England - Championship
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by Joseph King in Championship Predictions
Machday 39 in the Championship pits relegation-battling Luton Town against title-contending Leeds United. Plenty is on the line for both teams with only seven matches remaining in the 2024/25 season. Read on for our match prediction between the Hatters and the Whites!
Hosts Luton are staging a late-season comeback as they try to dig themselves out of the relegation places. They trail safety by three points but an encouraging run of form will be having fans thinking they can pull off an escape act.
The Hatters’ extended their unbeaten run to three games following a 1-0 away victory over Hull. They’re now 3-1-1 in their last five with three clean sheets during that stretch.
A run of only one win in five Championship fixtures has seen Leeds relinquish the top spot in the standings and has thrown their quest for automatic promotion into turmoil.
It had looked like Wilfried Gnonto had grabbed a late winner for the Peacocks in their most recent home match against Swansea. However, an equalizer deep into stoppage time meant that Leeds would have to settle for a second straight 2-2 draw.
Leeds have now taken just six points from their last five league fixtures and will have to pick up the pace if they are to avoid the playoffs and secure a top two spot.
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The Best Betting Odds for Luton Town v Leeds Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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5.25 | 4.1 | 1.57 |
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5.5 | 4 | 1.6 |
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5.75 | 4 | 1.57 |
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5.7 | 4.05 | 1.59 |
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5.7 | 4.05 | 1.59 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Luton Town and Leeds?
Our prediction for the Luton Town vs Leeds match is: Luton Town double chance.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/04/2025 between Luton Town and Leeds in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 16.74% for a win of Luton Town against Leeds with odds of 6.25 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Luton Town vs Leeds is 38.41% with odds of 4.14 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.85% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs Luton Town with odds of 1.62 at William Hill.
Luton Town vs Leeds Form
Luton Town and Leeds's standings in the Championship
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2
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81 | 39 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 51 |
23
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38 | 39 | 10 | 8 | 21 | -25 |
Luton Town and Leeds Last Matches

3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - Championship
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
23 Feb 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
19 Feb 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
25 Jan 2025 - Championship
18 Jan 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - Championship
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
23 Feb 2025 - Championship
12 Feb 2025 - Championship
1 Feb 2025 - Championship

2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - Championship
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
12 Mar 2025 - Championship
9 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
24 Feb 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - Championship
12 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
17 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
9 Mar 2025 - Championship
24 Feb 2025 - Championship
11 Feb 2025 - Championship
5 Feb 2025 - Championship
27 Jan 2025 - Championship
Luton Town vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Nov 2024 - Championship
30 Jun 2020 - Championship
Luton Town vs Leeds last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists






Luton Town and Leeds Stats in Championship


Luton Town - Leeds Key Points
- Luton have avoided defeat in four of their last five games.
- The hosts are unbeaten in their last three outings at Kenilworth Road.
- Leeds have failed to win in four of their last five overall.
- Luton have won or drawn in 13 of their 19 home Championship matches.
- 11 of Leeds 19 away league matches have seen them draw or lose.
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Our Luton Town vs Leeds Prediction
This could be a tricky match for Leeds who have hit a stumbling block at the worst possible time. Luton Town have been dire for the majority of the season but they are starting to put things together in the home stretch.
The hosts have struggled on the road but have been solid enough when playing on home soil, posting a 7-6-6 record. With momentum on their side and battling hard to get out of the drop zone, Luton have a good shot at getting a result here. Our Luton Town vs Leeds United prediction: Luton Town double chance.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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