England - Carabao Cup
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
Liverpool vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
by Steve Ashfield in Carabao Cup Predictions
It was not a good midweek for Liverpool as they exited the Champions League. They will hope for a better Sunday when they take on Newcastle United at Wembley in the Carabao Cup. Can the Reds win the cup for the second successive season? Read our match prediction.
Liverpool have won this competition for a record ten times. A win over Newcastle will see them become the first club since Manchester City in 2021 to retain the trophy. They have reached this final having beaten four Premier League clubs and will want to make it five on Sunday.
The Magpies will be out to stop them and win this competition for the first time. This is their second Carabao Cup final in the space of three years. This year is the 70th anniversary of the last time Newcastle won a domestic cup competition. Winning this trophy on Sunday would be a major achievement for them.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Liverpool v Newcastle Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.65 | 4.1 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.67 | 4.2 | 5 |
|
|
1.65 | 4 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.67 | 4.26 | 4.97 |
|
|
1.67 | 4.26 | 4.97 |
|
|
1.63 | 3.8 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.24 | 4.92 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.24 | 4.92 |
|
|
1.62 | 4 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.64 | 4.24 | 4.84 |
|
|
1.66 | 4 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.1 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.62 | 4.2 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.2 | 5 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.2 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.62 | 4.5 | 5 |
|
|
1.67 | 4 | 4.8 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
What is the prediction for the football match between Liverpool and Newcastle?
Our prediction for the Liverpool vs Newcastle match is: Liverpool to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/03/2025 between Liverpool and Newcastle in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.75% for a win of Liverpool against Newcastle with odds of 1.7 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Liverpool vs Newcastle is 8.11% with odds of 4.5 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.14% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Liverpool with odds of 5 at Betfred.
Liverpool vs Newcastle Form
Liverpool and Newcastle Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Feb 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
16 Feb 2025 - Premier League
6 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Feb 2025 - Premier League
12 Feb 2025 - Premier League
9 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Mar 2025 - Premier League
2 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
5 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
15 Jan 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Mar 2025 - Premier League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
7 Jan 2025 - Carabao Cup
Liverpool vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1 Jan 2024 - Premier League
27 Aug 2023 - Premier League
18 Feb 2023 - Premier League
31 Aug 2022 - Premier League
Liverpool - Newcastle: Form Analysis
Liverpool lost to PSG in midweek and their hopes of again winning the Champions League ended in a penalty shootout. The Reds had won four games in a row before that loss and are 15 points clear at the top of the Premier League.
They have played five games on the road to this Wembley showpiece. First up for them was a 5-1 home win over West Ham after conceding an early goal. Their next three games were all played away from Anfield with wins at Brighton and Southampton.
The semi-finals saw them lose the away first leg to Tottenham 1-0. They fought back well to win the home second leg 4-0. The loss to Spurs is their only defeat in the last 11 Carabao Cup games they have played.
Newcastle United had a good 1-0 win at West Ham on Monday. A win over Liverpool on Sunday will guarantee them European football next season. Six games have had to be played to reach this final.
Tough route to the final for Newcastle.
It was tough in their first match as they needed a penalty shootout to win at Nottingham Forest. They beat AFC Wimbledon 1-0 at home and then won four more games, all against Premier League sides. CChelsea, Brentford and Arsenal were beaten with only one goal conceded.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Liverpool vs Newcastle last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
J. Gomez
C. Bradley
J. Lascelles
S. Botman
L. Hall
Liverpool & Newcastle Squad Analysis
Will Arne Slot win his first trophy at Liverpool? Doing so will ease the midweek disappointment of being knocked out of the Champions League. That defeat wasn't the only piece of bad news they had because Trent Alexander-Arnold has been ruled out of this Carabao Cup final.
That means Liverpool have no senior right-back available for this cup final and Jarell Quansah is expected to start the game. He's scored one goal so far in this season's competition. The trouble is it was an own goal against West Ham.
Ibrahima Konate also had to go off against PSG in midweek but is expected to play on Sunday. Mo Salah has only scored once in this season's Carabao Cup but he will hope to add to that tally against Newcastle.
No Gordon for United.
United will be without Anthony Gordon for this match. He is suspended after being sent off in their FA Cup loss to Brighton. His absence will hurt the Magpies as he has scored in their last two Carabao Cup games. He'll be replaced by Harvey Barnes.
Alexander Isak is fit to play and in defence will be Dan Burn who has just been named in the England squad for the first time.
Most goals and assists
Liverpool
Newcastle
M. Salah
(32 Goals)
A. Isak
(21 Goals)
M. Salah
(22 Assists)
J. Murphy
(8 Assists)
Liverpool - Newcastle Key Points
- Liverpool are the Carabao Cup holders.
- Newcastle have lost their last five domestic cup finals.
- Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 17 games against Newcastle.
- Newcastle last beat Liverpool in 2015.
- All Newcastle's wins against Liverpool since 1995 have been achieved on home soil.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Liverpool vs Newcastle Prediction
Liverpool face Newcastle in the Carabao Cup looking to win this competition for a record-extending 11th time. They won this trophy last season, beating Chelsea in the final. Less than a month ago, the Reds beat Newcastle 2-0 at Anfield and Mo Salah will be part of a strong line-up.
It would so much to Newcastle to finally lift a domestic trophy. Their hopes of doing so have been hit by the absence of Gordon and Isak isn't quite in the scoring form he was in earlier this year. Our main Liverpool v Newcastle prediction is Liverpool to win.
Liverpool vs Newcastle - Other Interesting Predictions
Mo Salah to score
Use £/€50 free bets for the Liverpool vs. Newcastle game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Liverpool and Newcastle? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Carabao Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Liverpool vs Newcastle match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
