Spain - Copa del Rey
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Lugo vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa del Rey
by Steve Ashfield in Football Predictions
Lugo from Primera RFCF Group 1 host La Liga's Atletico Madrid in the last 32 of the Copa del Rey. The home side ar eighth in their league and four points behind the final play-off position. They are not in the best of form at present though and will certainly need to up their game if wanting to cause an upset this weekend. Lugo have lost three of their last four games including the last two. Their most recent game saw them beaten 1-0 at home to Celta Vigo II. Home form has been a struggle for them this season with only three of their ten league games being won. More worrying is the fact they have only scored seven goals in those ten games and won just one of the last five. To get to the last 32 of the 2023/24 Copa del Rey, Lugo have had wins at Antoniano and at home to Mirandes.
Atletico Madrid are third in La Liga but their chances of winning the title are getting increasingly slimmer. On January 3 they lost their opening game of 2024 at second-placed Girona. They trailed 3-1, pulled it back to 3-3 but conceded a 91st minute winner. The defeat means they are now ten points behind the top two of Real Madrid and Girona. Now they turn their attention to the Copa del Rey with this away trip to Lugo looking to avoid a shock defeat. Atletico have been struggling on the road of late and the loss to Girona was their fourth successive away league defeat. Four of their last five away Copa del Rey cup ties have been won, the only loss being at Real Madrid. Changes will be made for this game but we still tip Atletico to get the victory.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lugo v Atletico Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17 | 7 | 1.17 |
|
|
13.5 | 6.4 | 1.17 |
|
|
15.9 | 7 | 1.18 |
|
|
15.9 | 7 | 1.18 |
|
|
15.9 | 7 | 1.18 |
|
|
15.9 | 7 | 1.18 |
|
|
14 | 6.8 | 1.19 |
|
|
12.5 | 6.45 | 1.22 |
|
|
14 | 7 | 1.21 |
|
|
14 | 7.2 | 1.21 |
|
|
15 | 6 | 1.2 |
|
|
13 | 6.75 | 1.18 |
|
|
13 | 6.5 | 1.2 |
|
|
13 | 5.8 | 1.24 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lugo and Atletico Madrid?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/01/2024 between Lugo and Atletico Madrid in Copa del Rey :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.61% for a win of Lugo against Atletico Madrid with odds of 17 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lugo vs Atletico Madrid is 15.89% with odds of 7.2 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.5% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs Lugo with odds of 1.24 at William Hill.
Lugo - Atletico Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lugo Atletico Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 45.5% | 1.24 at William Hill |
| Under 2.5 | 62.06% | 2.49 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 38.1% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Atletico Madrid | 24.19% | 12 at Betsson |
Lugo vs Atletico Madrid Form
Lugo and Atletico Madrid Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jan 2024 - Primera Federación
16 Dec 2023 - Primera Federación
10 Dec 2023 - Primera Federación
6 Dec 2023 - Copa del Rey
2 Dec 2023 - Primera Federación
25 Nov 2023 - Primera Federación
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jan 2024 - Primera Federación
10 Dec 2023 - Primera Federación
6 Dec 2023 - Copa del Rey
25 Nov 2023 - Primera Federación
18 Feb 2023 - LaLiga 2
17 Dec 2022 - LaLiga 2
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Dec 2023 - Primera Federación
2 Dec 2023 - Primera Federación
24 Mar 2023 - LaLiga 2
11 Mar 2023 - LaLiga 2
4 Dec 2022 - LaLiga 2
20 Nov 2022 - LaLiga 2
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
23 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
19 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
16 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
13 Dec 2023 - Champions League
10 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
19 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
13 Dec 2023 - Champions League
10 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
25 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
12 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
16 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
28 Nov 2023 - Champions League
3 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
25 Oct 2023 - Champions League
Players list
J. Goncalo Macedo Tabuaco
DefenderA. Lopez Jimenez
J. Louis Jean
A. Castrin
MidfielderG. Perez Garay
N. Quintana
Jozabed
ForwardV. Narro
L. Antonetti
Antonin
T. Ojeda
J. Oblak
DefenderJ. Gimenez
C. Soyuncu
N. Molina
C. Azpilicueta
MidfielderA. Witsel
S. Niguez
J. Galan
R. Riquelme
ForwardM. Depay
A. Correa
Substitutes
L. Diaz Parcero
DefenderBernardo
C. Morgado Ortega
J. Vazquez
MidfielderC. Martinez Rivas
S. Aguza
S. Abdulai
A. Aranda
ForwardJ. Gonzalez
L. Ledesma Galan
A. Fuentes Gonzalez
I. Grbic
A. Gomis
DefenderM. Moreno
M. Hermoso
MidfielderKoke
A. Gismera
A. Griezmann
R. De Paul
M. Llorente
ForwardS. Lino
A. Morata
Most goals and assists
Lugo
Atletico Madrid
A. Griezmann
(22 Goals)
S. Lino
(8 Assists)
,
A. Griezmann
(8 Assists)
Lugo - Atletico Madrid Key Points
- Lugo have only scored 15 goals in 18 league games.
- Just seven home league goals have been scored by Lugo this season.
- Lugo have lost three of their last four games.
- Atletico Madrid have won four of their last five away Copa del Rey ties.
- Atletico have only lost one of their last three games.
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Our Lugo vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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