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by Steve Ashfield in World Cup Predictions
Finland begin their 2026 World Cup qualification group with a visit to Malta. Neither country has ever qualified for the World Cup finals. Can the Eagle-Owls get an away win in their opening match? Here's our match prediction.
This is a match in Group G with the other countries due to be faced being Poland, Lithuania and the losers of the Netherlands v Spain Nations League quarter-final. The winners of the group automatically qualify for the finals with the second placed side going into the play-offs.
Malta have had some success in the Nations League and are unbeaten in their last four matches. Their most recent game saw them held to a goalless home draw by Andorra. Now they face higher ranked nations and life will become more difficult.
The Reds have played 112 World Cup qualifiers and won only three of them. They last earned a point in a World Cup qualifier four years ago. 55 home games have only produced 12 points.
FInland did at least qualify for the Euros in 2020 but had a poor recent Nations League campaign, losing all six of their matches against England, Greece and Ireland. Two of their last three World Cup qualifiers have been won and we tip them to beat Malta.
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The Best Betting Odds for Malta v Finland Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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6 | 3.75 | 1.57 |
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5.5 | 3.5 | 1.57 |
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6 | 3.8 | 1.6 |
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5.9 | 3.96 | 1.61 |
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5.9 | 3.96 | 1.61 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Malta and Finland?
Our prediction for the Malta vs Finland match is: Finland to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/03/2025 between Malta and Finland in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.6% for a win of Malta against Finland with odds of 6.8 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Malta vs Finland is 24.98% with odds of 3.96 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.42% chance ⭐ for a win of Finland vs Malta with odds of 1.65 at Betsson.
Malta vs Finland Form
Malta and Finland Last Matches

3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2023 - Euro
14 Oct 2023 - Euro
19 Jun 2023 - Euro

0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2023 - Euro
17 Oct 2023 - Euro
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - Euro
Malta vs Finland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
26 Mar 2018 - International Friendlies
Malta vs Finland last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Malta - Finland Key Points
- Malta have lost 97 of their 112 World Cup qualifying matches.
- Finland have won their last five matches against Malta with 13 goals scored.
- Finland have won two of their last three World Cup qualifying matches.
- Five of Malta's last six World Cup qualifiers have ended in defeat.
- Malta have only ever won one home World Cup qualifying match.
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Our Malta vs Finland Prediction
Malta have gone four games without conceding a goal but they were playing Liechtenstein, Moldova and Andorra in the Nations League. This is a far tougher assignment as they are home to Finland on Friday.
The Finns lost all their matches in the Nations League. However, they were in League A not D as was the case for Malta. They have won two of their last three World Cup qualifiers and our Malta v Finland prediction is Finland to win.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Malta vs. Finland game!
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Try your luck on this year's World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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