Africa - AFCON
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by Daniel Ngulu in AFCON Predictions
Mali are through to the AFCON 2025 finals and will be hoping to finish the qualifiers on a winning note. In Bamako this Tuesday, Les Aigles, who top Group I, will play host to bottom-placed Swaziland. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Mali have their ticket for Morocco 2025 punched and ready. They can’t finish anywhere below the top two. They may want to play for top spot, by targeting a draw here.
Otherwise for them, this is a dead rubber affair following their 1-0 win in Mozambique on Friday. That was also their fourth straight clean sheet, and they conceded just once so far.
For Swaziland, this match is also a dead rubber, though they haven't achieved much in their participation in the qualifiers. They go into the game having been eliminated, and with a massively inferior goal difference, can’t finish above fourth spot.
Heading into Match Day 6, they’ve collected just two points from the opening five. The visitors have scored two goals only and yet they face the group’s best defence.
In their home leg, Swaziland lost 1-0 to Mali and they have no clean sheet in these qualifiers so far. They are coming from a 1-1 draw with Guinea-Bissau.
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The Best Betting Odds for Mali v Eswatini Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.53 | 2.9 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.26 | 4.9 | 14 |
|
|
1.2 | 5.4 | 16 |
|
|
1.24 | 5.5 | 15 |
|
|
1.2 | 5.25 | 13 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Mali and Eswatini?
Our prediction for the Mali vs Eswatini match is: Under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/11/2024 between Mali and Eswatini in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 65.83% for a win of Mali against Eswatini with odds of 1.53 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mali vs Eswatini is 22.62% with odds of 5.5 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 11.55% chance ⭐ for a win of Eswatini vs Mali with odds of 17 at Betsson.
Mali - Eswatini Prediction and Best Odds:
| Mali Eswatini Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mali wins | 65.83% | 1.53 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 68.84% | 1.85 at William Hill |
| Both Team To Score | 39.58% | 2.95 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time : Mali/Mali | 39.27% | 1.85 at Ladbrokes |
Mali vs Eswatini Form
Mali and Eswatini's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
|
4
|
2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -11 |
Mali and Eswatini Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
3 Feb 2024 - AFCON
30 Jan 2024 - AFCON
16 Jan 2024 - AFCON
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
2 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
26 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
26 Mar 2024 - AFCON
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
2 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
29 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
Mali vs Eswatini Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
Missing players
H. Traore
Kiki
MidfielderB. Traore
Most goals and assists
Mali
Eswatini
L. Sinayoko
(3 Goals)
K. Doumbia
(2 Assists)
Mali - Eswatini Key Points
- Mali conceded once in their five Group I matches.
- Eight of Mali’s last 10 matches produced under 2.5 goals.
- Mali never scored more than a goal in the last six matches.
- Seven of Eswatini’s last 10 AFCON qualifiers had under 2.5 goals.
- Swaziland’s last four away matches all had under 2.5 goals.
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Our Mali vs Eswatini Prediction
A total of 14 goals have been scored across these teams’ matches in Group I, which average 1.4 goals per game. Individually, the teams scored a combined six goals with Mali producing four. With such numbers we can rightly expect a low-scoring game.
Swaziland are so far among the poorest in attack in these qualifiers. In this group alone, they failed to score in three of five matches. Mali, meanwhile, are averaging under a goal per game in the qualifiers. Our prediction for the Mali v Swaziland game is, therefore, under 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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