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England - Premier League

Luton Town
02 Mar 2024 12:30
Aston Villa

Prediction :

Aston Villa to win and Both Teams to Score

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Luton Town vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

 by Ian John in Premier League Predictions

Luton Town welcome Aston Villa to Kenilworth Road on Saturday evening in the 5.30pm kick off, with the Hatters seeking to get back to winning ways after a 6-2 mauling at the hands of Manchester City in the FA Cup 5th Round in midweek. It was the fourth loss in a row for Rob Edwards' team following defeats to Sheffield United, Manchester United and Liverpool in the Premier League prior to that FA Cup defeat. Hatters games have certainly seen goals in the past few weeks with their last eight games all seeing over 2.5 goals, while five of the last six games have seen over 3.5 goals scored. Defensively, Luton look vulnerable conceding 19 goals in their last five games, scoring 9. With Everton's point deduction being reduced from -10 to -6, it means the Hatters are now four points behind Nottingham Forest and safety, which puts added pressure on them in this game against the Villains.

Three wins in their last four games have seen Aston Villa reclaim fourth spot in the Premier League table ahead of Tottenham Hotspur, but Villa are now six points adrift of Arsenal in third. They have 52 points from their 26 games and have netted 14 goals in their past four Premier League games, conceding five. Their strong home record did take a beating in recent weeks with defeats to Newcastle and Manchester United, but their 4-2 win over Nottingham Forest last weekend, thanks to goals from Ollie Watkins, Douglas Luiz with two and Leon Bailey, saw them get back to winning ways in front of their home support. Away from home, their record is more modest with 21 points taken from 39 available, but they have only lost one of their last five on the road, and have won three of those games, including both the last two (at Fulham and Sheffield United). 

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The Best Betting Odds for Luton Town v Aston Villa Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
4.33 4.33 1.7
Betfred
4.6 4.33 1.73
Ladbrokes
4.5 4 1.67
NetBet
4.2 4.2 1.71
1xbet
4.45 4.45 1.77
22bet
4.45 4.45 1.77
Betwinner
4.36 4.4 1.68
LSbet
4.36 4.4 1.68
Stake
4.6 4.6 1.67
Melbet
4.14 4.2 1.74
Tonybet
4.7 4.6 1.64
William Hill
4.2 4 1.75
Vbet
4.6 4.5 1.7
Betway
4.33 4.33 1.67
Unibet
4.9 4.6 1.68
Betfair
4.33 4.33 1.65
Betsson
4.6 4.4 1.7
Check all Luton Town vs Aston Villa odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Luton Town and Aston Villa?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/03/2024 between Luton Town and Aston Villa in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 19.14% for a win of Luton Town against Aston Villa with odds of 4.9 at Unibet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Luton Town vs Aston Villa is 21.07% with odds of 4.6 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 59.79% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Luton Town with odds of 1.77 at 1xbet.

Luton Town - Aston Villa Prediction and Best Odds:

Luton Town Aston Villa Prediction Probability Odds
Aston Villa wins 59.79% 1.77 at 1xbet
Over 2.5 goals 69.02% 1.47 at Betsson
Both Team To Score 62.5%
Half-time / Full-time: Aston Villa/Aston Villa 32.93% 3.1 at Ladbrokes

Luton Town vs Aston Villa Form

Luton Town and Aston Villa's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
68 38 20 8 10 15
18
Luton Town
Luton Town
26 38 6 8 24 -33

Luton Town and Aston Villa Last Matches

Luton Town
Luton Town Last matches
W D L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
3.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

27 Feb 2024 - FA Cup

Luton Town
2 :  6
Manchester City

21 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
4 :  1
Luton Town

18 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Luton Town
1 :  2
Manchester United

10 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Luton Town
1 :  3
Sheffield United

3 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
4 :  4
Luton Town

30 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Luton Town
4 :  0
Brighton
L D W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

27 Feb 2024 - FA Cup

Luton Town
2 :  6
Manchester City

18 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Luton Town
1 :  2
Manchester United

10 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Luton Town
1 :  3
Sheffield United

