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Ludogorets vs Qarabag FK Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Devesh Jaganath in Champions League Predictions
Ludogorets and Qarabag will face off in the second leg of their Champions League third qualifying round tie on Tuesday evening at Huvepharma Arena. The winner of this match will face GNK Dinamo in the playoff round. Let’s get into the prediction.
Ludogorets return from Azerbaijan holding a slender advantage having beaten this opponent 2-1 in the first leg last week. Dinis Almeida and Caio Vidal scored in the second half, though the latter will not be a part of the second leg as he was sent off just before the final whistle.
The Eagles played much of the first leg on the back foot, with just 44% possession, but they made the most of the chances they carved out, finding the net with two of their four shots on target.
That result marked Ludogorets’ first away win in Champions League qualifying, though they have won all three of their home games in Europe so far, beating Dinamo Batumi 3-1 and Dinamo Minsk 2-0 in rounds one and two.
Meanwhile, Qarabag will be disappointed that they do not have a lead in the tie despite dictating the game for large spells in the first leg. Juninho gave them a glimmer of hope after cancelling out Almeida’s opener but the team could not find a go-ahead goal.
The Horsemen had 20 attempts at goal last week, though only five were on target. That was their only home loss in any competition this season while they are still unbeaten on the road.
Notably, in five matches across all competitions this term, Qarabag has always found the back of the net and only failed to score more than once on one occasion, which was in last week’s encounter.
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The Best Betting Odds for Ludogorets v Qarabag FK Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
|
151 | 19 | 1.02 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.5 | 2.45 |
|
|
47 | 6.82 | 1.14 |
|
|
47 | 6.82 | 1.14 |
|
|
3.15 | 3.5 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.13 | 3.58 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.13 | 3.58 | 2.2 |
|
|
100 | 10.25 | 1.02 |
|
|
2.76 | 3.54 | 2.46 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.45 | 2.55 |
|
|
51 | 8 | 1.06 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.35 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.4 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.5 | 2.15 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.25 | 2.35 |
|
|
51 | 9.5 | 1.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ludogorets and Qarabag FK?
Our prediction for the Ludogorets vs Qarabag FK match is: Both teams to score!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/08/2024 between Ludogorets and Qarabag FK in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.72% for a win of Ludogorets against Qarabag FK with odds of 151 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ludogorets vs Qarabag FK is 5.66% with odds of 19 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.62% chance ⭐ for a win of Qarabag FK vs Ludogorets with odds of 2.55 at Tonybet.
Ludogorets - Qarabag FK Prediction and Best Odds:
Ludogorets Qarabag FK Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Ludogorets wins | 49.72% | 151 at Bet365 |
Over 2.5 goals | 61.74% | 2.02 at Unibet |
Both Team To Score | 60.42% | |
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Ludogorets | 19.16% | 7.5 at Bet365 |
Ludogorets vs Qarabag FK Form
Ludogorets and Qarabag FK Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Aug 2024 - Champions League
3 Aug 2024 - A PFG
31 Jul 2024 - Champions League
24 Jul 2024 - Champions League
21 Jul 2024 - A PFG
17 Jul 2024 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2024 - A PFG
24 Jul 2024 - Champions League
21 Jul 2024 - A PFG
10 Jul 2024 - Champions League
29 Jun 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jun 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Aug 2024 - Champions League
31 Jul 2024 - Champions League
17 Jul 2024 - Champions League
26 Jun 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2024 - A PFG
19 May 2024 - A PFG
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2024 - Topaz Premier League
6 Aug 2024 - Champions League
2 Aug 2024 - Topaz Premier League
30 Jul 2024 - Champions League
23 Jul 2024 - Champions League
16 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2024 - Topaz Premier League
6 Aug 2024 - Champions League
30 Jul 2024 - Champions League
9 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2024 - Topaz Premier League
4 May 2024 - Topaz Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Aug 2024 - Topaz Premier League
23 Jul 2024 - Champions League
16 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Jun 2024 - Azerbaijan Cup
Ludogorets vs Qarabag FK Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
6 Aug 2024 - Champions League
Most goals and assists
Ludogorets - Qarabag FK Key Points
- Ludogorets have scored two or more goals in three of their four home games this season.
- Three of Ludogorets’ last five home games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Ludogorets have scored at least once in 18 consecutive home matches.
- Qarabag have scored two or more goals in four of their five matches this season.
- Three of Qarabag’s last five away games have ended with both teams scoring.
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Our Ludogorets vs Qarabag FK Prediction
Ludogorets are the favourites to qualify having come away from Azerbaijan with a well-deserved one-goal advantage, but they will know that the job is far from done as illustrated by the match result odds.
Qarabag are still well in this, and they will need all their attacking prowess here as an early goal will change the complexion of this tie significantly. Our Ludogorets vs Qarabag prediction: Both teams to score!
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ludogorets Qarabag FK
Ludogorets vs Qarabag FK | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Ludogorets wins | 2.55 | 151 | +5,821.6% |
Draw | 3.3 | 19 | +475.8% |
Qarabag FK wins | 2.7 | 1.02 | -62.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Ludogorets is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5,821.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 39.2% and is now 0.7% (-38.6%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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