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Manchester City vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Ian John | in Premier League Predictions
Manchester City host Aston Villa in another massively important game in the Premier League on Wednesday night (kick off 8.15pm) for both teams. City currently lie third in the table, a point behind Arsenal and three behind Liverpool. Villa are fourth five points behind City, three ahead of Spurs, but having played a game more. City remain unbeaten in their last 23 games, but have drawn their last two EPL matches (with Liverpool and Arsenal). Villa will be hoping they can get a repeat of their 1-0 victory over Manchester City earlier in the season at Villa Park.Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Manchester City v Aston Villa Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.22 | 6.5 | 10 |
|
|
1.22 | 6.5 | 13 |
|
|
1.28 | 5.5 | 10 |
|
|
1.22 | 5.9 | 10 |
|
|
1.15 | 4.94 | 21 |
|
|
1.15 | 4.94 | 21 |
|
|
1.28 | 6 | 9.3 |
|
|
1.28 | 6 | 9.3 |
|
|
1.31 | 6.2 | 8.8 |
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1.2 | 7.1 | 13 |
|
|
1.31 | 6.2 | 8.8 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.25 | 8.5 |
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1.32 | 6.1 | 9 |
|
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1.29 | 6.5 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.27 | 6.3 | 11.5 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.8 | 9 |
|
|
1.3 | 6.6 | 9.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Aston Villa?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/04/2024 between Manchester City and Aston Villa in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.27% for a win of Manchester City against Aston Villa with odds of 1.33 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Aston Villa is 31.7% with odds of 7.1 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Manchester City with odds of 21 at 1xbet.
Manchester City - Aston Villa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Manchester City Aston Villa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 46.27% | 1.33 at Betway |
| Under 2.5 | 50.36% | 3 at Betfred |
| Both Team To Score | 51.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Manchester City/Manchester City | 16.42% | 1.87 at Ladbrokes |
Manchester City vs Aston Villa Form
Manchester City and Aston Villa's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
91 | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 62 |
|
4
|
68 | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 15 |
Manchester City and Aston Villa Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2024 - Premier League
16 Mar 2024 - FA Cup
10 Mar 2024 - Premier League
6 Mar 2024 - Champions League
3 Mar 2024 - Premier League
27 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2024 - Premier League
16 Mar 2024 - FA Cup
6 Mar 2024 - Champions League
3 Mar 2024 - Premier League
20 Feb 2024 - Premier League
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Mar 2024 - Premier League
27 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
24 Feb 2024 - Premier League
13 Feb 2024 - Champions League
5 Feb 2024 - Premier League
26 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2024 - Premier League
17 Mar 2024 - Premier League
14 Mar 2024 - Conference League
10 Mar 2024 - Premier League
7 Mar 2024 - Conference League
2 Mar 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2024 - Premier League
14 Mar 2024 - Conference League
10 Mar 2024 - Premier League
24 Feb 2024 - Premier League
11 Feb 2024 - Premier League
7 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Mar 2024 - Premier League
7 Mar 2024 - Conference League
2 Mar 2024 - Premier League
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
3 Feb 2024 - Premier League
26 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
Manchester City vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Dec 2023 - Premier League
12 Feb 2023 - Premier League
3 Sep 2022 - Premier League
22 May 2022 - Premier League
1 Dec 2021 - Premier League
21 Apr 2021 - Premier League
Manchester City - Aston Villa: Form Analysis
Manchester City's 0-0 draw with Arsenal on Sunday was not a bad result, but it was their second draw in a row and that means that with Liverpool beating Brighton, Jurgen Klopp's team are now three points clear of City and with a better goal difference. That makes this game a must-win one for the Citizens who are unbeaten in their last 23 games in all competitions. In fact, the last team to beat them was Aston Villa back in early December. Goals have become somewhat scarce in recent Premier League games for City. They have scored more than once on just one occasion in their last six EPL games (the 3-1 win over Manchester United), scoring once against Chelsea, Brentford, Bournemouth and Liverpool and failing to find the net on Sunday against the Gunners. City have not lost a home Premier League game to Villa since September 2012, winning all the games at the Etihad between the two teams since.
