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by Ita Emmanuel in World Cup Predictions
Second-placed Madagascar will trade tackles with group leaders Ghana in CAF 2026 World Cup Qualifiers Group I fixture on Monday. Can Barea stun the Black Stars to boost their chances of qualifying for their first-ever FIFA World Cup? Here is our prediction for the match.Madagascar roared to a thumping 4-1 away victory over third-placed Comoros in their last match in Group I. The win extended the team's unbeaten run in the group to four matches (W3, D1), following a 1-0 defeat to Ghana in the reverse fixture of this match.
Notably, Corentin Martins’ side have exceeded expectations in their 2026 World Cup Qualifiers campaign. However, they will head into this match on the back of low-scoring games. Eight of their last 10 competitive matches have ended with under 2.5 goals.
Ghana won their last 2026 World Cup Qualifiers match, demolishing Group I basement boys Chad 5-0 at the Accra Sports Stadium. This result saw the Black Stars rack up their fourth win in the group to open a two-point gap at the top.
Otto Addo’s side will head into this match following a series of low-scoring away games. Four of their last five away matches have ended with under 2.5 goals. Hence, our prediction for this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Madagascar v Ghana Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.33 | 3.25 | 1.91 |
|
|
4 | 3.1 | 1.83 |
|
|
3.9 | 3 | 1.91 |
|
|
4.08 | 3.25 | 2.01 |
|
|
4.08 | 3.25 | 2.01 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Madagascar and Ghana?
Our prediction for the Madagascar vs Ghana match is: under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/03/2025 between Madagascar and Ghana in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.36% for a win of Madagascar against Ghana with odds of 4.75 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Madagascar vs Ghana is 40.2% with odds of 3.4 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.44% chance ⭐ for a win of Ghana vs Madagascar with odds of 2.01 at 1xbet.
Madagascar - Ghana Prediction and Best Odds:
| Madagascar Ghana Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 40.2% | 3.4 at Betway |
| Under 2.5 | 55.95% | 1.98 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 63.54% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 16.79% | 4.6 at Unibet |
Madagascar vs Ghana Form
Madagascar and Ghana's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 |
|
3
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Madagascar and Ghana Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
Madagascar vs Ghana Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
25 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
18 Jun 2023 - AFCON
15 Jan 2023 - African Nations Championship
1 Jun 2022 - AFCON
Madagascar - Ghana Key Points
- Eight of Madagascar’s last 10 competitive matches have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Four of Madagascar's last five home matches have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Four of Ghana's last five away matches have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Ghana's last two fixtures against Madagascar have ended with under 2.5 goals, including the reverse fixture of this match.
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Our Madagascar vs Ghana Prediction
This match could prove decisive in Madagascar and Ghana’s quest for automatic qualification for the 2026 World Cup. Notably, both teams have struggled in front of goal in their last competitive fixtures. Four of Madagascar’s last five home matches have ended with under 2.5 goals. Also, four of Ghana's last five away matches have ended with under 2.5 goals.
Additionally, the last two meetings between the two teams have ended with under 2.5 goals, including the reverse fixture of this match. Given this trend, our Madagascar vs Ghana prediction is under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Madagascar Ghana
| Madagascar vs Ghana | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Madagascar wins | 6 | 4.33 | -27.8% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.25 | -9.7% |
| Ghana wins | 1.65 | 1.91 | +15.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 9.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 27.8% and is now 30.8% (3.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Madagascar vs. Ghana game!
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Try your luck on this year's World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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