Africa - AFCON
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Madagascar vs Tunisia Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Daniel Ngulu in AFCON Predictions
Madagascar, lacking an approved venue, will be hosting Tunisia in South Africa in the fifth round of AFCON 2025 qualifiers. The two nations clash in Group A this Thursday and here’s our prediction for the match.
To keep their AFCON 2025 hopes alive, Madagascar must win this encounter. After four rounds, they have just two points and are seated at the bottom of the group. This isn’t a fixture that favors Madagascar.
They suffered defeats in each of their previous four meetings with Tunisia and none of those was a friendly match. In their last match, Madagascar fell 1-0 to Guinea.
Group A has to be one of the toughest in these qualifiers. Mathematically any of the four teams can qualify to the AFCON finals. Tunisia, with seven points, have the realest chance of landing a Morocco 2025 berth.
The North Africans have beaten Madagascar in each of the last four meetings and all those came with clean sheets. After starting with back-to-back wins in these qualifiers, Tunisia entered a poor stretch.
They failed to win in their last two matches – a loss to Comoros then in the most recent matches, a draw with the same opponent.
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The Best Betting Odds for Madagascar v Tunisia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.75 | 3.25 | 1.57 |
|
|
22 | 9.24 | 1.12 |
|
|
22 | 9.24 | 1.12 |
|
|
6.25 | 3.35 | 1.64 |
|
|
6 | 3.4 | 1.62 |
|
|
7.31 | 3.75 | 1.51 |
|
|
6.6 | 3.8 | 1.51 |
|
|
17 | 8.5 | 1.13 |
|
|
19 | 7 | 1.11 |
|
|
5.7 | 4.02 | 1.51 |
|
|
6 | 3.4 | 1.5 |
|
|
6.5 | 3.4 | 1.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Madagascar and Tunisia?
Our prediction for the Madagascar vs Tunisia match is: Tunisia to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/11/2024 between Madagascar and Tunisia in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 16.01% for a win of Madagascar against Tunisia with odds of 22 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Madagascar vs Tunisia is 39.87% with odds of 9.24 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.13% chance ⭐ for a win of Tunisia vs Madagascar with odds of 1.64 at Betobet.
Madagascar - Tunisia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Madagascar Tunisia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Tunisia wins | 44.13% | 1.64 at Betobet |
| Under 2.5 | 75.05% | 2.13 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 31.25% | 3 at Unibet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Tunisia | 29.71% | 4.1 at Unibet |
Madagascar vs Tunisia Form
Madagascar and Tunisia's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
|
4
|
2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 |
Madagascar and Tunisia Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
20 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
7 Sep 2023 - AFCON
27 Mar 2023 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
8 Sep 2024 - AFCON
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
5 Jun 2024 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
5 Jun 2024 - World Cup
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Jan 2024 - AFCON
16 Jan 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
8 Sep 2024 - AFCON
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
24 Jan 2024 - AFCON
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
Madagascar vs Tunisia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jul 2019 - AFCON
Most goals and assists
Madagascar
Tunisia
H. Rafia
(1 Goals)
A. Abdi
(1 Assists)
Madagascar - Tunisia Key Points
- Tunisia are unbeaten in their four matches against Madagascar.
- Madagascar failed to score in four matches against Tunisia.
- Madagascar didn’t manage a goal in three of their last five matches.
- In their last five matches, Madagascar are winless.
- Tunisia have six wins in their last 10 matches in AFCON qualification.
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Our Madagascar vs Tunisia Prediction
Madagascar have a lot working against them as they prepare for this match. For starters, they are playing a home game in South Africa, which means they will not benefit from real home support.
They have also been troubled by Tunisia in the past, and failed to score in matches against the north Africans. The hosts’ scoring form hasn’t been great, generally. On the other hand, Tunisia come here as favorites. Our prediction for Madagascar v Tunisia is for Tunisia to win to nil.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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