Africa - AFCON
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Mali vs Mozambique Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Devesh Jaganath in AFCON Predictions
Mali and Mozambique will begin their Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers when they clash at Venue Stade 26 Mars on Friday night. The Eagles and the Mambas are joined in Group I of the competition by Eswatini and Guinea-Bissau. Let’s jump into the match prediction.
Mali were one of the dark horses at the previous edition of the Africa Cup of Nations, and pulled off a major upset to beat South Africa, Namibia and Tunisia to top spot in the group stages, drawing two and winning one of their three matches.
In the knockouts, the Eagles downed Burkina Faso in the round of 16 but were agonisingly beaten by the Ivory Coast in the final minute of extra time in the quarter-final after the match finished 1-1 in the regulation 90.
Since then, Mali won both their international friendlies in March against Mauritania and Nigeria, but lost to Ghana and drew against Madagascar in their World Cup qualifiers back in June.
Meanwhile, Mozambique’s AFCON campaign at the start of the year was less impressive, as they bowed out of the competition in the group stages, winless in their three matches with two draws and a loss.
However, the Mambas put on a much better showing in the COSAFA Cup in July, claiming third place in the competition, overcoming the likes of Botswana and the Comoros en route to the bronze medal.
Mozambique are unbeaten in their last five away matches in all competitions but did lose their only previous encounter against their upcoming opponents 2-1 way back in 2014.
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The Best Betting Odds for Mali v Mozambique Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.69 | 3.4 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.69 | 3.4 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.2 | 8.85 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.2 | 8.85 |
|
|
1.41 | 4 | 8.4 |
|
|
1.44 | 3.8 | 7 |
|
|
1.36 | 3.8 | 9 |
|
|
1.33 | 3.7 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.44 | 4 | 8 |
|
|
1.45 | 4 | 9.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Mali and Mozambique?
Our prediction for the Mali vs Mozambique match is: Both teams to score!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/09/2024 between Mali and Mozambique in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.45% for a win of Mali against Mozambique with odds of 1.69 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mali vs Mozambique is 39.03% with odds of 4.2 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.53% chance ⭐ for a win of Mozambique vs Mali with odds of 9.2 at Vbet.
Mali - Mozambique Prediction and Best Odds:
| Mali Mozambique Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mali wins | 41.45% | 1.69 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.9% | 2.4 at Betfair |
| Both Team To Score | 66.67% | 2.75 at William Hill |
| Half-time / Full-time : Mali/Mali | 24.43% | 2.2 at Betfair |
Mali vs Mozambique Form
Mali and Mozambique's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
|
2
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Mali and Mozambique Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3 Feb 2024 - AFCON
30 Jan 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
3 Feb 2024 - AFCON
30 Jan 2024 - AFCON
16 Jan 2024 - AFCON
6 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2023 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
24 Jan 2024 - AFCON
20 Jan 2024 - AFCON
18 Jun 2023 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
5 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
2 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
29 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
26 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
2 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
29 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
22 Jan 2024 - AFCON
19 Nov 2023 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
26 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
19 Jan 2024 - AFCON
14 Jan 2024 - AFCON
8 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
Missing players
H. Traore
Kiki
MidfielderB. Traore
Most goals and assists
Mali
Mozambique
L. Sinayoko
(3 Goals)
K. Doumbia
(2 Assists)
Mali - Mozambique Key Points
- Four of Mali’s last six home games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Mali have scored in each of their last 12 home matches in succession.
- Mozambique have scored at least once in six of their last eight matches.
- Mozambique have scored in each of their last 10 away matches in succession.
- Both teams scored in the only previous encounter between these sides.
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Our Mali vs Mozambique Prediction
While Mozambique had a fairly poor AFCON campaign earlier this year, they have improved since then, and will be in high spirits heading into this competition off the back of an impressive COSAFA Cup showing.
Mali, though, are a difficult side to beat on their home patch. This one feels a little too close to call the winner, but we expect that both sides will find the back of the net at least once. Our Mali vs Mozambique prediction: Both teams to score!
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Mali Mozambique
| Mali vs Mozambique | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mali wins | 1.69 | 1.69 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.4 | 0% |
| Mozambique wins | 4.6 | 4.6 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Mali is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.2% and is now 59.2% (0.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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