Predictions Odds Live

France - Ligue 1

Lyon

04 Feb 2024 14:45

Marseille

Prediction :

Both teams to score

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Lyon vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

Prediction published on 04/02/2024, 06:41 by Joseph King in Ligue 1 Predictions

The Derby des Olympiques is set to kick off in the French Ligue 1 as struggling Lyon host seventh-place Marseille to close out matchday 20. It’s always an entertaining affair when these two teams take to the field and there is still plenty on the line for both clubs, even if they are competing at different ends of the table. For Lyon, they are battling against relegation as they currently sit 16th, placing them in the relegation playoff as things currently stand. Marseille, on the other hand, is fighting for European football as they trail a Conference League spot by just a single point.

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The Best Betting Odds for Lyon v Marseille Match

1	X	2
2.9	3.4	2.45
2.77	3.25	2.57
2.83	3.44	2.58
2.83	3.44	2.58
2.8	3.26	2.57
2.8	3.26	2.57
2.85	3.5	2.55
2.78	3.36	2.53
2.9	3.45	2.45
2.75	3.3	2.6
2.8	3.35	2.52
2.96	3.36	2.59
2.8	3.3	2.5

Check all Lyon vs Marseille odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Lyon and Marseille?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/02/2024 between Lyon and Marseille in Ligue 1 :

The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.23% for a win of Lyon against Marseille with odds of 2.96 at Vbet.
The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lyon vs Marseille is 29.22% with odds of 3.5 at Stake.
Our prediction model gives a 41.55% chance ⭐ for a win of Marseille vs Lyon with odds of 2.6 at Unibet.

Lyon - Marseille Prediction and Best Odds:

Lyon Marseille Prediction	Probability	Odds
Marseille wins	41.55%	2.6 at Unibet
Under 2.5	59.32%	1.89 at Unibet
Both Team To Score	59.17%
Half-time / Full-time: Marseille/Marseille	18.28%	4.33 at Betsson

Lyon vs Marseille Form

Lyon and Marseille's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
6 Lyon	53	34	16	5	13	-6
8 Marseille	50	34	13	11	10	11

Lyon and Marseille Last Matches

Lyon Last matches

All Home Away

W W W L W L

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.67 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

26 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1

Lyon

2 : 3

Rennes

19 Jan 2024 - French Cup

Bergerac Perigord

1 : 2

Lyon

14 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1

Le Havre

3 : 1

Lyon

7 Jan 2024 - French Cup

CA Pontarlier

0 : 3

Lyon

20 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Lyon

1 : 0

Nantes

15 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Monaco

0 : 1

Lyon

L D L W W L

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.33 Goals scored

1.33 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

26 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1

Lyon

2 : 3

Rennes

20 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Lyon

1 : 0

Nantes

10 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Lyon

3 : 0

Toulouse

26 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1

Lyon

0 : 2

Lille

5 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1

Lyon

1 : 1

Metz

22 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1

Lyon

1 : 2

Clermont

L L W W L W

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.5 Goals scored

1.67 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

19 Jan 2024 - French Cup

Bergerac Perigord

1 : 2

Lyon

14 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1

Le Havre

3 : 1

Lyon

7 Jan 2024 - French Cup

CA Pontarlier

0 : 3

Lyon

15 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Monaco

0 : 1

Lyon

6 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille

3 : 0

Lyon

2 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Lens

3 : 2

Lyon

Marseille Last matches

All Home Away

W D W D D D

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals

83% BTTS

1.33 Goals scored

1 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

27 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille

2 : 2

Monaco

21 Jan 2024 - French Cup

Rennes

1 : 1

Marseille

12 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille

1 : 1

Strasbourg

7 Jan 2024 - French Cup

Thionville US Lusitanos

0 : 1

Marseille

20 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Montpellier Hsc

1 : 1

Marseille

17 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille

2 : 1

Clermont

W W W W D D

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals

67% BTTS

2.33 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

27 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille

2 : 2

Monaco

12 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille

1 : 1

Strasbourg

17 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille

2 : 1

Clermont

6 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille

3 : 0

Lyon

3 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille

2 : 0

Rennes

30 Nov 2023 - Europa League

Marseille

4 : 3

Ajax

D W L D W D

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.33 Goals scored

1 Goals conceded

17% Over 2.5

83% Under 2.5

21 Jan 2024 - French Cup

Rennes

1 : 1

Marseille

7 Jan 2024 - French Cup

Thionville US Lusitanos

0 : 1

Marseille

20 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Montpellier Hsc

1 : 1

Marseille

14 Dec 2023 - Europa League

Brighton

1 : 0

Marseille

10 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Lorient

2 : 4

Marseille

25 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg

1 : 1

Marseille

Lyon vs Marseille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Lyon

33 %

Draw

17 %

Marseille

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5

Total goals

50%

BTTS

1.17

Goals scored (Team 1)

1.33

Goals scored (Team 2)

67%

Over 2.5

33%

Under 2.5

6 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille

3 : 0

Lyon

23 Apr 2023 - Ligue 1

Lyon

1 : 2

Marseille

6 Nov 2022 - Ligue 1

Marseille

1 : 0

Lyon

1 May 2022 - Ligue 1

Marseille

0 : 3

Lyon

1 Feb 2022 - Ligue 1

Lyon

2 : 1

Marseille

28 Feb 2021 - Ligue 1

Marseille

1 : 1

Lyon

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Lyon - Marseille: Form Analysis

It’s been a season to forget for fans of Lyon as their team faces the serious threat of playing next season in Ligue 2 for the first time in over 30 years. Lyon’s most recent fixture saw them battle back from 3-0 down against Stade Rennes but ultimately come up one goal short in a 3-2 home loss. It was the second consecutive loss in the league for Les Gones, who prior had looked to be turning things around as they had rattled off three straight Ligue 1 wins. As things currently stand, Lyon trail 15th-place Metz on goal differential as they sit even on 16 points each. They should receive a boost returning to the Groupama Stadium where they have won two of their last three.

