England - Championship
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Luton Town vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Kennedy Kechula in Championship Predictions
Luton Town and Burnley, two sides relegated from the Premier League, will clash in their first match in the Championship. Their battle for an immediate return to the topflight starts at Luton’s Kenilworth Road home. Follow on for our preview of the match and a prediction.
The two teams didn’t have much to separate them save for being separated by two points at the end of their Premier League campaigns. Luton completed their season without a win in the final six matches, losing five of them and will be eyeing a better start.
Their preseason results weren’t encouraging either, winning just one of their five friendly matches. One positive about the Hatters though, is that they rarely failed to score, even at their lowest. In the last 22 competitive matches, Luton Town failed to score only once. That was against the league’s best defence – Arsenal.
The last time Burnley played in the Championship, they were the strongest and sealed promotion as champions. They did well against Luton back then and even last season in the Premier League.
Coming into this game, the visitors are unbeaten in eight matches against Luton Town and will want to keep the run going. They won four of those eight matches and failed to score in just one. Five of those eight matches, however, saw both teams score.
Their return to the Championship marks a new era after manager Vincent Kompany left for Bayern Munich. Scott Parker picks up the team that won just three of the last 21 competitive matches. The team also failed to keep a clean sheet in 21 matches. However, Burnley also failed to score in just one of their last 11 matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Luton Town v Burnley Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
201 | 51 | 1 |
|
|
2.37 | 3.4 | 2.9 |
|
|
63 | 19 | 1.02 |
|
|
63 | 19 | 1.02 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.35 | 3 |
|
|
2.68 | 3.4 | 2.58 |
|
|
2.68 | 3.4 | 2.58 |
|
|
72 | 13.75 | 1.01 |
|
|
2.41 | 3.48 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.42 | 3.4 | 2.85 |
|
|
81 | 19 | 1.01 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.3 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.3 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.76 | 3.34 | 2.56 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.25 | 2.5 |
|
|
90 | 19 | 1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Luton Town and Burnley?
Our prediction for the Luton Town vs Burnley match is: Both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/08/2024 between Luton Town and Burnley in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.77% for a win of Luton Town against Burnley with odds of 201 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Luton Town vs Burnley is 27.47% with odds of 51 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.77% chance ⭐ for a win of Burnley vs Luton Town with odds of 3 at Betobet.
Luton Town - Burnley Prediction and Best Odds:
| Luton Town Burnley Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins | 41.77% | 3 at Betobet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.52% | 1.95 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 83.33% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Burnley/Burnley | 14.12% | 4.75 at Betsson |
Luton Town vs Burnley Form
Luton Town and Burnley's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
44 | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 19 |
|
15
|
25 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -13 |
Luton Town and Burnley Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - Premier League
3 May 2024 - Premier League
20 Apr 2024 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2024 - Premier League
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
13 Apr 2024 - Premier League
3 Apr 2024 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - Premier League
14 May 2024 - Professional Development League
11 May 2024 - Premier League
10 May 2024 - Professional Development League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 May 2024 - Premier League
10 May 2024 - Professional Development League
4 May 2024 - Premier League
27 Apr 2024 - Professional Development League
19 Apr 2024 - Professional Development League
14 Apr 2024 - Professional Development League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
14 May 2024 - Professional Development League
11 May 2024 - Premier League
3 May 2024 - Professional Development League
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
Luton Town vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Jan 2024 - Premier League
3 Oct 2023 - Premier League
18 Feb 2023 - Championship
Luton Town against Burnley Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Luton Town
Burnley
C. Morris
(6 Goals)
J. Brownhill
(8 Goals)
T. Krauss
(4 Assists)
L. Pires
(2 Assists)
, 
C. Roberts
(2 Assists)
,
J. Anthony
(2 Assists)
,
J. Brownhill
(2 Assists)
Luton Town - Burnley Key Points
- Both teams scored in Burnley’s last six matches.
- Burnley failed to score only once in their last 11 matches.
- Both these teams scored in three of their last four meetings.
- Luton Town failed to score once in 22 competitive matches.
- In 22 league matches, Luton Town managed just one clean sheet.
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Our Luton Town vs Burnley Prediction
In recent times this fixture has seen very few clean sheets. Seeking straight returns to the Premier League, we expect an open game in the quest for three points. That could be a guarantee for goals on both ends.
An outstanding stat for the two teams as seen last season, was their abilities in attack but deficiencies in defence. This trend might extend here, and thus our prediction for Luton Town v Burnley is for both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Luton Town Burnley
| Luton Town vs Burnley | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luton Town wins | 2.5 | 201 | +7,940.0% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 51 | +1,400.0% |
| Burnley wins | 2.7 | 1 | -63.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Burnley is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 63.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 37.0% and is now 100.0% (63.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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