South Africa - Premier Soccer League
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by Thobelani Moyo in Premier Soccer League Predictions
Mamelodi Sundowns can cement their position at the top of the Betway Premiership league standings when they welcome the challenge of Kaizer Chiefs at Lucas Moripe Stadium on matchday 20. This anticipated match between league leaders Mamelodi Sundowns and eighth-placed Kaizer Chiefs sees the total goal line set at over 2.5. Let's head into the match prediction.
Mamelodi Sundowns have played 19 games in the Betway Premiership so far. They have secured 17 wins and lost two and currently lead at the top with a 15-point cushion. Masandawana have scored a whopping 46 goals and have conceded only 11.
Kaizer Chiefs, on the other hand, have played 18 games in the Betway Premiership. They have seven wins, four draws and seven losses and are languishing in mid-table. Amakhosi have scored the fewest goals this season (GF 21). They have the joint-fourth worst defensive record in the league with 23 goals conceded. Will they concede more than they should in this impending encounter? Let's have a look at the key stats.
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The Best Betting Odds for Mamelodi Sundowns v Kaizer Chiefs Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.44 | 3.75 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.8 | 2.6 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.47 | 3.94 | 6.72 |
|
|
1.47 | 3.94 | 6.72 |
|
|
1.47 | 3.8 | 7.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Mamelodi Sundowns and Kaizer Chiefs?
Our prediction for the Mamelodi Sundowns vs Kaizer Chiefs match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/03/2025 between Mamelodi Sundowns and Kaizer Chiefs in Premier Soccer League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 65.12% for a win of Mamelodi Sundowns against Kaizer Chiefs with odds of 1.8 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mamelodi Sundowns vs Kaizer Chiefs is 24.12% with odds of 4 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 10.76% chance ⭐ for a win of Kaizer Chiefs vs Mamelodi Sundowns with odds of 8.5 at Unibet.
Mamelodi Sundowns - Kaizer Chiefs Prediction and Best Odds:
| Mamelodi Sundowns Kaizer Chiefs Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mamelodi Sundowns wins | 65.12% | 1.8 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 50.86% | 1.75 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 53.33% | 2.16 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time : Mamelodi Sundowns/Mamelodi Sundowns | 41.27% | 2.3 at Ladbrokes |
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Kaizer Chiefs Form
Mamelodi Sundowns and Kaizer Chiefs's standings in the Premier Soccer League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
58 | 23 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 37 |
|
8
|
29 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -5 |
Mamelodi Sundowns and Kaizer Chiefs Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
19 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
16 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
8 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
16 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
8 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
2 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
25 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
19 Jan 2025 - CAF Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
19 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
11 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
5 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
22 Jan 2025 - Premier Soccer League
11 Jan 2025 - CAF Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
15 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
7 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
4 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
1 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
26 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
15 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
4 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
26 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
19 Jan 2025 - Premier Soccer League
12 Jan 2025 - Premier Soccer League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
1 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
5 Jan 2025 - Premier Soccer League
16 Dec 2024 - Premier Soccer League
8 Dec 2024 - Premier Soccer League
30 Oct 2024 - Premier Soccer League
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Kaizer Chiefs Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Nov 2024 - League Cup
28 Sep 2024 - Premier Soccer League
2 May 2024 - Premier Soccer League
8 May 2022 - Premier Soccer League
12 Sep 2021 - Premier Soccer League
25 Apr 2021 - Premier Soccer League
Mamelodi Sundowns - Kaizer Chiefs: Form Analysis
Mamelodi Sundowns secured a comfortable 4-2 away victory against Sekhukhune United on Wednesday. That was their fifth consecutive win in the fixture.
The hosts come into this match brimming with confidence. They have won three consecutive matches in the Betway Premiership and have scored a whopping 11 goals. Additionally, Mamelodi Sundowns are on a fantastic overall run with nine victories from their last 10 matches across all competitions.
Their performance at home this season has been nothing short of impressive. The Lucas Moripe Stadium has been their stronghold, winning all nine of their home league fixtures with five clean sheets kept during this period.
Kaizer Chiefs have not won against Mamelodi Sundowns since April 2021.
