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Luton Town vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Ian John in Premier League Predictions
Luton Town welcome Aston Villa to Kenilworth Road on Saturday evening in the 5.30pm kick off, with the Hatters seeking to get back to winning ways after a 6-2 mauling at the hands of Manchester City in the FA Cup 5th Round in midweek. It was the fourth loss in a row for Rob Edwards' team following defeats to Sheffield United, Manchester United and Liverpool in the Premier League prior to that FA Cup defeat. Hatters games have certainly seen goals in the past few weeks with their last eight games all seeing over 2.5 goals, while five of the last six games have seen over 3.5 goals scored. Defensively, Luton look vulnerable conceding 19 goals in their last five games, scoring 9. With Everton's point deduction being reduced from -10 to -6, it means the Hatters are now four points behind Nottingham Forest and safety, which puts added pressure on them in this game against the Villains.
Three wins in their last four games have seen Aston Villa reclaim fourth spot in the Premier League table ahead of Tottenham Hotspur, but Villa are now six points adrift of Arsenal in third. They have 52 points from their 26 games and have netted 14 goals in their past four Premier League games, conceding five. Their strong home record did take a beating in recent weeks with defeats to Newcastle and Manchester United, but their 4-2 win over Nottingham Forest last weekend, thanks to goals from Ollie Watkins, Douglas Luiz with two and Leon Bailey, saw them get back to winning ways in front of their home support. Away from home, their record is more modest with 21 points taken from 39 available, but they have only lost one of their last five on the road, and have won three of those games, including both the last two (at Fulham and Sheffield United).
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The Best Betting Odds for Luton Town v Aston Villa Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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4.33 | 4.33 | 1.7 |
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4.6 | 4.33 | 1.73 |
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4.5 | 4 | 1.67 |
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4.2 | 4.2 | 1.71 |
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4.45 | 4.45 | 1.77 |
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4.45 | 4.45 | 1.77 |
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4.36 | 4.4 | 1.68 |
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4.36 | 4.4 | 1.68 |
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4.6 | 4.6 | 1.67 |
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4.14 | 4.2 | 1.74 |
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4.7 | 4.6 | 1.64 |
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4.2 | 4 | 1.75 |
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4.6 | 4.5 | 1.7 |
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4.33 | 4.33 | 1.67 |
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4.9 | 4.6 | 1.68 |
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4.33 | 4.33 | 1.65 |
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4.6 | 4.4 | 1.7 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Luton Town and Aston Villa?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/03/2024 between Luton Town and Aston Villa in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 19.14% for a win of Luton Town against Aston Villa with odds of 4.9 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Luton Town vs Aston Villa is 21.07% with odds of 4.6 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 59.79% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Luton Town with odds of 1.77 at 1xbet.
Luton Town - Aston Villa Prediction and Best Odds:
Luton Town Aston Villa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Aston Villa wins | 59.79% | 1.77 at 1xbet |
Over 2.5 goals | 69.02% | 1.47 at Betsson |
Both Team To Score | 62.5% | |
Half-time / Full-time: Aston Villa/Aston Villa | 32.93% | 3.1 at Ladbrokes |
Luton Town vs Aston Villa Form
Luton Town and Aston Villa's standings in the Premier League
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4
|
68 | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 15 |
18
|
26 | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | -33 |
Luton Town and Aston Villa Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
21 Feb 2024 - Premier League
18 Feb 2024 - Premier League
10 Feb 2024 - Premier League
3 Feb 2024 - Premier League
30 Jan 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
18 Feb 2024 - Premier League
10 Feb 2024 - Premier League
30 Jan 2024 - Premier League
7 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
30 Dec 2023 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2024 - Premier League
3 Feb 2024 - Premier League
27 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
16 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
12 Jan 2024 - Premier League
26 Dec 2023 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Feb 2024 - Premier League
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
11 Feb 2024 - Premier League
7 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
3 Feb 2024 - Premier League
30 Jan 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Feb 2024 - Premier League
11 Feb 2024 - Premier League
7 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
30 Jan 2024 - Premier League
30 Dec 2023 - Premier League
22 Dec 2023 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
3 Feb 2024 - Premier League
26 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
14 Jan 2024 - Premier League
6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
26 Dec 2023 - Premier League
Luton Town vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
29 Oct 2023 - Premier League
Luton Town against Aston Villa Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
T. Lockyer
M. Andersen
MidfielderM. Nakamba
ForwardJ. Brown
T. Mings
MidfielderE. Buendia
B. Kamara
Most goals and assists
Luton Town - Aston Villa Key Points
- 73% of Aston Villa's games in the League this season have seen over 2.5 goals and 72% of Luton games have also seen three or more goals scored. Additionally 76% of Luton's games have seen both teams score (69% for Aston Villa's games)
- 12 of Aston Villa's last 18 goals scored have come in the first half of their games. They have conceded just 4 in the first half over those games but 9 in the second half.
- Luton Town concede a goal every 44 minutes in the Premier League on average. They have kept just two clean sheets in the league this season. Villa concede a goal away from home every 58 minutes on average.
- Luton average 3.44 goals per game this season, while Aston Villa games see 3.5 goals on average. Only Spurs and Newcastle games have averaged more goals per game this season than Villa.
- Aston Villa were 3-1 winners when the teams met in October in the Premier League. John McGinn, Moussa Diaby and a Tom Lockyer own goal gave Villa a 3-0 lead before an Emi Martinez own goal handed Luton a consolation.
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Our Luton Town vs Aston Villa Prediction
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings