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England - Premier League

Manchester City
31 Mar 2024 11:30
Arsenal

Prediction :

 

Manchester City wins the match

 
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Manchester City vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

 by Ian John | in Premier League Predictions

Manchester City host Arsenal in the Premier League on Sunday (4.30pm kick off) in a game that could have a huge bearing on who eventually wins the Premier League title. Third place City are a point behind Arsenal, who are top, and second placed Liverpool. With the Reds in action before this fixture, both teams will know the situation ahead of kick off in what should be one of the best games of the current Premier League season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester City v Arsenal Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.91 3.6 3.8
Betfred
1.95 3.6 3.75
Ladbrokes
1.91 3.5 3.9
NetBet
1.99 3.5 3.55
1xbet
2.16 2.92 3.62
22bet
2.16 2.92 3.62
Betwinner
1.84 3.96 3.9
LSbet
1.84 3.96 3.9
Stake
2.05 3.7 3.55
Melbet
2.03 3.54 3.58
Tonybet
1.95 3.8 3.8
Vbet
1.93 3.78 4.1
Betway
2.1 3.4 3.4
Unibet
1.94 3.7 4
Betfair
1.91 3.75 3.9
Betsson
1.88 3.9 4.1
William Hill
1.91 3.7 3.8
Check all Manchester City vs Arsenal odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Arsenal?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/03/2024 between Manchester City and Arsenal in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.04% for a win of Manchester City against Arsenal with odds of 2.16 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Arsenal is 13.99% with odds of 3.96 at Betwinner.
  • Our prediction model gives a 31.97% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Manchester City with odds of 4.1 at Vbet.

Manchester City - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:

Manchester City Arsenal Prediction Probability Odds
Manchester City wins 54.04% 2.16 at 1xbet
Over 2.5 goals 54.78% 1.96 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 47.08%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Manchester City 22.83% 5.1 at Unibet

Manchester City vs Arsenal Form

Manchester City and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Manchester City
Manchester City
91 38 28 7 3 62
2
Arsenal
Arsenal
89 38 28 5 5 62

Manchester City and Arsenal Last Matches

Manchester City
Manchester City Last matches
W W W W D W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

16 Mar 2024 - FA Cup

Manchester City
2 :  0
Newcastle

10 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Manchester City

6 Mar 2024 - Champions League

Manchester City
3 :  1
FC Copenhagen

3 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Manchester United

27 Feb 2024 - FA Cup

Luton Town
2 :  6
Manchester City

24 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  1
Manchester City
W D W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

16 Mar 2024 - FA Cup

Manchester City
2 :  0
Newcastle

6 Mar 2024 - Champions League

Manchester City
3 :  1
FC Copenhagen

3 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Manchester United

20 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  0
Brentford

17 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  1
Chelsea

10 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Everton
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Manchester City

27 Feb 2024 - FA Cup

Luton Town
2 :  6
Manchester City

24 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  1
Manchester City

13 Feb 2024 - Champions League

FC Copenhagen
1 :  3
Manchester City

5 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  3
Manchester City

26 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Tottenham
0 :  1
Manchester City
Arsenal
Arsenal Last matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 Mar 2024 - Champions League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Porto

9 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Brentford

4 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Sheffield United
0 :  6
Arsenal

24 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Newcastle

21 Feb 2024 - Champions League

Porto
1 :  0
Arsenal

17 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  5
Arsenal
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 Mar 2024 - Champions League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Porto

9 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Brentford

24 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Newcastle

4 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  1
Liverpool

20 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
5 :  0
Crystal Palace

7 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Arsenal
0 :  2
Liverpool
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
33% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

4 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Sheffield United
0 :  6
Arsenal

21 Feb 2024 - Champions League

Porto
1 :  0
Arsenal

17 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  5
Arsenal

11 Feb 2024 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  6
Arsenal

30 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  2
Arsenal

31 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Fulham
2 :  1
Arsenal

Manchester City vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Manchester City

67 %

Draw

17 %

Arsenal

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.83
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

8 Oct 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Manchester City

6 Aug 2023 - Community Shield

Manchester City
1 :  1
Arsenal

26 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Manchester City
4 :  1
Arsenal

15 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  3
Manchester City

27 Jan 2023 - FA Cup

Manchester City
1 :  0
Arsenal

1 Jan 2022 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  2
Manchester City
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Manchester City - Arsenal: Form Analysis

Both Manchester City and Arsenal come into this game in sensational form, adding to the excitement of what could be a season-defining clash between the two at the Etihad. City have now gone 22 games unbeaten in all competitions, since losing 1-0 to Aston Villa on December 6th 2023. In that run they have drawn just three and won 19 of their matches although two of those three drew did come at home (against Crystal Palace and Chelsea) and the other away to Liverpool. Their last league game saw them draw 1-1 at Anfield, but it was Liverpool who probably deserved the win in that game. However, before the international break they defeated Newcastle United 2-0 in the FA Cup quarterfinals to move into the semi-finals where they will face Chelsea in April at Wembley. 

Arsenal's form at present is equally outstanding in the Premier League at least. The Gunners have won all of their last eight Premier League games, scoring 33 goals in the process, an average of over four per game, and they have conceded just four goals in that run. However, they have not proven to be unbeatable. Liverpool knocked them out of the FA Cup in January, winning 2-0 at the Emirates Stadium and they required penalties to defeat FC Porto in the Champions League, after losing 1-0 in Portugal, before winning 1-0 at home and then 4 -2 on penalty kicks. They have beaten City twice in the last two meetings, winning on penalties in the Community Shield before their 1-0 Premier League win back in October, but before that had lost the previous 12 in the Premier League to City.

