England - Carabao Cup
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Liverpool vs West Ham Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
by Ian John | in Carabao Cup Predictions
There’s a Carabao Cup cracker at Anfield this week as Arne Slot’s Liverpool hosts Julen Lopetegui’s West Ham in the Third round. Will the Reds continue their excellent start to the season, or can the Hammers knock the current Carabao Cup holders out of the tournament? Let’s take a closer look at our prediction for this exciting match!
Liverpool are the most successful team in Carabao Cup history, winning the trophy ten times, including last season when beating Chelsea 1-0 in the final at Wembley. Their first-ever victory in the competition came in 1981, when they beat West Ham 2-1 in a replay after a 1-1 draw at Wembley. This will be the Reds first tie in defence of the trophy that they have won twice in the past three years.
West Ham have never won this competition. As mentioned above, they lost in the final to Liverpool in 1981 and were also losing finalists in 1966, when they were defeated 5-3 in a two-legged final against West Brom. The Hammers started in the Carabao Cup Second round this year, beating Bournemouth 1-0 at the London Stadium to earn this tie against Liverpool.
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The Best Betting Odds for Liverpool v West Ham Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.33 | 5.5 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.36 | 5 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.66 | 3.37 | 5.49 |
|
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1.66 | 3.37 | 5.49 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.25 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.34 | 5.5 | 7.9 |
|
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1.34 | 5.5 | 7.9 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.2 | 7.2 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.55 | 8.4 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.6 | 8 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.6 | 8.3 |
|
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1.38 | 5 | 7 |
|
|
1.3 | 6 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.33 | 5 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.4 | 5 | 8 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.5 | 7.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Liverpool and West Ham?
Our prediction for the Liverpool vs West Ham match is: Liverpool to win and Both Teams to Score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/09/2024 between Liverpool and West Ham in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.14% for a win of Liverpool against West Ham with odds of 1.66 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Liverpool vs West Ham is 20.81% with odds of 6 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.05% chance ⭐ for a win of West Ham vs Liverpool with odds of 8.5 at Betobet.
Liverpool - West Ham Prediction and Best Odds:
| Liverpool West Ham Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 60.14% | 1.66 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.32% | 1.53 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 51.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Liverpool/Liverpool | 33.73% | 2.05 at Betsson |
Liverpool vs West Ham Form
Liverpool and West Ham Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
11 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 May 2024 - Premier League
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - Premier League
Liverpool vs West Ham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
20 Dec 2023 - Carabao Cup
24 Sep 2023 - Premier League
26 Apr 2023 - Premier League
19 Oct 2022 - Premier League
5 Mar 2022 - Premier League
Liverpool - West Ham: Form Analysis
Liverpool sit second in the Premier League table, just a point behind Manchester City and with just one defeat in six games in all competitions this season. They have been outstanding defensively, conceding just one goal in their five Premier League games.
The Reds warmed up for this fixture with a comprehensive 3-0 win over Bournemouth at Anfield at the weekend. Luis Diaz registered his fourth and fifth goals of the season in that fixture.
Darwin Nunez also grabbed his first goal of the new season.
That followed a hugely impressive 3-1 win away to AC Milan in their opening Champions League game of the campaign. Those two wins put the Reds back to good form following their shock 1-0 defeat to Nottingham Forest at Anfield beforehand.
In contrast, West Ham have not had the best of starts this season. Julen Lopetegui’s team have won just one of five games in the Premier League this season, a 2-0 away win over Crystal Palace, drawing one and losing three.
The Hammers went down to a 3-0 home defeat to Chelsea at the weekend in what was a very below-par display by the team. It was the second home game in a row where they had conceded three goals after losing 3-1 to Manchester City just before the international break.
In between those games, they drew 1-1 away to Fulham, where they snatched a fortunate 95th-minute equaliser through Danny Ings.
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Players list
C. Kelleher
DefenderJ. Quansah
A. Robertson
C. Bradley
J. Gomez
MidfielderC. Jones
T. Morton
M. Salah
ForwardC. Gakpo
D. Nunez
A. Mac Allister
L. Fabianski
DefenderJ. Todibo
V. Coufal
A. Cresswell
M. Kilman
MidfielderL. Paqueta
E. Alvarez
A. Irving
ForwardC. Summerville
M. Kudus
M. Antonio
Substitutes
V. Jaros
DefenderV. Van Dijk
A. Robertson
T. Alexander-Arnold
MidfielderA. Mac Allister
T. Morton
D. Szoboszlai
ForwardL. Diaz
M. Salah
W. Foderingham
DefenderK. Mavropanos
A. Wan-Bissaka
Emerson
MidfielderG. Rodriguez
L. Paqueta
M. Kudus
A. Irving
M. Antonio
Missing players
Alisson
MidfielderH. Elliott
N. Fullkrug
Liverpool & West Ham Squad Analysis
With Liverpool in action in Europe alongside their domestic commitments, it is very likely manager Arne Slot will rotate a number of his players for this game with West Ham United on Wednesday night.
Goalkeeper Alisson Becker, who missed the game with Bournemouth due to injury, would likely have been rested for Caoiminh Kelleher for this game anyway. Additionally, the likes of Federico Chiesa, Wataru Endo, Cody Gakpo, Joe Gomez, Conor Bradley, Jarell Quansah and Curtis Jones should all have a good chance of a rare start.
Young midfielder Harvey Elliott is sidelined through injury.
It will be interesting to see if Julen Lopetegui decides to rest any of his West Ham players for this game. Given their poor start to the season, he may be tempted to go with a strong team, or he could elect to give some key players a rest while keeping the nucleus of the first team together.
Lopetegui chose the latter option against Bournemouth in the last round, with Lucas Paqueta, Mohammed Kudus, and Konstantinos Mavropanos rested.
Lukasz Fabianski may get the opportunity to start in goal once again, while Jean-Clair Todibo could come in for Mavropanos. Aaron Cresswell may get a chance to start on the left side instead of Emerson.
German striker Niclas Fullkrug missed the weekend's game and is doubtful to be fit enough for the trip to Anfield.
Most goals and assists
Liverpool
West Ham
M. Salah
(10 Goals)
J. Bowen
(4 Goals)
M. Salah
(10 Assists)
J. Bowen
(4 Assists)
Liverpool - West Ham Key Points
- Liverpool have won five of the six games they have played this season.
- West Ham have won just one of their five Premier League games.
- The teams met in the Carabao Cup Fourth round last season. Liverpool winning 5-1 at Anfield.
- West Ham have won just one of the last 17 games they have played against Liverpool (drawing three, losing 13).
- Both teams have scored in eight of the previous ten games between the teams.
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Our Liverpool vs West Ham Prediction
Our prediction for the Liverpool vs. West Ham Carabao Cup Third round tie is: Liverpool to win and Both Teams to Score.
Liverpool boss Arne Slot will likely make wholesale changes for this game, while West Ham should be close to full-strength. That gives the Hammers a good chance of scoring a goal, in a fixture that historically sees both teams find the net. However, even with a much-changed Liverpool side, it is hard to see the visiting side getting anything from this game and the data strongly suggests a comfortable Liverpool win.
Liverpool vs West Ham - Other Interesting Predictions
Federico Chiesa (Liverpool) to score at any time.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Liverpool West Ham
| Liverpool vs West Ham | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 1.44 | 1.33 | -7.6% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 5.5 | +27.0% |
| West Ham wins | 7 | 7.5 | +7.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Liverpool is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 69.4% and is now 75.2% (5.7%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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