Kaizer Chiefs, on the other hand, are no strangers to the impregnable Lucas Moripe Stadium. They have lost five consecutive matches across all competitions at this venue.
The visitors suffered a rare 4-1 home defeat against Supersport United and that marked their third loss in six league games (W2, D1).
Nasreddine Nabi's troops have been in bad shape when playing away in the league. Only one win has been recorded in their last seven matches while losing four and drawing two in the process.
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Players list
J. February
DefenderA. Tiwani
T. Morena
L. Suarez
M. Khoza
MidfielderT. Mokoena
M. Allende
B. Aubaas
ForwardM. Lebusa
Arthur Sales
T. Matthews
B. Bvuma
DefenderD. Solomons
Edmilson
R. Dortley
I. Miguel
MidfielderN. Blom
M. Maart
ForwardVilakazi
M. Lilepo
A. Du Preez
Pule Mmodi
Substitutes
S. Tshabalala
DefenderM. Lebusa
T. Morena
D. Lunga
MidfielderB. Aubaas
S. Mkhulise
ForwardT. Maseko
T. Matthews
Arthur Sales
B. Petersen
DefenderB. Cross
MidfielderS. Msimango
L. Matlou
D. Solomons
Vilakazi
N. Blom
A. Du Preez
R. Chivaviro
Mamelodi Sundowns & Kaizer Chiefs Squad Analysis
Aubrey Modiba, who received his fourth yellow card of the season after being booked in Wednesday's clash against Sekhukhune United, won't be available for this one. Head coach Miguel Cardoso will have to choose between Sphelele Mkhulise and Tashreeq Matthews.
First-choice goalkeeper Ronwen Williams and Denis Onyango—recently hit with a three-match ban after seeing red against Marumo Gallants—are also not available for this one.
Mamelodi Sundowns will rely on talisman Lucas Ribeiro, who has been in scintillating form this season. He has scored 11 goals in 17 appearances and is the top goalscorer in the Betway Premiership.
Both sides are missing key players!
Kaizer Chiefs are currently in strong shape and have no injury-related issues to report on. The visitors suffered a huge blow on Tuesday against Supersport United with ex-Mamelodi Sundowns star Gaston Sirino receiving his marching orders in the 69th minute.
Mduduzi Shabalala could feature in his place. The 21-year-old has made 17 appearances for Chiefs this season and has four goals to his name. However, he is one card away from suffering suspension with three yellow cards accumulated so far.
Most goals and assists
Mamelodi Sundowns
Kaizer Chiefs
L. Ribeiro
(13 Goals)
W. Duba
(4 Goals)
,
M. Shabalala
(4 Goals)
Mamelodi Sundowns - Kaizer Chiefs Key Points
- Mamelodi Sundowns have seen over 2.5 goals in each of their last three matches in the Betway Premiership.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in two of Kaizer Chiefs' last three league games.
- Mamelodi Sundowns have scored exactly four goals in each of their last three home league games.
- Mamelodi Sundowns and Kaizer Chiefs have seen over 2.5 goals scored in each of their last four encounters.
- Mamelodi Sundowns have scored 28 goals in their last nine home league games.
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Our Mamelodi Sundowns vs Kaizer Chiefs Prediction
Mamelodi Sundowns have been a dominant force in the Betway Premiership this season. They are favorites to win here and extend their lead atop the league standings. The hosts have won four consecutive matches against Kaizer Chiefs while scoring 13 goals and a commanding victory is undoubtedly on the cards.
Kaizer Chiefs have been struggling in this fixture and the league. They are still searching for their first win in this fixture since winning 2-1 in April 2021. Since then, they've gone 11 matches without a win recording nine losses and three draws. Our Mamelodi Sundowns v Kaizer Chiefs prediction: over 2.5.
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Kaizer Chiefs - Other Interesting Predictions
Asian Handicap: Mamelodi Sundowns -1.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Mamelodi Sundowns Kaizer Chiefs
| Mamelodi Sundowns vs Kaizer Chiefs | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mamelodi Sundowns wins | 1.6 | 1.44 | -10.0% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.75 | +7.1% |
| Kaizer Chiefs wins | 5 | 6.5 | +30.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Mamelodi Sundowns is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 62.5% and is now 69.4% (6.9%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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