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Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
by Daniel Ngulu in Football Predictions
For the fourth time this season, South African giants Orlando Pirates and Mamelodi Sundowns will be facing off. This time they are scheduled to meet in the NedBank Cup final at the Mbombela Stadium in Nelspruit on Saturday 1st June. The two sides finished in the top two positions in the Premier Soccer League but Sundowns kept a 23-point buffer ahead of Pirates. Both teams have already tasted glory this season, and as Pirates seek their second cup, Sundowns will be seeking a third.
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The Best Betting Odds for Mamelodi Sundowns v Orlando Pirates Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.83 | 3.1 | 3.9 |
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1.92 | 3.22 | 4.07 |
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1.92 | 3.22 | 4.07 |
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1.87 | 3.1 | 4.26 |
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1.87 | 3.2 | 4 |
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1.88 | 3.25 | 4 |
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1.85 | 3.2 | 4.2 |
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1.9 | 3 | 4 |
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2 | 3.2 | 3.75 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Mamelodi Sundowns and Orlando Pirates?
Our prediction for the Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates match is: Under 2.5 goals
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/06/2024 between Mamelodi Sundowns and Orlando Pirates in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.81% for a win of Mamelodi Sundowns against Orlando Pirates with odds of 2 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates is 23.18% with odds of 3.25 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns with odds of 4.26 at Melbet.
Mamelodi Sundowns - Orlando Pirates Prediction and Best Odds:
Mamelodi Sundowns Orlando Pirates Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Mamelodi Sundowns wins | 40.81% | 2 at Betsson |
Under 2.5 | 64.16% | 1.77 at Unibet |
Both Team To Score | 34.17% | |
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Mamelodi Sundowns | 20.52% | 4.8 at Ladbrokes |
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates Form
Mamelodi Sundowns and Orlando Pirates Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League
21 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League
18 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League
14 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League
11 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League
8 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League
11 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League
29 Apr 2024 - Premier Soccer League
26 Apr 2024 - CAF Champions League
23 Apr 2024 - Premier Soccer League
5 Apr 2024 - CAF Champions League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League
18 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League
14 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League
8 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League
5 May 2024 - FA Cup
2 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League
18 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League
11 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League
8 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League
4 May 2024 - FA Cup
1 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League
11 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League
8 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League
20 Apr 2024 - Premier Soccer League
6 Apr 2024 - Premier Soccer League
16 Mar 2024 - FA Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League
4 May 2024 - FA Cup
1 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League
28 Apr 2024 - Premier Soccer League
13 Apr 2024 - FA Cup
3 Apr 2024 - Premier Soccer League
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Feb 2024 - Premier Soccer League
7 Oct 2023 - MTN 8
20 Sep 2023 - Premier Soccer League
17 Dec 2021 - Premier Soccer League
25 Sep 2021 - Premier Soccer League
2 May 2021 - Premier Soccer League
Mamelodi Sundowns - Orlando Pirates: Form Analysis
The last time Mamelodi Sundowns faced Orlando Pirates in the NedBank Cup was in 2021, and they emerged 4-1 winners. Sundowns will go into this game keen on a repeat of that but they haven't had the best of times against Pirates lately. In the second of their three earlier meetings this season, Pirates overcame Sundowns on post-match penalties in the MTN8 final. The game had ended 0-0 and needed a tie breaker. It also ended in a draw when they met in the league, this time the clash ending 1-1. Sundowns will thus be seeking a first win in three matches against Pirates. It will not help that they ended their league season on a low, suffering their first defeat of the campaign in the final game. Sundowns were downed 1-0 by Cape Town City courtesy of Jaeden Rhodes’ second half strike. That result left them winless in the final two league matches. Even in their current shape, Sundowns will still arrive for this game as favorites, given they’ve lost just once in six meetings with Pirates. That loss was on penalties. In their last four matches against Pirates, Sundowns haven't managed more than a goal.
Orlando Pirates grabbed the last available Champions League spot behind Sundowns on the final day of the league season. A 1-1 draw with SuperSport United didn’t constitute a great result but it was just enough to get them into the continent’s premier club competition. That was greatly helped on by Stellenbosch’s 2-1 loss to Richards Bay. Coming here without a win in three straight games will not breed a lot of confidence among the Pirates fans. The Buccaneers rightly come into this game as underdogs, having won six less than Sundowns in the league campaign. The last three matches came at the end of a seven-game winning run and Pirates will be keen to finish with a win. They will however be concerned by their form against Sundowns in recent matches, having failed to score in five of six meetings. Tapelo Nyongo’s penalty goal in their last meeting is the only strike Pirates have managed in the six meetings. Heading into this game, Pirates will also not look at their recent scoring record proudly. They managed just a goal in the last three matches. However, entering this game as the cup holders is a source of confidence for Pirates. Their semi-final win over Chippa United set them on a nine-game unbeaten run in the competition.
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Mamelodi Sundowns & Orlando Pirates Squad Analysis
After finishing as top scorer in three of the last five seasons, Peter Shalulile will still be a man to watch in this game. This season, he managed just nine goals in the PSL. He missed the season-ender as Sundowns lost to Cape Town City but should be able to make a return here. Another player who has done well in the season for Sundowns is Lucas Ribeiro Costa, grabbing 12 goals in the PSL campaign. The Brazilian was Sundowns’ top scorer in the league and will be crucial to them here too.
Much of the goal-scoring responsibilities for Orlando Pirates will be placed on Tshegofaso Mabasa. The forward had an eventful, and tremendous season as he went on to emerge as the PSL top scorer with 16 goals. His strike on the final PSL day ensured Pirates would be in the CAF Champions League. It was his 10th goal in 12 league starts and it makes his season inspirational having started the campaign on loan at Swallows.
Mamelodi Sundowns - Orlando Pirates Key Points
- Orlando Pirates failed to score in five of six meetings with Sundowns
- The last five meetings between these teams ended in under 2.5 goals
- Sundowns haven't scored more than a goal in four meetings with Pirates
- All of Sundowns’ last six matches played out to under 2.5 goals
- Orlando Pirates scored just once in the last three matches
- Only one of Pirates’ last six matches produced over 2.5 goals
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Our Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates Prediction
This is expected to be a tense affair as the two South African giants look to end the season on a high. Sundowns meeting Pirates is rarely an easy game for either side and this explains why we haven't seen a lot of goals in recent meetings. The last five matches pitting these sides ended in under 2.5 goals. Pirates failed to score in five of the last six meetings. Meanwhile, for all their superiority in the fixture, Sundowns scored more than a goal in just one of the last five meetings. With these runs, our prediction for Mamelodi Sundowns v Orlando Pirates is for under 2.5 goals.
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates - Other Interesting Predictions
Mamelodi Sundowns to win
Mamelodi Sundowns will head into this game as favorites even though they failed to win any of their last two matches. They will be keen to bounce back after losing their unbeaten league run on the final day. They have dominated matches against Pirates, which we expect to extend here. Our second prediction here is for Sundowns to emerge winners.
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Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates match : Frequently asked questions
The Mamelodi Sundowns v Orlando Pirates game is set for Saturday 1 June starting 1500hrs GMT
The Mamelodi Sundowns v Orlando Pirates game will be played at Mbombela Stadium in Nelspruit
Mamelodi Sundowns have the better head-to-head run, with four wins in the last six meetings
This match will be televised live on SuperSport TV Channels 202 and 204. You can also follow updates on the match through SportyTrader.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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