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Manchester City vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
The headline fixture of this weekend’s Premier League action comes to us live from the Etihad Stadium, where league champions Manchester City will lock horns with the number-one contenders over the last two seasons Arsenal on Sunday afternoon. The Citizens and Gunners are at it again this season and will enter this match in first and second place in the league standings respectively. To the prediction!
These giants of England will resume domestic league duty this weekend following the opening round of this season’s Champions League in midweek. Both teams played out goalless draws, with Man City held at home by Inter Milan, while Arsenal came away from Atalanta’s Gewiss Stadium with a share of the spoils.
Both sides are set to put their unbeaten league records this season on the line when they clash in Manchester. A win for the hosts would see them pull five points clear of the visitors, while a victory for the Gunners would help them leapfrog the Sky Blues into the lead in the Premier League standings. Let’s get into the key stats at play in this star-studded encounter.
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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester City v Arsenal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.75 | 3.5 | 5 |
|
|
2.1 | 2.45 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.7 | 4.78 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.7 | 4.78 |
|
|
1.76 | 3.6 | 5 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.5 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.5 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.7 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.6 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.7 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.63 | 5 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.6 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.65 | 5.1 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.5 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.75 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.5 | 5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the Manchester City vs Arsenal match is: Under 2.5!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/09/2024 between Manchester City and Arsenal in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.26% for a win of Manchester City against Arsenal with odds of 2.1 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Arsenal is 31.41% with odds of 3.75 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.32% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Manchester City with odds of 5.2 at Betwinner.
Manchester City - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Manchester City Arsenal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 34.32% | 5.2 at Betwinner |
| Under 2.5 | 52.46% | 1.91 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 57.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Arsenal | 14.61% | 10 at Bet365 |
Manchester City vs Arsenal Form
Manchester City and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
23 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
|
4
|
19 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Manchester City and Arsenal Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Sep 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
18 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Community Shield
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Sep 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Community Shield
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
18 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
14 May 2024 - Premier League
11 May 2024 - Premier League
28 Apr 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
15 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
11 Aug 2024 - Emirates Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
11 Aug 2024 - Emirates Cup
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
15 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 May 2024 - Premier League
28 Apr 2024 - Premier League
Manchester City vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Mar 2024 - Premier League
8 Oct 2023 - Premier League
6 Aug 2023 - Community Shield
26 Apr 2023 - Premier League
15 Feb 2023 - Premier League
27 Jan 2023 - FA Cup
Manchester City - Arsenal: Form Analysis
Manchester City are well on their way to what would be a record-extending fifth consecutive Premier League title. They've come through the first four matchdays with a flawless four wins from four, following their Community Shield victory over cross-town rivals Manchester United last month.
The Citizens have beaten Chelsea, Ipswich Town, West Ham United, and most recently recorded a 2-1 home win over Brentford. During that period, City scored 11 goals which included two or more in each of those four matches.
At home, Pep Guardiola’s side are unbeaten in 32 consecutive Premier League matches dating back to December 2022. This includes having won each of their last six on the trot, though they’ve not kept a clean sheet over that period.
Erling Haaland has scored nine of Man City’s 11 goals this season, including back-to-back hat-tricks!
Meanwhile, Arsenal have also made a solid start to the season, notching up 10 points from their first four games. Among those were wins over Wolves, Aston Villa and most recently a 1-0 away victory over arch-rivals Tottenham Hotspur in the North London Derby.
The only points the Gunners have left on the table were against Brighton & Hove Albion in week three, where they were forced to play a large chunk of the match with 10 men after Declan Rice was sent for an early shower.
While City are the favourites at the books, it was Mikel Arteta’s men that excelled in this contest last season, earning four points in the two league encounters, winning their home match and drawing goalless at this venue.
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Manchester City against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
O. Bobb
K. Tierney
T. Tomiyasu
Manchester City & Arsenal Squad Analysis
Manchester City were dealt a significant injury blow in midweek, with their chief creator Kevin De Bruyne suffering a groin injury against Inter Milan and the Belgian is likely to sit out this weekend’s fixture.
Joining De Bruyne on the sidelines are Nathan Ake and Oscar Bobb, who are ruled out with a hamstring and leg injury respectively, which will likely mean Phil Foden will make his first start of the 2024-25 Premier League campaign.
Mikel Arteta has confirmed that Martin Odegaard is set for a “few weeks” out due to an ankle injury!
The Gunners’ skipper sustained the knock on international duty, and while the degree of the injury was ambiguous at first, Arteta provided confirmation of the Norwegian’s absence ahead of their midweek clash with Atalanta.
Other players that will be forced into a watching brief this weekend include new signing Mikel Merino (shoulder), Oleksandr Zinchenko (calf), Takehiro Tomiyasu (knee) and Kieran Tierney (hamstring).
On a positive note for the Gunners, Declan Rice will be eligible to return from his ban and Gabriel Jesus is available for selection having shaken off the groin strain he picked up ahead of the international break.
Most goals and assists
Manchester City
Arsenal
E. Haaland
(15 Goals)
K. Havertz
(7 Goals)
Savinho
(4 Assists)
, 
R. Lewis
(4 Assists)
, 
M. Nunes
(4 Assists)
B. Saka
(7 Assists)
Manchester City - Arsenal Key Points
- Each of the last three matches between these sides have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- All four of Arsenal’s games this season have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Arsenal have kept clean sheets in four of their five matches across all competitions this season.
- Arsenal have not conceded an away goal as yet this season.
- Both teams are missing their chief playmakers in De Bruyne and Odegaard.
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Our Manchester City vs Arsenal Prediction
While we know that both these teams have the personnel to score bucketloads on any given day, games between them tend to play out like chess matches. The result is often both teams nullifying the other’s threat tactically, as seen in each of the last three encounters.
We are expecting another titanic battle when these English powerhouses collide on Sunday. While there will be plenty of high-quality football on display, clear-cut chances will be at a premium. Our Manchester City vs Arsenal prediction: Under 2.5!
Manchester City vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Predictions
Manchester City Under 1.5
While Manchester City, particularly Erling Haaland, have been rampant this season, Arsenal possess arguably the best defence in the Premier League and have yet to be breached in an away game. Additionally, the Gunners did not concede against City in either league match last season.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Manchester City Arsenal
| Manchester City vs Arsenal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 1.85 | 1.75 | -5.4% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.5 | -2.8% |
| Arsenal wins | 4 | 5 | +25.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Arsenal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 25.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 25.0% and is now 20.0% (-5.0%)
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Manchester City vs Arsenal match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Manchester City and Arsenal will be played on September 22 at 16:30 GMT.
The Premier League match between Manchester City and Arsenal will take place at the Etihad Stadium in Manchester.
The Premier League match between Manchester City and Arsenal will be broadcast live in the UK on Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier League.
You can also keep up-to-the-minute with all the Premier League Liverscores right here on SportyTrader!
Michael Oliver will take charge of this match with the assistance of Stuart Burt, Daniel Cook and Andy Madley as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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