England - Championship
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by Daniel Ngulu in Championship Predictions
In a Championship match that holds much importance to their seasons, Luton Town and Middlesbrough will face off this weekend. Middlesbrough head into the game placed eighth while Luton are 23rd. Below is our prediction for the match.
These two sides can rightly brand this a must-win clash. Luton, relegated from the Premier League last season, are in danger of suffering another relegation.
They are currently two points adrift of the safe zone and will hope to rise this weekend. The Hatters did themselves a favor in midweek with a 2-1 away win at 21st placed Cardiff City.
Now they have the chance to win back-to-back home matches for the second time this season.
Just as this match is crucial to Luton, so is it to Middlesbrough. The visitors have lately been making the right moves towards hitting the top six. They are still short, albeit by just three points.
Michael Carrick’s men are coming off a 2-1 win against QPR, their third victory in the last four matches. Up to 12 Middlesbrough players are out injured and that has been their biggest impediment in the season.
A poor away run has also not helped, with the visitors losing five of their last six away matches in the league. They did beat Luton three times in their last four meetings though.
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The Best Betting Odds for Luton Town v Middlesbrough Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.7 | 3.3 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.3 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.62 | 3.4 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.68 | 3.44 | 2.56 |
|
|
2.68 | 3.44 | 2.56 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Luton Town and Middlesbrough?
Our prediction for the Luton Town vs Middlesbrough match is: Middlesbrough wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/03/2025 between Luton Town and Middlesbrough in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.32% for a win of Luton Town against Middlesbrough with odds of 2.75 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Luton Town vs Middlesbrough is 17.73% with odds of 3.45 at Betobet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.96% chance ⭐ for a win of Middlesbrough vs Luton Town with odds of 2.65 at Tonybet.
Luton Town - Middlesbrough Prediction and Best Odds:
| Luton Town Middlesbrough Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Luton Town wins | 44.32% | 2.75 at Betfred |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.45% | 1.96 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 54.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Luton Town | 22.59% | 6.25 at Unibet |
Luton Town vs Middlesbrough Form
Luton Town and Middlesbrough's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
63 | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 10 |
|
22
|
46 | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | -23 |
Luton Town and Middlesbrough Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
23 Feb 2025 - Championship
19 Feb 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
19 Feb 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
25 Jan 2025 - Championship
18 Jan 2025 - Championship
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
23 Feb 2025 - Championship
12 Feb 2025 - Championship
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
21 Jan 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
25 Feb 2025 - Championship
21 Feb 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
3 Feb 2025 - Championship
21 Jan 2025 - Championship
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
25 Feb 2025 - Championship
21 Feb 2025 - Championship
12 Feb 2025 - Championship
25 Jan 2025 - Championship
18 Jan 2025 - Championship
Luton Town vs Middlesbrough Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
20 %
40 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Nov 2024 - Championship
24 Apr 2023 - Championship
10 Dec 2022 - Championship
2 Nov 2021 - Championship
2 Aug 2019 - Championship
Players list
T. Kaminski
DefenderC. Makosso
M. McGuinness
A. Bell
MidfielderI. Jones
M. Fanne Dabo
J. Clark
T. Aasgaard
M. Alli
ForwardC. Morris
J. Brown
M. Travers
DefenderA. Dijksteel
N. Borges
MidfielderJ. Howson
A. Morris
H. Hackney
F. Azaz
ForwardS. Iling-Junior
D. Burgzorg
M. Forss
K. Iheanacho
Substitutes
T. Krul
DefenderM. Alli
R. Burke
MidfielderZ. Nelson
J. Bowler
M. Fanne Dabo
J. Brown
L. Nordas
K. Naismith
T. Glover
DefenderJ. Dede
G. McCormick
MidfielderL. Woolston
R. Giles
D. Barlaser
L. McCabe
ForwardM. Whittaker
M. Forss
Most goals and assists
Luton Town
Middlesbrough
C. Morris
(8 Goals)
T. Conway
(13 Goals)
J. Clark
(4 Assists)
, 
T. Krauss
(4 Assists)
F. Azaz
(11 Assists)
Luton Town - Middlesbrough Key Points
- Middlesbrough beat Luton three times in the last four meetings.
- Middlesbrough have three wins in their last four matches.
- Luton won only once in their last six home matches.
- Luton have suffered a league-high 21 losses.
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Our Luton Town vs Middlesbrough Prediction
Middlesbrough have picked up well in recent matches and are the favorites here. Three wins in their last four matches have reignited their chase for a top six spot. Being just three points out of the playoff positions will provide the needed motivation to go for a win.
Luton Town boosted their survival quest with a win last time out but this will be a tougher encounter. They don’t have a great run in this fixture either and have lost the most in the league this season. Our prediction for Luton Town v Middlesbrough is that Middlesbrough wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Luton Town Middlesbrough
| Luton Town vs Middlesbrough | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luton Town wins | 2.75 | 2.7 | -1.8% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.3 | -2.9% |
| Middlesbrough wins | 2.5 | 2.6 | +4.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Luton Town is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 36.4% and is now 37.0% (0.7%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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