30 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Luton Town
4 :  0
Brighton

7 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Luton Town
0 :  0
Bolton

30 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Luton Town
2 :  3
Chelsea
W D W W D L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

21 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
4 :  1
Luton Town

3 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
4 :  4
Luton Town

27 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Everton
1 :  2
Luton Town

16 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Bolton
1 :  2
Luton Town

12 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  1
Luton Town

26 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Sheffield United
2 :  3
Luton Town
Aston Villa
Aston Villa Last matches
L W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

24 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  2
Nottingham Forest

17 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  2
Aston Villa

11 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Manchester United

7 Feb 2024 - FA Cup

Aston Villa
1 :  3
Chelsea

3 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Sheffield United
0 :  5
Aston Villa

30 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  3
Newcastle
D W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

24 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  2
Nottingham Forest

11 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Manchester United

7 Feb 2024 - FA Cup

Aston Villa
1 :  3
Chelsea

30 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  3
Newcastle

30 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  2
Burnley

22 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  1
Sheffield United
L W D D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  2
Aston Villa

3 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Sheffield United
0 :  5
Aston Villa

26 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Chelsea
0 :  0
Aston Villa

14 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  0
Aston Villa

6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Aston Villa

26 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Aston Villa

Luton Town vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

29 Oct 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  1
Luton Town
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Luton Town against Aston Villa Lineups: Starting 11

Luton Town

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

24
T. Kaminski
15
T. Mengi
16
R. Burke
29
A. Bell
12
I. Kabore
18
J. Clark
6
R. Barkley
45
A. Doughty
30
A. Townsend
14
T. Chong
9
C. Morris
11
O. Watkins
8
Y. Tielemans
41
J. Ramsey
6
Douglas Luiz
7
J. McGinn
31
L. Bailey
15
A. Moreno
17
C. Lenglet
4
E. Konsa
2
M. Cash
1
E. Martinez

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Aston Villa

Missing players

Luton Town
Luton Town
Defender

T. Lockyer

M. Andersen

Midfielder

M. Nakamba

Forward

J. Brown

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Defender

T. Mings

Midfielder

E. Buendia

B. Kamara

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Luton Town
CD Huachipato Aston Villa
Top Goalscorer
England C. Morris (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England O. Watkins (24 Goals)
Best assists
England A. Doughty (7 Assists)
Best assists
Jamaica L. Bailey (14 Assists)

Luton Town - Aston Villa Key Points

  1. 73% of Aston Villa's games in the League this season have seen over 2.5 goals and 72% of Luton games have also seen three or more goals scored. Additionally 76% of Luton's games have seen both teams score (69% for Aston Villa's games)
  2. 12 of Aston Villa's last 18 goals scored have come in the first half of their games. They have conceded just 4 in the first half over those games but 9 in the second half.
  3. Luton Town concede a goal every 44 minutes in the Premier League on average. They have kept just two clean sheets in the league this season. Villa concede a goal away from home every 58 minutes on average.
  4. Luton average 3.44 goals per game this season, while Aston Villa games see 3.5 goals on average. Only Spurs and Newcastle games have averaged more goals per game this season than Villa.
  5. Aston Villa were 3-1 winners when the teams met in October in the Premier League. John McGinn, Moussa Diaby and a Tom Lockyer own goal gave Villa a 3-0 lead before an Emi Martinez own goal handed Luton a consolation.
Up to $200 to bet on Luton Town - Aston Villa! 

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Our Luton Town vs Aston Villa Prediction

The data seems pretty clear for the Luton v Aston Villa clash this weekend. Goals should be scored, and likely a fair few of them. It's been a tough week for Luton,  with news of Everton's reduced points penalty putting the Hatters four points from safety and then conceding six at home to Manchester City in the FA Cup. Villa are a team that can capitalise on this and as such, Our prediction for Luton v Aston Villa is for a Villains win and both teams to score.

Prediction :

Aston Villa to win and Both Teams to Score

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$200 offered for betting!

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Luton Town vs Aston Villa Prediction
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