Africa - AFCON
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Malawi vs Senegal Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Kennedy Kechula in AFCON Predictions
Malawi have the chance to avenge their heavy loss to Senegal when they welcome the African giants to Lilongwe for an AFCON 2025 qualifier. The Flames fell to The Lions of Teranga in their last outing, leaving them on zero points in Group L after three matches. We have the preview and prediction for this match.
A 4-0 defeat against Senegal in Diamniadio on Friday left Malawi rooted at the foot of their group. That was their fourth straight defeat and the second time in four matches that they failed to score.
Malawi have conceded three or more in each of their last three matches, a run that leaves them short of confidence. They have now failed to win any of their last eight matches in AFCON qualification.
Senegal are on the cusp of securing another appearance at the topmost football tournament in Africa. They have recovered from their opening 1-1 draw with Burkina Faso in these qualifiers.
In their last two matches Senegal kept clean sheets, in wins over Burundi and most recently, Malawi. The visitors have conceded one goal in the last four matches, and haven't tasted defeat in the previous seven games.
They’ve actually avoided defeat inside 90 minutes in their last 15 outings. This match marks the fourth meeting between the two nations and Senegal will be bullish about it. The former African champions have three wins in the four meetings with Malawi.
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The Best Betting Odds for Malawi v Senegal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8 | 3 | 1.53 |
|
|
11.9 | 5.03 | 1.31 |
|
|
11.9 | 5.03 | 1.31 |
|
|
11.5 | 4.8 | 1.26 |
|
|
10.5 | 5.05 | 1.3 |
|
|
10.5 | 5.05 | 1.3 |
|
|
9.6 | 4.8 | 1.3 |
|
|
14 | 4.9 | 1.29 |
|
|
10 | 4.9 | 1.28 |
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|
12 | 5 | 1.3 |
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9 | 4.5 | 1.3 |
|
|
10.5 | 4.8 | 1.3 |
|
|
11 | 4.6 | 1.2 |
|
|
9.5 | 5 | 1.3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Malawi and Senegal?
Our prediction for the Malawi vs Senegal match is: Senegal to win with a clean sheet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/10/2024 between Malawi and Senegal in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 6.56% for a win of Malawi against Senegal with odds of 14 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Malawi vs Senegal is 27.49% with odds of 5.05 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 65.95% chance ⭐ for a win of Senegal vs Malawi with odds of 1.53 at Ladbrokes.
Malawi - Senegal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Malawi Senegal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Senegal wins | 65.95% | 1.53 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.03% | 1.92 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 43.75% | 2.6 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time: Senegal/Senegal | 32.04% | 1.95 at Betsson |
Malawi vs Senegal Form
Malawi and Senegal's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
|
4
|
4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -5 |
Malawi and Senegal Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
9 Sep 2023 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - AFCON
24 Mar 2023 - AFCON
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
29 Jan 2024 - AFCON
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
23 Jan 2024 - AFCON
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
17 Jun 2023 - AFCON
Malawi vs Senegal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
18 Jan 2022 - AFCON
Malawi vs Senegal last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Most goals and assists
Malawi
Senegal
L. Camara
(2 Goals)
,
H. Diallo
(2 Goals)
S. Mane
(3 Assists)
Malawi - Senegal Key Points
- Malawi have lost all their last four matches.
- Senegal are unbeaten in their last seven matches.
- In four games against Malawi, Senegal are unbeaten.
- Malawi failed to score in two of their last four matches.
- In the last two meetings with Senegal Malawi didn’t score.
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Our Malawi vs Senegal Prediction
Senegal are two wins away from qualifying for yet another AFCON finals tournament. It could even come earlier, if Burundi fall to Burkina Faso on Sunday. The African giants have their focus fixed on three points here and there’s no sign they’ll miss this.
They come into this game unbeaten in seven and have never lost to Malawi. Their hosts are on a four-match losing run, and with a poor scoring record too. Our prediction for Malawi v Senegal is for Senegal to win with a clean sheet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Malawi Senegal
| Malawi vs Senegal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malawi wins | 9 | 8 | -11.1% |
| Draw | 5 | 3 | -40.0% |
| Senegal wins | 1.25 | 1.53 | +22.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Senegal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 22.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 80.0% and is now 65.4% (-14.6%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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