Mallorca vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Sridhar in LaLiga Predictions
Mallorca faces the ominous task of hosting Real Madrid as La Liga 2024/25 action begins this week. This match will be played at the Mallorca Son Moix Stadium in the Balearic Islands on Sunday, with our prediction favoring an away win.
The hosts have a new manager in the mix, as Jagoba Arrasate takes charge of the club, replacing Javier Aguirre. There were promising signs in the pre-season friendlies, although the real test begins now.
Madrid already started their hunt for silverware, winning the UEFA Super Cup with a 2-0 win over Atalanta on Wednesday. The 36-time La Liga champions have strengthened their squad with the addition of French superstar Kylian Mbappé, who is ominous news for all their opponents.
Can Mallorca find a way to halt the charge of the reigning Spanish and European champions? Let's take a closer look at the squads and the chances for each side.
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The Best Betting Odds for Mallorca v Real Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17 | 1.14 | 7.5 |
|
|
7 | 4.2 | 1.48 |
|
|
5.55 | 3.2 | 1.69 |
|
|
5.55 | 3.2 | 1.69 |
|
|
7.75 | 4.3 | 1.47 |
|
|
9.6 | 4.96 | 1.34 |
|
|
14.5 | 1.16 | 5.75 |
|
|
7.4 | 4.4 | 1.45 |
|
|
7.6 | 4.5 | 1.46 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Mallorca and Real Madrid?
Our prediction for the Mallorca vs Real Madrid match is: Real Madrid to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/08/2024 between Mallorca and Real Madrid in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.86% for a win of Mallorca against Real Madrid with odds of 17 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mallorca vs Real Madrid is 19.89% with odds of 4.96 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 52.25% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Madrid vs Mallorca with odds of 7.5 at Bet365.
Mallorca - Real Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Mallorca Real Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 52.25% | 7.5 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 57.33% | 2.49 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 33.75% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Real Madrid | 27.6% | 4 at Bet365 |
Mallorca vs Real Madrid Form
Mallorca and Real Madrid's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
|
12
|
5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 |
Mallorca and Real Madrid Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Aug 2024 - Uefa Super Cup
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Jun 2024 - Champions League
25 May 2024 - LaLiga
Mallorca against Real Madrid : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
3 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
5 Feb 2023 - LaLiga
11 Sep 2022 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2022 - LaLiga
22 Sep 2021 - LaLiga
Mallorca - Real Madrid: Form Analysis
Mallorca are in good form, remaining unbeaten in ther six pre-season friendly matches. They won five and drew one, going on to lose that drawn match via penalties.
The hosts were 15th in La Liga last season with 40 points, seven above the relegation zone. It was a comfortable gap to safety, but Mallorca will target a better performance this year. They had a better finish to the campaign, though, winning and drawing two games each in their last four league matches. Replicating that form may be tough, as they come up against Madrid, a team that defeated them 1-0 in both games last season.
Madrid are unbeaten in 32 La Liga games, a record in their league history.
The champions had 29 wins and eight draws last season but ended the campaign with two consecutive draws. Nevertheless, nine straight wins prior to those draws underline their supremacy, as does their record of just one loss in the entire season.
Carlo Ancelotti's men finished last season with four wins and a draw from their last five away matches. They had a relatively modest pre-season, winning one and losing two friendly matches, but the 2-0 win in the UEFA Super Cup over Atalanta showed that they mean business.
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Mallorca against Real Madrid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
M. Morey
P. Maffeo
ForwardJ. Llabres
D. Alaba
J. Ramon
MidfielderE. Camavinga
J. Bellingham
D. Ceballos
A. Tchouameni
Mallorca & Real Madrid Squad Analysis
Javi Llabres misses out for Mallorca in this match, struggling with a muscular problem. That remains the only injury worry for the hosts. There could be a debut for defender Johan Mojica, who was at Osasuna last season, on loan from Villarreal.
Madrid will be without David Alaba, who may return only later in 2024.
The defending La Liga Champions will also be without Eduardo Camavinga, with the French midfielder picking up a knee injury before the Super Cup. Fortunately for Madrid, no player was injured from the match against Atalanta.
Any hopes for Mallorca will rest on Vedat Muriqi, who scored seven goals last season. Keep an eye on Sergi Darder, who was their chief playmaker last campaign, creating 46 chances and racking up five assists.
For Madrid, Jude Bellingham had 19 goals, and Vinicius Junior had 15 goals in the last campaign. Luka Modrid created 1.3 chances per game, but the aging midfield maestro's influence has been on a gradual decline.
Mallorca - Real Madrid Key Points
- Madrid won both their league matches against Mallorca last season by a 1-0 scoreline.
- Madrid won nine of their last 11 La Liga matches, drawing the other two.
- Mallorca lost two of their last four home league matches, drawing one.
- Madrid won four of their last five away league matches.
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Our Mallorca vs Real Madrid Prediction
Real Madrid have a strong record against Mallorca in recent times, losing only twice in the last 16 matches. Last season saw Los Blancos record identical 1-0 wins. The confidence in the visiting camp will be high after their UEFA Super Cup win over Atalanta.
Mallorca had a very good pre-season themselves, but they aren't likely to upset the odds here. Back the visitors to win, and that's what our prediction for Mallorca vs Real Madrid does. If you are in the mood for a bit of risk, try backing the score to be 1-0, the exact score in the last three matches between these two sides. Intriguingly, 1-0 was also the scoreline in five of Mallorca's last six home league matches.
Mallorca vs Real Madrid - Other Interesting Predictions
Kylian Mbappé to score anytime
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Mallorca Real Madrid
| Mallorca vs Real Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca wins | 4.5 | 17 | +277.8% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 1.14 | -70.0% |
| Real Madrid wins | 1.65 | 7.5 | +354.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 354.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 60.6% and is now 13.3% (-47.3%)
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Mallorca vs Real Madrid match : Frequently asked questions
This Mallorca vs Real Madrid La Liga match will be televised live in the UK on ITV4, Premier Sports 1, La Liga TV, and ITAX.
You can also follow the game through our live scores. Check out our La Liga Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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