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Liverpool vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Devesh Jaganath in Champions League Predictions
The headline fixture of matchday five in the UEFA Champions League will come from Anfield where Liverpool will face off against Real Madrid on Wednesday night. The Reds are currently perched atop the League Phase standings in this competition while Los Blancos are in 18th place after the first four rounds of matches. Check out our match prediction below!
There is plenty of history between these two titans of Europe, but Real Madrid have been the side that has enjoyed greater success in recent times, unbeaten in their last eight matches against this opponent (W7 D1 L0). However, Liverpool are the side with the momentum at present, as they are the only team in the competition to still have a 100% win rate this season.
Despite the head-to-head record between these sides, bookmakers have installed the hosts as the clear favourites in this match. Can Arne Slot orchestrate a win against the 15-time European champions? Let’s get into the key stats at play in this blockbuster matchup.
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The Best Betting Odds for Liverpool v Real Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.85 | 3.8 | 3.9 |
|
|
2 | 3.75 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.84 | 3.67 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.84 | 3.67 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.8 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.9 | 3.85 |
|
|
1.99 | 3.72 | 3.54 |
|
|
2.03 | 3.85 | 3.45 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.9 | 4 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.8 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.89 | 3.95 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.9 | 3.9 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.8 | 3.45 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.7 | 3.9 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Liverpool and Real Madrid?
Our prediction for the Liverpool vs Real Madrid match is: Over 2.5!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/11/2024 between Liverpool and Real Madrid in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.65% for a win of Liverpool against Real Madrid with odds of 2.08 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Liverpool vs Real Madrid is 18.86% with odds of 3.95 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.49% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Madrid vs Liverpool with odds of 4 at Vbet.
Liverpool vs Real Madrid Form
Liverpool and Real Madrid's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
|
18
|
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Liverpool and Real Madrid Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Nov 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
20 Oct 2024 - Premier League
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
25 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
26 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
26 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
5 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
24 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
19 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
29 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
14 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
29 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
Liverpool vs Real Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Mar 2023 - Champions League
21 Feb 2023 - Champions League
28 May 2022 - Champions League
14 Apr 2021 - Champions League
6 Apr 2021 - Champions League
26 May 2018 - Champions League
Liverpool - Real Madrid: Form Analysis
Liverpool are enjoying one of their best seasons in recent memory, as they are not just leading the way in this competition but are also the team to catch in the English Premier League 12 game in.
The Reds returned from the international break and pulled off a 3-2 comeback victory over Southampton at the weekend, marking their fifth consecutive win across all competitions.
Looking further back, the Merseysiders are now unbeaten in their last 14 matches across all competitions, 13 of which ended in victory, while they have only suffered a single defeat in 2024-25 to date.
Liverpool are on a seven-match win streak at home and scored two or more goals in each match!
Meanwhile, Real Madrid have been far from their best in this season’s Champions League, having split their first four games in the competition two wins and two losses.
The most recent defeat came against AC Milan on matchday four, and that result followed their El Clasico embarrassment where they were crushed by arch-rivals Barcelona 4-0 at home.
However, since those defeats, Los Merengues have looked better, notching up back-to-back league wins over Osasuna and Leganes, scoring seven goals in that time while conceding none.
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Liverpool vs Real Madrid last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
Alisson
DefenderT. Alexander-Arnold
ForwardD. Jota
D. Alaba
D. Carvajal
E. Militao
L. Vazquez
MidfielderA. Tchouameni
ForwardRodrygo
Liverpool & Real Madrid Squad Analysis
Trent Alexander-Arnold was not risked against the Saints at the weekend, and Slot revealed in his post-match presser that the right-back did not train during the break, though he has not been ruled out.
Alisson Becker reportedly resumed training in recent days but was not risked over the weekend either, and with Caoimhin Kelleher in great form, the latter will likely retain his spot between the sticks.
Diogo Jota suffered a setback in his recovery from a chest injury and is facing extended time on the sidelines, while Federico Chiesa is still working his way back to full fitness.
Mohamed Salah has made 22 goal contributions in 18 matches for Liverpool this season!
Real Madrid were handed a huge blow over the weekend, with Vinicius Jr picking up a leg injury in the win over Leganes, and the Brazilian star has been ruled out for this week’s trip to Anfield.
The 2024 Ballon d'Or runner-up adds to a star-studded casualty list for the visitors, which features the likes of Dani Carvajal, David Alaba, Eder Militao, Rodrygo and Aurelien Tchouameni.
The one positive for Carlo Ancelotti though, is that Thibaut Courtois has shaken off his knock and should be available.
Most goals and assists
Liverpool
Real Madrid
M. Salah
(12 Goals)
V. Junior
(12 Goals)
M. Salah
(10 Assists)
V. Junior
(5 Assists)
Liverpool and Real Madrid Stats in Champions League
Liverpool - Real Madrid Key Points
- Six of Liverpool’s last eight matches in all competitions have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Liverpool have scored two or more goals in each of their last six matches.
- Liverpool have scored two or more goals in seven consecutive home games.
- Each of Real Madrid’s last six matches have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Three or more goals were scored in three of Real Madrid’s four Champions League matches.
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Our Liverpool vs Real Madrid Prediction
While Real Madrid have not been at their best in this season’s Champions League and are missing several key players, you simply cannot write off Los Blancos in this competition.
Liverpool have been excellent across all competitions this term and are worthy favourites entering this contest.
However, the Reds are sometimes guilty of conceding cheaply as we saw over the weekend against basement club Southampton and a couple of weeks ago at home to Brighton. Therefore, our Liverpool vs Real Madrid prediction: Over 2.5!
Liverpool vs Real Madrid - Other Interesting Predictions
Liverpool Over 1.5
Liverpool have scored two or more goals in each of their last six matches across all competitions. Additionally, the hosts have only failed to score two or more in one of their nine home games this term.
Use £30 free bets for the Liverpool vs. Real Madrid game!
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Liverpool vs Real Madrid match : Frequently asked questions
The UEFA Champions League match between Liverpool and Real Madrid will be played on November 27 at 20:00 GMT.
The UEFA Champions League match between Liverpool and Real Madrid will take place at Anfield in Liverpool.
The UEFA Champions League match between Liverpool and Real Madrid will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the UEFA Champions League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Francois Letexier will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Cyril Mugnier, Mehdi Rahmouni and Jeremy Stinat as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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