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Manchester City against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11

Manchester City

Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1

18
S. Ortega
24
J. Gvardiol
3
R. Dias
6
N. Ake
25
M. Akanji
16
Rodri
20
B. Silva
17
K. De Bruyne
8
M. Kovacic
47
P. Foden
9
E. Haaland
9
G. Jesus
29
K. Havertz
7
B. Saka
41
D. Rice
20
Jorginho
8
M. Odegaard
15
J. Kiwior
6
G. Magalhaes
2
W. Saliba
4
B. White
22
D. Raya

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Arsenal

Missing players

Manchester City
Manchester City
Goalkeeper

Ederson

Arsenal
Arsenal
Defender

J. Timber

Manchester City & Arsenal Squad Analysis

Manchester City boss Pep Guardiola does have a number of injury concerns ahead of this fixture. England duo John Stones and Kyle Walker are both ruled out after sustaining injuries on international duty. Jack Grealish, as well as Kevin De Bruyne, Ederson and Manuel Akanji are all carrying slight injuries, although the prognosis is that De Bruyne, Ederson and Akanji should all be fit and Grealish is not too far away either. The positive news for City is that Phil Foden came through the international break unscathed, as did Kevin De Bruyne and the talismanic midfielder Rodri, who has been absent in City's three Premier League defeats this season.

Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta has a couple of injury concerns. Gabriel Martinelli has missed the last few games but is closed to a return, while Bukayo Saka and Gabriel withdrew from international duty due to slight injuries, though both are thought to be in with a realistic chance of starting against City. Other than that Arteta has a relatively clean bill of health and can also select keeper David Raya once again after he missed the 2-1 win over his parent club Brentford last time out. Arteta has a number of selection dilemmas at left back where three players (Zinchenko, Kiwior and Tomiyasu) are contending for one place and also in midfield where Jorginho, Thomas Partey or Leandro Trossard are vying to start alongside Declan Rice and Martin Odegaard, although Trossard could start on the left hand side if Martinelli is not fit enough to start. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Manchester City
CD Huachipato Arsenal
Top Goalscorer
Norway E. Haaland (33 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England B. Saka (20 Goals)
Best assists
England P. Foden (12 Assists)
Belgium K. De Bruyne (12 Assists)
Best assists
England B. Saka (13 Assists)

Manchester City - Arsenal Key Points

  1. Manchester City are unbeaten in their last 13 Premier League games, winning 11 and drawing 2. They have scored 27 goals in that run, conceding 11.
  2. Table-toppers Arsenal have won all their last eight Premier League games, scoring an incredible 33 goals in the process and conceding just 4. A record which has helped them to the top of the table over Liverpool on goal-difference.
  3. City are unbeaten at home this season, winning 10 and drawing 4 of their 14 games at the Etihad.
  4. Two of Arsenal's three defeats this season have come away from home, at Newcastle United and at Fulham.
  5. When the teams met earlier in the season in the league, Arsenal earned a 1-0 win at the Emirates thanks to Gabriel Martinelli's (86) late strike.
  6. That loss to Arsenal was City's first defeat to the Gunners in the Premier League since April 2017. They had won the 12 Premier League games between the two teams since then before that loss back in October.
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Our Manchester City vs Arsenal Prediction

Manchester City v Arsenal promises to be an absolutely enthralling Premier League tie. The first game between the two this season was dramatic and Arsenal snatched the late win in that game. City will know that a loss, or even a draw here, could put them three or four points behind the top two (depending on Liverpool's result) while Arsenal will know that defeat could see them drop from 1st to 3rd in the table. So much is at stake but that City home record is outstanding so our prediction here is for a narrow win for Manchester City. 

Prediction :

 

Manchester City wins the match

 
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Manchester City vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Predictions

Erling Haaland (Manchester City) to score at any time

Odds 2.1
Erling Haaland's stellar career has continued at Manchester City, but he has not scored too many crucial goals for the Citizens. That has to change if City are to realize their dreams this season and after an international break, I think Haaland will be exceptionally keen to add to his 18 Premier League goals this season here. As such, our second prediction is for Haaland to score at any time. 
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Manchester City vs Arsenal match : Frequently asked questions

Anthony Taylor will be the official in charge of the Manchester City v Arsenal title clash on Sunday. It will be his 21st Premier League game refereed this season, the most of any official.

Mr Taylor has awarded 103 yellow cards in those 20 games, an average of 5.15 per game, and he has also handed out three red cards.

He has refereed both Arsenal and Manchester City twice this season, including Arsenal's 3-1 win over Liverpool and Man City's 4-4 draw away to Chelsea.

Adam Nunn and Gary Beswick will be the assistant referees, with Tom Bramall pitchside as the fourth official. Jarred Gillett is on VAR duty assisted by Darren Cann at Stockley Park.

You can tune in to watch the Manchester City v Arsenal Premier League clash on Sky Sports on Sunday. The game will be shown in both HD and UHD (where available) on its Main Event and Premier League channels. The game will also be streamed for subscribers on the Sky Go app. 

If you do not have a Sky subscription, or cannot watch the game, you can keep track of the Man City v Arsenal Premier League game on our dedicated Livescore page. 

Arsenal have slightly the better disciplinary record of the two teams taking part in Sunday's massive game.

The Gunners have seen 41 yellow cards in total this season and have had just two players sent off. 

Manchester City's record is only slightly worse, with City players seeing a combined total of 46 yellow cards this season and also two sendings off. 

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Manchester City vs Arsenal Prediction
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