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South Africa - FA Cup

Mamelodi Sundowns
01 Jun 2024 09:00
Orlando Pirates

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup

 by Daniel Ngulu in Football Predictions

For the fourth time this season, South African giants Orlando Pirates and Mamelodi Sundowns will be facing off. This time they are scheduled to meet in the NedBank Cup final at the Mbombela Stadium in Nelspruit on Saturday 1st June. The two sides finished in the top two positions in the Premier Soccer League but Sundowns kept a 23-point buffer ahead of Pirates. Both teams have already tasted glory this season, and as Pirates seek their second cup, Sundowns will be seeking a third.

The Best Betting Odds for Mamelodi Sundowns v Orlando Pirates Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Ladbrokes
1.83 3.1 3.9
Betwinner
1.92 3.22 4.07
LSbet
1.92 3.22 4.07
Melbet
1.87 3.1 4.26
Tonybet
1.87 3.2 4
Betway
1.88 3.25 4
Unibet
1.85 3.2 4.2
Betfair
1.9 3 4
Betsson
2 3.2 3.75
Check all Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Mamelodi Sundowns and Orlando Pirates?

Our prediction for the Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates match is: Under 2.5 goals

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/06/2024 between Mamelodi Sundowns and Orlando Pirates in FA Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.81% for a win of Mamelodi Sundowns against Orlando Pirates with odds of 2 at Betsson.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates is 23.18% with odds of 3.25 at Betway.
  • Our prediction model gives a 36.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns with odds of 4.26 at Melbet.

Mamelodi Sundowns - Orlando Pirates Prediction and Best Odds:

Mamelodi Sundowns Orlando Pirates Prediction Probability Odds
Mamelodi Sundowns wins 40.81% 2 at Betsson
Under 2.5 64.16% 1.77 at Unibet
Both Team To Score 34.17%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Mamelodi Sundowns 20.52% 4.8 at Ladbrokes

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates Form

Mamelodi Sundowns and Orlando Pirates Last Matches

Mamelodi Sundowns
Mamelodi Sundowns Last matches
D W W W D L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

25 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League

Mamelodi Sundowns
0 :  1
Cape Town City

21 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League

TS Galaxy FC
1 :  1
Mamelodi Sundowns

18 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League

Stellenbosch FC
0 :  1
Mamelodi Sundowns

14 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League

Royal AM FC
0 :  2
Mamelodi Sundowns

11 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League

Mamelodi Sundowns
1 :  0
Royal AM FC

8 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League

Lamontville Golden Arrows
0 :  0
Mamelodi Sundowns
D W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

25 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League

Mamelodi Sundowns
0 :  1
Cape Town City

11 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League

Mamelodi Sundowns
1 :  0
Royal AM FC

29 Apr 2024 - Premier Soccer League

Mamelodi Sundowns
3 :  0
TS Galaxy FC

26 Apr 2024 - CAF Champions League

Mamelodi Sundowns
0 :  1
Esperance Sportive De Tunis

23 Apr 2024 - Premier Soccer League

Mamelodi Sundowns
2 :  1
Sekhukhune United

5 Apr 2024 - CAF Champions League

Mamelodi Sundowns
0 :  0
Young Africans SC
W W D W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

21 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League

TS Galaxy FC
1 :  1
Mamelodi Sundowns

18 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League

Stellenbosch FC
0 :  1
Mamelodi Sundowns

14 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League

Royal AM FC
0 :  2
Mamelodi Sundowns

8 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League

Lamontville Golden Arrows
0 :  0
Mamelodi Sundowns

5 May 2024 - FA Cup

Stellenbosch FC
1 :  2
Mamelodi Sundowns

2 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League

Kaizer Chiefs
1 :  5
Mamelodi Sundowns
Orlando Pirates
Orlando Pirates Last matches
W W W L L D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

25 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League

Orlando Pirates
1 :  1
Supersport United

18 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League

TS Galaxy FC
1 :  0
Orlando Pirates

11 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League

Orlando Pirates
0 :  1
Richards Bay

8 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League

Orlando Pirates
2 :  0
Chippa United FC

4 May 2024 - FA Cup

Chippa United FC
1 :  3
Orlando Pirates

1 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League

Cape Town City
0 :  2
Orlando Pirates
W W W W L D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

25 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League

Orlando Pirates
1 :  1
Supersport United

11 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League

Orlando Pirates
0 :  1
Richards Bay

8 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League

Orlando Pirates
2 :  0
Chippa United FC

20 Apr 2024 - Premier Soccer League

Orlando Pirates
1 :  0
AmaZulu FC

6 Apr 2024 - Premier Soccer League

Orlando Pirates
7 :  1
Lamontville Golden Arrows

16 Mar 2024 - FA Cup

Orlando Pirates
4 :  0
Hungry Lions
D W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League

TS Galaxy FC
1 :  0
Orlando Pirates

4 May 2024 - FA Cup

Chippa United FC
1 :  3
Orlando Pirates

1 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League

Cape Town City
0 :  2
Orlando Pirates

28 Apr 2024 - Premier Soccer League

Royal AM FC
0 :  4
Orlando Pirates

13 Apr 2024 - FA Cup

AmaZulu FC
2 :  4
Orlando Pirates

3 Apr 2024 - Premier Soccer League

Moroka Swallows
1 :  1
Orlando Pirates

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Mamelodi Sundowns

67 %

Draw

33 %

Orlando Pirates

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
33%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

