Africa - AFCON
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Mali vs Burkina Faso Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Daniel Ngulu in AFCON Predictions
Mali and Burkina Faso will meet on Tuesday in the round of 16 at the 2023 African Cup of Nations. The winner will then advance to the quarterfinals where a showdown with either Senegal or Ivory Coast awaits. This will be the second meeting between the two nations at the African Cup of Nations. For this and more tips, check out our 2023 AFCON predictions page.
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The Best Betting Odds for Mali v Burkina Faso Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.15 | 2.8 | 4 |
|
|
2.22 | 2.72 | 3.95 |
|
|
2.11 | 2.85 | 4.38 |
|
|
2.11 | 2.85 | 4.38 |
|
|
2.19 | 2.75 | 4.26 |
|
|
2.19 | 2.75 | 4.26 |
|
|
2.09 | 2.75 | 3.95 |
|
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2.2 | 2.83 | 4.08 |
|
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2.16 | 2.9 | 3.85 |
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2.28 | 2.8 | 3.9 |
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2.3 | 2.7 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.33 | 2.87 | 3.66 |
|
|
2.25 | 2.75 | 3.8 |
|
|
2.2 | 2.75 | 4.3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Mali and Burkina Faso?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/01/2024 between Mali and Burkina Faso in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.36% for a win of Mali against Burkina Faso with odds of 2.33 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mali vs Burkina Faso is 23.33% with odds of 2.9 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.31% chance ⭐ for a win of Burkina Faso vs Mali with odds of 4.38 at 1xbet.
Mali - Burkina Faso Prediction and Best Odds:
| Mali Burkina Faso Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mali wins | 55.36% | 2.33 at Vbet |
| Under 2.5 | 56.39% | 1.4 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Mali | 28.62% | 41 at Unibet |
Mali vs Burkina Faso Form
Mali and Burkina Faso Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2024 - AFCON
20 Jan 2024 - AFCON
16 Jan 2024 - AFCON
6 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jan 2024 - AFCON
6 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
8 Sep 2023 - AFCON
24 Mar 2023 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2024 - AFCON
20 Jan 2024 - AFCON
18 Jun 2023 - AFCON
28 Mar 2023 - AFCON
24 Jan 2023 - African Nations Championship
9 Jun 2022 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jan 2024 - AFCON
20 Jan 2024 - AFCON
16 Jan 2024 - AFCON
10 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jan 2024 - AFCON
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
8 Sep 2023 - AFCON
24 Mar 2023 - AFCON
3 Jun 2022 - AFCON
5 Feb 2022 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jan 2024 - AFCON
20 Jan 2024 - AFCON
10 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
18 Jun 2023 - AFCON
Mali vs Burkina Faso Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
16 Jan 2021 - African Nations Championship
Mali - Burkina Faso: Form Analysis
Mali are through to the knockout round for the third successive tournament. Eric Chelle’s men will now look to advance from the last 16 for the first time since the expansion of the tournament. The last two editions have seen the West Africans eliminated in this very round. Mali advanced in the competition as one of six group winners. They topped Group E with five points after winning one and drawing two of their three matches. The Eagles, who haven’t lost in 10 outings, began the tournament with a 2-0 victory over South Africa. They would follow this up with a 1-1 draw with Tunisia and then a 0-0 stalemate with Namibia to close out the group. Mali haven’t lost to Burkina Faso in the eight meetings between the two nations. They have won an impressive seven times even though most of their encounters have been in friendly matches. One of their two competitive wins in this period was a 3-1 success in the group stage of the 2004 African Cup of Nations.
Burkina Faso have had more recent success at AFCON than Mali and will want to keep this going. In three of their last four appearances at the continental stage, they have qualified for at least the semifinals. The 2013 runners-up, finished fourth in 2021 to mark their return to the competition after missing the 2019 tournament. This year though they have looked shaky and qualified from Group D in second place with four points. Hubert Velud’s men began the tournament with a not-so-convincing 1-0 win over Mauritania. They needed a stoppage-time penalty to get the better of a Mauritania team ranked more than 40 places below them in the world. In their next match, they drew 2-2 with Algeria before missing their chance to win the group as they lost 2-0 to Angola. The Burkinabe have struggled to win matches and in their last 13 outings, have managed just four victories. One clean sheet only in five matches will also be a concern for them. In AFCON matches, they’ve conceded two or more in four of the last five.
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Mali against Burkina Faso Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Mali & Burkina Faso Squad Analysis
Mali haven’t been one of the dominant attacking teams at this year’s competition but have been one of the more dominant defensively. They have conceded just once in the competition. Goalkeeper Djigui Diarra has played every minute and so too have defenders Hamari Traore, Boubakar Kouyate, and Sikou Niakite. They all should again start here. Yves Bissouma looks to be back to his best after an injury scare on Match Day 1. He played the entire game against Namibia. Lassine Sinayoko has scored twice already for Mali at the AFCON and should be one to look out for here in attack. The other is Kamory Doumbia who has assisted both of Sinayoko’s goals.
Burkina Faso will hope their inconsistent attack can break through Mali’s rigid backline. Bertrand Traore has scored twice in the competition with both of his goals being penalties. The Aston Villa forward is one of the most capped players in the current set-up and is their leading scorer. Mohammed Konate has scored Burkina Faso’s only open-play goal. He is likely to return at the tip of the attack in place of Dango Ouattara who failed to impress against Angola.
Most goals and assists
Mali
Burkina Faso
L. Sinayoko
(3 Goals)
K. Doumbia
(2 Assists)
Mali - Burkina Faso Key Points
- Mali haven’t lost to Burkina Faso in eight meetings, winning seven times
- Burkina Faso have lost three times in their last five AFCON fixtures
- Mali haven’t lost in 10 outings with seven of those games ending in victory
- Two of Burkina Faso’s last five matches ended in defeat
- Mali haven’t lost in six of their last seven AFCON fixtures, winning three times
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Our Mali vs Burkina Faso Prediction
Our prediction for Mali v Burkina Faso is for Mali to win. Even though these two teams haven’t played each other that much in competitive situations, Mali still have dominated this fixture. We expect them to continue doing so given that they also arrive for this match in better form than Burkina Faso.
Mali vs Burkina Faso - Other Interesting Predictions
Under 2.5 goals
This match brings together two top footballing nations and giants of West African football. This and the fact that a quarterfinal is at stake should see a closely fought encounter with minimal chances created at both ends. Mali have been excellent in defence at the AFCON and should be able to stifle an inconsistent Burkina Faso side. Two of Burkina Faso’s three matches here have had under 2.5 goals. Meanwhile, all of Mali’s three matches in this competition have produced less than three goals. Also, all the last 10 of Mali’s AFCON matches returned under 2.5 goals. Another exciting prediction for this game, therefore, we will go for an under 2.5 goals outcome.
Mali vs Burkina Faso match : Frequently asked questions
The Mali v Burkina Faso match will be played on Tuesday 30 January and will kick off at 17:00 GMT.
The Mali v Burkina Faso match will be played at the Amadou Gon Coulibaly Stadium in Korhogo, Ivory Coast.
Tuesday in Korhogo will be a humid day with highs of 37 and lows of 19.
Sky Sports Football and Sky Sports Main Event will broadcast the Mali v Burkina Faso match live for audiences in the UK. For fans in Burkina Faso, RTB will have this game live while ORTM will do the same for audiences in Mali. SuperSport will broadcast the game generally for audiences in Africa, while Sportytrader will have the match updates and beIN Sport will broadcast the game for viewers in the Middle East and North Africa regions.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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