England - Championship
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Luton Town vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Sridhar in Championship Predictions
Only two points separate Luton Town and Derby County as the sides meet in an interesting mid-table clash in the English Championship. This match at Kenilworth Road on Friday night will see the Hatters in 19th with 22 points and the Rams in 14th position in the points tally with 24 points.
Luton are only five points above the relegation zone, but at this point in time, it looks like a decent buffer. They were beaten 2-0 by Blackburn Rovers in the last league match, which was their first loss in three matches.
That said, the hosts have struggled throughout the season to find some consistent run of games and haven’t gone unbeaten for more than two consecutive matches.
Things are much different at home though, as Luton have won three and drawn two of their last five home league matches. That record would be put to the test by Derby, who arrive here after a 4-0 win over Portsmouth. That result made it four points in two matches for the visitors, after losing three in a row.
Despite those impressive results, Derby have struggled on the road this season with only a single win from their last seven league trips. Yet, they did lose only two of those matches, with four ending in a draw. A repeat won’t be too bad a result for the visitors, who have lost on their last three visits to this venue, although the last of those came in February 2022.
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The Best Betting Odds for Luton Town v Derby County Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.1 | 3.1 | 3.7 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.2 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.1 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.13 | 3.87 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.13 | 3.87 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.15 | 3.8 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.1 | 3.56 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.1 | 3.56 |
|
|
2.16 | 3.2 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.12 | 3.13 | 3.74 |
|
|
2.09 | 3.3 | 3.9 |
|
|
2.18 | 3.21 | 3.77 |
|
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2.1 | 3.1 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.07 | 3.15 | 3.8 |
|
|
2 | 3 | 3.75 |
|
|
2.13 | 3.21 | 3.7 |
|
|
2.1 | 3 | 3.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Luton Town and Derby County?
Our prediction for the Luton Town vs Derby County match is: Luton Town win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/12/2024 between Luton Town and Derby County in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.62% for a win of Luton Town against Derby County with odds of 2.22 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Luton Town vs Derby County is 34.6% with odds of 3.3 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs Luton Town with odds of 3.9 at Tonybet.
Luton Town - Derby County Prediction and Best Odds:
| Luton Town Derby County Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Luton Town wins | 40.62% | 2.22 at Betwinner |
| Under 2.5 | 57.8% | 2.2 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 64.29% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Luton Town | 15.45% | 5.1 at Unibet |
Luton Town vs Derby County Form
Luton Town and Derby County's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
20
|
27 | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -7 |
|
23
|
26 | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | -18 |
Luton Town and Derby County Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2024 - Championship
10 Dec 2024 - Championship
7 Dec 2024 - Championship
30 Nov 2024 - Championship
27 Nov 2024 - Championship
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Dec 2024 - Championship
7 Dec 2024 - Championship
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
6 Nov 2024 - Championship
1 Nov 2024 - Championship
23 Oct 2024 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2024 - Championship
30 Nov 2024 - Championship
27 Nov 2024 - Championship
9 Nov 2024 - Championship
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2024 - Championship
10 Dec 2024 - Championship
7 Dec 2024 - Championship
1 Dec 2024 - Championship
27 Nov 2024 - Championship
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2024 - Championship
1 Dec 2024 - Championship
27 Nov 2024 - Championship
9 Nov 2024 - Championship
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Dec 2024 - Championship
7 Dec 2024 - Championship
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
6 Nov 2024 - Championship
2 Nov 2024 - Championship
22 Oct 2024 - Championship
Luton Town against Derby County Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Most goals and assists
Luton Town
Derby County
C. Morris
(7 Goals)
J. Yates
(6 Goals)
T. Krauss
(4 Assists)
N. Mendez Laing
(4 Assists)
Luton Town - Derby County Key Points
- Luton won three of their last four home league matches, drawing the other
- At home, Luton have lost only one of their last nine league matches, winning five and drawing three
- Derby lost three of their last five league matches
- Away from home, the Rams lost seven of their last 12 away matches in all competitions
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Our Luton Town vs Derby County Prediction
This could be an interesting battle for three points between two teams that have been struggling for consistency. Luton may be struggling overall, but their recent home record is impressive and should give them an edge here. Derby have been poor on their travels, and that could continue here as the home team looks to extend their unbeaten run at this venue. Our prediction for Luton Town vs Derby County is Luton Town win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Luton Town Derby County
| Luton Town vs Derby County | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luton Town wins | 2.15 | 2.1 | -2.3% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.1 | -6.1% |
| Derby County wins | 3.5 | 3.7 | +5.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Luton Town is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 46.5% and is now 47.6% (1.1%)
Bwin Enhanced Accas
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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