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Malmo FF vs Sparta Prague Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Kennedy Kechula in Champions League Predictions
Malmo and Sparta Prague are set to battle for a place in the league phase of the Champions League. They face off on Wednesday in the first leg of the Play-offs with Malmo playing host. Here’s our preview and prediction of the match.
Malmo booked their slot here courtesy of a 6-5 win against PAOK on aggregate. Their home leg in the tie ended 2-2 then they won it in extra time in the away leg. Most recently, they came from behind to beat Norrköping 2-1 in the Allsvenskan.
That was their third straight win and fourth match undefeated. In the course of their recent matches, Malmo have shown signs of struggling defensively. They have one clean sheet in the last 12 games, and conceded nine times in the last five.
Nine matches into the new season, Sparta Prague are doing well. They are yet to taste defeat so far and come here on eight wins in the course.
However, like Malmo, they are also struggling to keep clean sheets. In their nine outings so far, the Czech champions have managed just two clean sheets but scored in all. Right before heading out to Sweden, Sparta Prague beat Jablonec 2-1 away from home in their domestic league.
That was their third straight win and game that had over 2.5 goals. The visitors started their Champions League journey in the 2nd qualifying round. In the most recent, they eliminated Steaua Bucarest after a 4-3 win on aggregate.
Their four-match unbeaten run in the Champions League is the team’s longest such stretch in the competition since 2010.
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The Best Betting Odds for Malmo FF v Sparta Prague Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
301 | 41 | 1 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.5 | 2.9 |
|
|
68 | 5.91 | 1.16 |
|
|
68 | 5.91 | 1.16 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.4 | 3 |
|
|
2.29 | 3.38 | 3.12 |
|
|
2.29 | 3.38 | 3.12 |
|
|
49 | 5.5 | 1.15 |
|
|
2.37 | 3.36 | 2.99 |
|
|
2.36 | 3.55 | 3 |
|
|
34 | 5.75 | 1.13 |
|
|
34 | 5 | 1.19 |
|
|
451 | 176 | 1 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.4 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.2 | 2.9 |
|
|
201 | 29 | 1.01 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Malmo FF and Sparta Prague?
Our prediction for the Malmo FF vs Sparta Prague match is: Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/08/2024 between Malmo FF and Sparta Prague in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.77% for a win of Malmo FF against Sparta Prague with odds of 451 at Betfair.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Malmo FF vs Sparta Prague is 12.22% with odds of 176 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 56.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Sparta Prague vs Malmo FF with odds of 3.12 at Betwinner.
Malmo FF - Sparta Prague Prediction and Best Odds:
| Malmo FF Sparta Prague Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sparta Prague wins | 56.01% | 3.12 at Betwinner |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76.06% | 10.9 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 83.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Sparta Prague | 31.77% | 41 at Unibet |
Malmo FF vs Sparta Prague Form
Malmo FF and Sparta Prague Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Allsvenskan
13 Aug 2024 - Champions League
10 Aug 2024 - Allsvenskan
6 Aug 2024 - Champions League
30 Jul 2024 - Champions League
27 Jul 2024 - Allsvenskan
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Allsvenskan
6 Aug 2024 - Champions League
27 Jul 2024 - Allsvenskan
23 Jul 2024 - Champions League
7 Jul 2024 - Allsvenskan
28 May 2024 - Allsvenskan
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Aug 2024 - Champions League
10 Aug 2024 - Allsvenskan
30 Jul 2024 - Champions League
19 Jul 2024 - Allsvenskan
13 Jul 2024 - Allsvenskan
28 Jun 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Fortuna Liga
13 Aug 2024 - Champions League
10 Aug 2024 - Fortuna Liga
6 Aug 2024 - Champions League
2 Aug 2024 - Fortuna Liga
30 Jul 2024 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Aug 2024 - Champions League
2 Aug 2024 - Fortuna Liga
30 Jul 2024 - Champions League
19 Jul 2024 - Fortuna Liga
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Fortuna Liga
13 Aug 2024 - Champions League
10 Aug 2024 - Fortuna Liga
27 Jul 2024 - Fortuna Liga
23 Jul 2024 - Champions League
22 May 2024 - Cup
Malmo FF vs Sparta Prague Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
1 Feb 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Malmo FF against Sparta Prague Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Most goals and assists
Malmo FF
Sparta Prague
E. Botheim
(4 Goals)
V. Olatunji
(7 Goals)
Busanello
(2 Assists)
L. Haraslin
(1 Assists)
, 
F. Panak
(1 Assists)
,
V. Olatunji
(1 Assists)
,
L. Sadilek
(1 Assists)
Malmo FF - Sparta Prague Key Points
- Malmo scored in nine of their last 10 matches.
- 20 goals were scored in Malmo’s last five matches.
- Each of Malmo’s four Champions League matches yielded over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in Sparta Prague’s last three Champions League games.
- Six of Sparta Prague’s nine matches this season saw over 2.5 goals scored.
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Our Malmo FF vs Sparta Prague Prediction
Sparta Prague have had a very positive start to the season and will be confident of their chances in this first leg meeting. It will be their fourth straight away game, and they’ll be targeting a fourth win on the bounce.
However, they have no clean sheet in the last three, all which produced over 2.5 goals. Malmo will be aware of the threat their visitors come with, but they’ve also done well in recent times. They have three consecutive wins but one clean sheet only in 12 games and most produced at least three goals.
Our prediction for Malmo v Sparta Prague is for both teams to score and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Malmo FF Sparta Prague
| Malmo FF vs Sparta Prague | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malmo FF wins | 2.5 | 301 | +11,940.0% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 41 | +1,105.9% |
| Sparta Prague wins | 2.7 | 1 | -63.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sparta Prague is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 63.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 37.0% and is now 100.0% (63.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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