Since losing 4-0 at home to Tottenham, Aston Villa have bounced back well. They beat Ajax 4-0 at Villa Park, drew 1-1 away at West Ham and then defeated local rivals Wolves on Saturday evening 2-0 thanks to goals from Moussia Diaby and Ezri Konsa. The win saw them remain fourth in the table, three points ahead of Tottenham and eleven in front of Manchester United, both of whom have a game in hand. Villa have been in solid form of late, winning three of their last five and that defeat to Spurs is the only blemish on their record in that spell of results. However, having not picked up a point at the Etihad in the last 11 years in the league, this is going to be a very tough ask for the visitors on Wednesday night.
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Manchester City against Aston Villa Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
Ederson
T. Mings
M. Cash
MidfielderE. Buendia
B. Kamara
J. Ramsey
Manchester City & Aston Villa Squad Analysis
Manchester City will still be without Kyle Walker, who is out at least for this game and may yet be out a while longer. However goalkeeper Ederson, who has been absent with a thigh injury for a while, could be back in contention to start against Villa. One injury concern could be Nathan Ake, who hobbled off in the game against Arsenal at the weekend and had to be replaced by Rico Lewis at right full-back. Lewis could deputise if Ake cannot play, or Pep could elect to play a back three, with John Stones coming into midfield. Stones was initially a doubt for the weekend game against Arsenal but did make the bench, although he did not feature in the draw. City have been very solid defensively of late with both Ruben Dias and Josko Gvardiol impressing at the back.
Villa come into this game hoping that midfielder Jacob Ramsey will be fit for the game. The young England midfielder is reckoned to be a 50/50 chance to be fit enough to play and he may well be needed especially given that John McGinn will serve the second of his two game suspension in this match. Polish international Matty Cash came back from international duty with a thigh injury and will likely be out until mid-April at the earliest. Villa also have long-term absentees Tyrone Mings, Emi Buendia and Boubacar Kamara out until at least next season and maybe nearer Christmas in the case of Kamara. Striker Ollie Watkins has been in great form for the Villains in recent games along with Brazilian midfielder Douglas Luiz.
Most goals and assists
Manchester City
Aston Villa
E. Haaland
(33 Goals)
O. Watkins
(24 Goals)
P. Foden
(12 Assists)
, 
K. De Bruyne
(12 Assists)
L. Bailey
(14 Assists)
Manchester City - Aston Villa Key Points
- Man City are unbeaten in their last 23 games, however they have drawn their last two in the Premier League and have scored just seven goals in their last six Premier League games.
- Aston Villa are in good form away from home. They have not been beaten in any of their last five away games, winning three and drawing two. Scoring 11 goals and conceding just four in that run.
- There have been Over 2.5 Goals in just four of Manchester City's last 11 games and just once in their last seven Premier League games.
- Seven of Villa's last nine games have seen Over 2.5 goals, while six of those nine games also saw both teams score.
- Aston Villa landed their first win over Manchester City in ten years when defeating them 1-0 in early December 2023 in the Premier League. That remains Man City's last defeat in all competitions.
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Our Manchester City vs Aston Villa Prediction
Manchester City vs Aston Villa - Other Interesting Predictions
Under 2.5 Goals
Manchester City vs Aston Villa match : Frequently asked questions
Manchester City and Aston Villa have clashed a total of 180 times in total since their first meeting in 1899.
City have won the most games with 80, Villa winning 58 and there have been 42 draws.
The record between the two was much closer until 2009. Since then City have lost just four times to Villa over those 15 years. The 28 games played have seen City win 21 times, with just three games drawn between the two. Until Villa's win back in December, City had won 10 and drawn one of the last 11 against Villa.
Darren England will be the man in the middle when Manchester City face Aston Villa on Wednesday (kick off 8.15pm).
This will be his 10th Premier League game officiated this season and he has awarded 45 yellow cards and 1 red card in the previous nine.
The game will be the second time he has officiated both Man City and Aston Villa this season. Officiating Aston Villa's win over Crystal Palace in September and then Man City's 1-0 win over Brentford back in February.
Eddie Smart and Nick Greenhalgh will be his assistant referees with Rob Jones the fourth official. John Brooks will be on VAR duty assisted by Simon Bennett.
Manchester City face Aston Villa on Wednesday night, kick off 8.15pm UK Time, and the action will be one of a number of games shown live this week on TNT Sport in the UK. You can also tune in to the live stream of the game online.
If you don't have a subscription to watch the game, then tune in to the Man City v Aston Villa Livescore page to get all the real-time updates from this crucial Premier League clash.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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