the season. With that, Omar Marmoush has been handed the role to lead City’s attack.
The Egyptian may be falling short of Haaland’s numbers, but he’s certainly got things working for him at home. In the last five home league matches, Marmoush has scored six times. This run started with a hat trick against Newcastle United.
He has then gone on to score in each of the last three home league matches.
Apart from Haaland, City have four defensive players out injured.
Unai Emery has seemed to prefer starting Marcus Rashford ahead of Ollie Watkins. However, Watkins scoring in the last two league matches might force the Spaniard to rethink.
He scored in the first minute of the Newcastle game last time out, to hit 15 league goals for the season. The Englishman also has seven assists to his name and will surely be a thorn in City's flesh.
Aston Villa’s chances here will be enhanced by the fact they have no fresh injury concerns.
Most goals and assists
Manchester City
Aston Villa
E. Haaland
(29 Goals)
O. Watkins
(16 Goals)
Savinho
(10 Assists)
O. Watkins
(11 Assists)
Manchester City and Aston Villa Stats in Premier League
Manchester City - Aston Villa Key Points
- 14 goals were scored in Villa’s last five away league matches.
- Aston Villa scored three times in three of their last four league games.
- An average of three goals were scored in City’s last five league matches.
- Three of City’s last five league matches at home ended with over 2.5 goals.
- In eight of nine home matches against Villa, City scored three or more goals.
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Our Manchester City vs Aston Villa Prediction
This match is a crucial part of these two sides’ quest for Champions League football. There will be a genuine attempt from either side to bag three points here. The two teams have been scoring a lot lately, leading to high-scoring matches, and we expect the trend to continue here.
City have scored 11 times in the last five league matches and conceded four. Aston Villa scored 13 times in the last five league matches and conceded twice. These aren’t numbers from teams that sit back. Our prediction for Manchester City v Aston Villa is for over 2.5.
Manchester City vs Aston Villa - Other Interesting Predictions
Manchester City to win
Even though it has been a tough season for Manchester City, they have only lost three league games at home. Most of their league wins have actually come at home – 10 of the 17. Also, this fixture rarely goes the visiting team’s way.
No away side has won it in the last six, a stat that will favor Manchester City. While Villa have done well in recent league matches, our second prediction here is for Manchester City to win.
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Manchester City vs Aston Villa match : Frequently asked questions
The Manchester City v Aston Villa match will be played on Tuesday 22, April.
The Manchester City v Aston Villa match will be staged at the Etihad Stadium.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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