Marseille are also experiencing somewhat of a disappointing season after a second-place finish in 2021/22 and a third-place finish in 2022/23. In seventh-place currently, Les Phoeceens are four points off a Europa League spot and six points off a Champions League position. There’s plenty of time for Gennaro Gattuso’s squad to turn things around and secure European football, especially with their improved form in the last two months. Marseille earned a frustrating point in a 2-2 home draw with Monaco in their last appearance as they were unable to fully cash in on a man advantage for the majority of the game. It was the team’s third draw in a row in Ligue 1 but extended OM’s unbeaten league run to eight matches. Marseille are unbeaten on their home field but have struggled mightily to replicate the same type of form on the road.

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Lyon against Marseille Lineups: Starting 11

Lyon

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

A. Lopes

C. Mata

D. Caleta-Car

J. O'Brien

A. Maitland-Niles

E. Nuamah

M. Caqueret

N. Matic

N. Tagliafico

A. Lacazette

G. Orban

Luis Henrique

P. Aubameyang

I. Ndiaye

A. Harit

A. Ounahi

J. Onana

Q. Merlin

L. Balerdi

S. Gigot

B. Meite

P. Lopez

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Marseille

Lyon & Marseille Squad Analysis

Lyon have splashed the cash in the January window in an attempt to salvage their season. Fans will be clamoring to see former West Ham winger Said Benrahma in action but it might be too soon for the Algerian after just recently linking up with his new teammates. Pierre Sage, Lyon’s third manager of the 2023/24 season, will be unable to call upon young midfielder Johann Lepenant as well as Mama Balde who is on international duty. The hosts will receive a boost at the back as defender Duje Caleta-Car returns from suspension.

Marseille boss and former Italian international Gennaro Gattuso is missing a number of players due to the African Cup of Nations including: Chancel Mbemba, Ismaila Sarr, Pape Gueye and Iliman Ndiaye. However, new signings Faris Moumbagna is expected to partner Aubameyang up top while another new signing in Ulisses Garcia is expected to take up the left wing back position. The only other absences for the visitors are Valentin Rongier and Amir Murillo who are both battling injuries.

Most goals and assists

Lyon

Marseille

Top Goalscorer

A. Lacazette (19 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

P. Aubameyang (27 Goals)

Best assists

R. Cherki (6 Assists)

Best assists

P. Aubameyang (11 Assists)

Lyon - Marseille Key Points

Lyon’s 33 goals conceded is the second most in the league.
Both teams have scored in six of Lyon's 10 home Ligue 1 fixtures.
Marseille have seen both teams find the net in six of their nine away league games (67%).
The last three consecutive matches that Lyon have faced Marseille at the Groupama Stadium have finished with both teams scoring.
Marseille have seen both teams score in their last five straight in Ligue 1.

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Our Lyon vs Marseille Prediction

Both teams have been having their own problems on the defensive end lately. Lyon have the second most goals allowed in the French top flight while Marseille have conceded in their last five straight. We expected a heated game between two rivals who each have something to play for. Lyon's improved home form combined with Marseille's struggles on the road makes us lean towards them on the winners market. However, backing both teams to get on the score sheet at this price presents good value for a match that likely finishes in a 2-1 or 1-1 scoreline. Our Lyon vs Marseille prediction is for both teams to score.

Prediction :

Both teams to score

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Lyon vs Marseille - Other Interesting Predictions

Lyon to win the match

Odds 2.9

This is a very generous price for a Lyon team that has looked better when playing at home in recent appearances. Marseille have managed to win only a single match in their nine away trips domestically while conceding 16 goals, making it hard to back them here. We would have these prices reversed, with Lyon as the slight favorites. Therefore, we see a good amount of value in going for the straight home victory at close to 2/1.

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Lyon vs Marseille match : Frequently asked questions

The French Ligue 1 match between Lyon and Marseille is set to kick off at 7:45 PM UK time, 8:45 PM local time on Sunday, February 4th.

Those based in the UK can catch the Lyon vs Marseille game by tuning into TNT Sports 2. There are a number of other services showing the match such as Fubo and DAZN Sports. If you're unable to watch the match live, you can follow along with all of the action by heading over to SportyTrader's Ligue 1 Livescores page.

Benoît Bastien will take charge of the Lyon vs Marseille match on February 4th. The 40-year-old Frenchman has overseen 17 games this season, handing out 65 yellow cards (3.82 average per game) and two red cards (0.12 average). He has also awarded two penalties in those 17 matches.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.