Europe - Champions League
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by Steve Ashfield in Champions League Predictions
Liverpool host PSG in the second leg of their Champions League last 16 tie. They go into this match with a 1-0 lead from the first leg. Can the Reds finish the job and qualify for the quarter-finals? Here's our match prediction.
The winner of this tie will face either Aston Villa or Club Brugge in the quarter-finals. With Villa winning the away first leg of their tie, we could well be set for an all-Premier League clash in the last eight.
PSG will be doing their best to ensure that does not happen. They really did need to get a lead from the home first leg and have already lost once in England in this season's Champions League. Like their opponents, they are well clear at the top of their domestic league. The dream of finally winning the Champions League is still ongoing but they face a massive task to reach the last eight.
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The Best Betting Odds for Liverpool v PSG Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.25 | 3.9 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.3 | 4 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.45 | 2.7 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.24 | 4 | 2.99 |
|
|
2.24 | 4 | 2.99 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Liverpool and PSG?
Our prediction for the Liverpool vs PSG match is: Liverpool wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/03/2025 between Liverpool and PSG in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.84% for a win of Liverpool against PSG with odds of 2.45 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Liverpool vs PSG is 6.61% with odds of 4 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.55% chance ⭐ for a win of PSG vs Liverpool with odds of 2.99 at 1xbet.
Liverpool - PSG Prediction and Best Odds:
| Liverpool PSG Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 49.84% | 2.45 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.14% | 1.57 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time: PSG / Full-time: Liverpool | 19.88% | 21 at Bet365 |
Liverpool vs PSG Form
Liverpool and PSG Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Feb 2025 - Premier League
16 Feb 2025 - Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
16 Feb 2025 - Premier League
6 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Feb 2025 - Premier League
12 Feb 2025 - Premier League
9 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Feb 2025 - French Cup
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
7 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Feb 2025 - French Cup
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
4 Feb 2025 - French Cup
Liverpool vs PSG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
28 Nov 2018 - Champions League
18 Sep 2018 - Champions League
Liverpool - PSG: Form Analysis
Liverpool came from behind to beat Southampton on Saturday. That took them 15 points clear at the top of the Premier League with Arsenal not playing until Sunday. The Reds are out of the FA Cup but next weekend play Newcastle in the Carabao Cup final.
Liverpool are aiming to win an eighth successive home game.
The Reds finished top of the league phase and their only loss was away at PSV when they'd already qualified. Liverpool have won their last four matches with just one goal conceded. A win over PSG will be their eighth consecutive home victory.
PSG won 4-1 at Rennes on Saturday and are 16 points clear at the top of Ligue 1. The Parisiens have only lost one match in their last 24, the home leg of this Champions League tie.
They struggled in the early stages of the league phase and lost away to Arsenal in October and Bayern Munich the following month. Their last three away Champions League games have all been won with ten goals scored but this is tougher than Salzburg, Stuttgart and Brest.
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Players list
Alisson
DefenderJ. Quansah
W. Endo
V. Van Dijk
A. Robertson
MidfielderR. Gravenberch
C. Jones
H. Elliott
ForwardM. Salah
C. Gakpo
D. Nunez
G. Donnarumma
DefenderA. Hakimi
Beraldo
W. Pacho
N. Mendes
MidfielderG. Ramos
Vitinha
W. Zaire-Emery
ForwardL. Kang-in
O. Dembele
D. Doue
Substitutes
C. Kelleher
V. Jaros
DefenderK. Tsimikas
J. Quansah
J. McConnell
C. Jones
F. Chiesa
W. Endo
H. Elliott
D. Nunez
C. Gakpo
M. Safonov
A. Tenas
DefenderBeraldo
L. Hernandez
P. Kimpembe
MidfielderL. Kang-in
S. Mayulu
W. Zaire-Emery
G. Ramos
D. Doue
I. Mbaye
Missing players
J. Gomez
C. Bradley
Liverpool & PSG Squad Analysis
Liverpool won their most recent home game and managed to do so without sustaining any new injury problems. They remain without Cody Gakpo and he is a doubt for this Champions League game against PSG.
The Premier League leaders have so many potential match winners and that list includes Dominik Szoboszlai. It's been a long, hard season though and he only played the first-half against Southampton on Saturday after showing signs of fatigue.
Elliott may start this match for Liverpool.
It's possible Harvey Elliott (who scored the winner in Paris) may start this match. If that is the case and Liverpool run into trouble, having a player like Szoboszlai on the bench looks a major asset.
This match means so much to PSG and squad rotation was used for their weekend win at Rennes. Dembele, Marquinhos and Gianluigi Donnarumma were among those rested and will return for this match at Anfield.
PSG dare not concede the first goal in this match and go 2-0 down on aggregate. The longer the game remains goalless, the more adventurous they will have to become to level the tie and that may mean more gaps at the back for Liverpool to exploit.
Most goals and assists
Liverpool
PSG
M. Salah
(32 Goals)
O. Dembélé
(28 Goals)
M. Salah
(23 Assists)
B. Barcola
(12 Assists)
Liverpool - PSG Key Points
- Liverpool won the first leg 1-0.
- Liverpool finished top of the league phase.
- Liverpool have won their last seven home matches.
- PSG have already lost two away Champions League games this season.
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Our Liverpool vs PSG Prediction
Only Real Madrid have been able to win away at Liverpool in the Champions League since 2022. The Reds are in top form and it'll be an amazing atmosphere at Anfield on Tuesday evening. They have only lost one match in this season's Champions League.
All the pressure is on PSG to get back into this last 16 tie. Their away record in the Champions League has blown hot and cold this season. Losses at Arsenal and Bayern Munich are a good yardstick. Our main Liverpool v PSG prediction is Liverpool wins the match.
Liverpool vs PSG - Other Interesting Predictions
Liverpool to score a penalty
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Liverpool PSG
| Liverpool vs PSG | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 2.05 | 2.25 | +9.8% |
| Draw | 4 | 3.9 | -2.5% |
| PSG wins | 3.1 | 2.75 | -11.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Liverpool is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 9.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 48.8% and is now 44.4% (-4.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Liverpool vs. PSG game!
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Try your luck on this year's Champions League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Liverpool vs PSG match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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