17 Feb 2024 - Premier Soccer League

Mamelodi Sundowns
1 :  1
Orlando Pirates

7 Oct 2023 - MTN 8

Orlando Pirates
0 :  0
Mamelodi Sundowns

20 Sep 2023 - Premier Soccer League

Orlando Pirates
0 :  1
Mamelodi Sundowns

17 Dec 2021 - Premier Soccer League

Mamelodi Sundowns
4 :  1
Orlando Pirates

25 Sep 2021 - Premier Soccer League

Orlando Pirates
0 :  2
Mamelodi Sundowns

2 May 2021 - Premier Soccer League

Orlando Pirates
0 :  3
Mamelodi Sundowns
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Mamelodi Sundowns - Orlando Pirates: Form Analysis

The last time Mamelodi Sundowns faced Orlando Pirates in the NedBank Cup was in 2021, and they emerged 4-1 winners. Sundowns will go into this game keen on a repeat of that but they haven't had the best of times against Pirates lately. In the second of their three earlier meetings this season, Pirates overcame Sundowns on post-match penalties in the MTN8 final. The game had ended 0-0 and needed a tie breaker. It also ended in a draw when they met in the league, this time the clash ending 1-1. Sundowns will thus be seeking a first win in three matches against Pirates. It will not help that they ended their league season on a low, suffering their first defeat of the campaign in the final game. Sundowns were downed 1-0 by Cape Town City courtesy of Jaeden Rhodes’ second half strike. That result left them winless in the final two league matches. Even in their current shape, Sundowns will still arrive for this game as favorites, given they’ve lost just once in six meetings with Pirates. That loss was on penalties. In their last four matches against Pirates, Sundowns haven't managed more than a goal.

Orlando Pirates grabbed the last available Champions League spot behind Sundowns on the final day of the league season. A 1-1 draw with SuperSport United didn’t constitute a great result but it was just enough to get them into the continent’s premier club competition. That was greatly helped on by Stellenbosch’s 2-1 loss to Richards Bay. Coming here without a win in three straight games will not breed a lot of confidence among the Pirates fans. The Buccaneers rightly come into this game as underdogs, having won six less than Sundowns in the league campaign. The last three matches came at the end of a seven-game winning run and Pirates will be keen to finish with a win. They will however be concerned by their form against Sundowns in recent matches, having failed to score in five of six meetings. Tapelo Nyongo’s penalty goal in their last meeting is the only strike Pirates have managed in the six meetings. Heading into this game, Pirates will also not look at their recent scoring record proudly. They managed just a goal in the last three matches. However, entering this game as the cup holders is a source of confidence for Pirates. Their semi-final win over Chippa United set them on a nine-game unbeaten run in the competition.

Mamelodi Sundowns & Orlando Pirates Squad Analysis

After finishing as top scorer in three of the last five seasons, Peter Shalulile will still be a man to watch in this game. This season, he managed just nine goals in the PSL. He missed the season-ender as Sundowns lost to Cape Town City but should be able to make a return here. Another player who has done well in the season for Sundowns is Lucas Ribeiro Costa, grabbing 12 goals in the PSL campaign. The Brazilian was Sundowns’ top scorer in the league and will be crucial to them here too.

Much of the goal-scoring responsibilities for Orlando Pirates will be placed on Tshegofaso Mabasa. The forward had an eventful, and tremendous season as he went on to emerge as the PSL top scorer with 16 goals. His strike on the final PSL day ensured Pirates would be in the CAF Champions League. It was his 10th goal in 12 league starts and it makes his season inspirational having started the campaign on loan at Swallows.

Mamelodi Sundowns - Orlando Pirates Key Points

  1. Orlando Pirates failed to score in five of six meetings with Sundowns
  2. The last five meetings between these teams ended in under 2.5 goals
  3. Sundowns haven't scored more than a goal in four meetings with Pirates
  4. All of Sundowns’ last six matches played out to under 2.5 goals
  5. Orlando Pirates scored just once in the last three matches
  6. Only one of Pirates’ last six matches produced over 2.5 goals

Our Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates Prediction

This is expected to be a tense affair as the two South African giants look to end the season on a high. Sundowns meeting Pirates is rarely an easy game for either side and this explains why we haven't seen a lot of goals in recent meetings. The last five matches pitting these sides ended in under 2.5 goals. Pirates failed to score in five of the last six meetings. Meanwhile, for all their superiority in the fixture, Sundowns scored more than a goal in just one of the last five meetings. With these runs, our prediction for Mamelodi Sundowns v Orlando Pirates is for under 2.5 goals. 

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates - Other Interesting Predictions

Mamelodi Sundowns to win

Odds 2

Mamelodi Sundowns will head into this game as favorites even though they failed to win any of their last two matches. They will be keen to bounce back after losing their unbeaten league run on the final day. They have dominated matches against Pirates, which we expect to extend here. Our second prediction here is for Sundowns to emerge winners.

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Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates match : Frequently asked questions

The Mamelodi Sundowns v Orlando Pirates game is set for Saturday 1 June starting 1500hrs GMT

The Mamelodi Sundowns v Orlando Pirates game will be played at Mbombela Stadium in Nelspruit

Mamelodi Sundowns have the better head-to-head run, with four wins in the last six meetings

This match will be televised live on SuperSport TV Channels 202 and 204. You can also follow updates on the match through SportyTrader.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates Prediction

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