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Liverpool vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Sridhar | in Premier League Predictions
Liverpool could take another step towards the Premier League title when they host a tricky matchday 27 encounter against Newcastle on Wednesday. This clash at Anfield, featuring the league-leading Reds and the fifth-placed Magpies, comes with our prediction of over 2.5 goals. Adding further intrigue, these sides will meet again in next month’s EFL Cup final.
With 64 points from 27 matches, Liverpool hold an 11-point lead over Arsenal, having played a game more. Meanwhile, Newcastle have 44 points from 26 games and sit just outside the top four on goal difference.
The Reds have a crucial Champions League Round of 16 tie against Paris Saint-Germain on the horizon. However, that is unlikely to distract them as they aim to strengthen their grip on the title race.
Newcastle, on the other hand, have an FA Cup fifth-round clash against Brighton looming. But with their top-four ambitions reignited, they will be fully focused on securing points here.
Read on for our in-depth analysis and predictions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Liverpool v Newcastle Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.5 | 4.33 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.5 | 5 | 6 |
|
|
1.75 | 3 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.54 | 4.89 | 5.85 |
|
|
1.54 | 4.89 | 5.85 |
|
|
1.49 | 4.7 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.76 | 5.7 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.76 | 5.7 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.9 | 5.6 |
|
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1.5 | 4.76 | 5.7 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.9 | 5.6 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.75 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.9 | 5.8 |
|
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1.5 | 4.5 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.9 | 5.7 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.75 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.47 | 4.75 | 6.25 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Liverpool and Newcastle?
Our prediction for the Liverpool vs Newcastle match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/02/2025 between Liverpool and Newcastle in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.27% for a win of Liverpool against Newcastle with odds of 1.75 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Liverpool vs Newcastle is 14.26% with odds of 5 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.47% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Liverpool with odds of 6.25 at Unibet.
Liverpool vs Newcastle Form
Liverpool and Newcastle's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
64 | 27 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 38 |
|
5
|
44 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 10 |
Liverpool and Newcastle Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Feb 2025 - Premier League
16 Feb 2025 - Premier League
12 Feb 2025 - Premier League
9 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
6 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2025 - Premier League
6 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
5 Jan 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Feb 2025 - Premier League
12 Feb 2025 - Premier League
9 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
5 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
5 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
15 Jan 2025 - Premier League
12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
7 Jan 2025 - Carabao Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
Liverpool vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1 Jan 2024 - Premier League
27 Aug 2023 - Premier League
18 Feb 2023 - Premier League
31 Aug 2022 - Premier League
30 Apr 2022 - Premier League
Liverpool - Newcastle: Form Analysis
Liverpool secured a 2-0 victory away at Manchester City last weekend, effectively extinguishing the title hopes of Arsenal and City. However, the Reds will be seeking greater consistency, having won just two of their last five competitive matches.
In the Premier League, they have won twice and drawn twice in their last four outings. That said, they remain unbeaten in the league since mid-September, a run spanning 23 matches, with 16 wins.
Their last league defeat came against Nottingham Forest at Anfield, but since then, Liverpool have won eight and drawn two of their home league matches. Notably, they scored at least two goals in each of those games, setting the stage for more attacking action here.
Liverpool have won 22 of their last 24 home matches played on a Wednesday.
Newcastle, meanwhile, may find that a worrying statistic, having lost 13 of their last 17 away matches played on a Wednesday. However, they arrive at Anfield in high spirits following a thrilling 4-3 home victory over Nottingham Forest. That was just their second win in five league matches, helping them edge closer to the top four.
Surprisingly, Newcastle have performed well on the road recently, winning four of their last five league trips. That said, they lost their most recent away game and have not won a league match at Anfield since April 1994, drawing five and losing 23 in that time.
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Liverpool vs Newcastle last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 2 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
J. Gomez
C. Bradley
J. Lascelles
S. Botman
ForwardJoelinton
Liverpool & Newcastle Squad Analysis
Cody Gakpo made a brief appearance for Liverpool on Sunday, leaving them with just three injured players. Conor Bradley, Joe Gomez, and Tyler Morton are all unavailable for this match.
At the Etihad, Arne Slot deployed two number 10s, with Curtis Jones and Dominik Szoboszlai dictating play against Manchester City. The Hungarian scored and provided an assist in that game, and it would be a major injustice if he were to be replaced by Gakpo.
The Egyptian has scored and assisted in 49 league matches across Europe's top five leagues, including the reverse fixture and three of Liverpool's last four games.
This match features the league’s top two scorers this season - Salah (25) and Isak (19).
With next weekend off due to their absence from the League Cup, Liverpool can afford to field their strongest XI. That could mean another opportunity for Salah to find the net and reach 10 home and away goals in a third separate Premier League campaign.
Isak has historically enjoyed playing against Liverpool and needs just two more goals to equal Andy Cole’s all-time Newcastle record of 12 away goals in the 1993/94 Premier League campaign.
On the injury front, Newcastle emerged from their clash with Nottingham Forest relatively unscathed. Defender Sven Botman could return from a minor knee injury in time for this trip. However, Jamaal Lascelles and Joelinton remain sidelined, with Eddie Howe hopeful of having them back in time for the EFL Cup final in March.
Most goals and assists
Liverpool
Newcastle
M. Salah
(30 Goals)
A. Isak
(21 Goals)
M. Salah
(21 Assists)
J. Murphy
(8 Assists)
Liverpool and Newcastle Stats in Premier League
Liverpool - Newcastle Key Points
- Liverpool saw over 2.5 goals scored in four of their last six league matches.
- Liverpool’s last five Premier League matches at this venue produced three or more goals.
- In 12 of Newcastle’s last 13 Premier League matches, there have been at least three goals scored.
- Newcastle saw three or more goals scored in five of their last six away league matches.
- Nine of the last 13 Premier League matches between Liverpool and Newcastle produced at least three goals.
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Our Liverpool vs Newcastle Prediction
Liverpool and Newcastle have historically produced high-scoring encounters, with nine of their last 13 meetings featuring at least three goals. Of those, eight have seen four or more goals, so this match could well be another thriller. Adding to the excitement, this season’s top two scorers, Mohamed Salah and Alexander Isak, will both be on the pitch. Anfield will be hoping the Reds take another step towards the title with a clinical victory, while the Magpies will aim to push them all the way. With all these factors in play, our Liverpool vs Newcastle prediction is over 2.5.
Liverpool vs Newcastle - Other Interesting Predictions
Alexander Isak to score anytime
Alexander Isak has 19 Premier League goals to his name this season, with only Mohamed Salah (25) having scored more. The Newcastle forward netted a brace against Nottingham Forest in his last match, making him the highest-scoring Swede in Premier League history with 50 goals. He has three goals and one assist in his five appearances against Liverpool, including one in each of the last two head-to-head encounters. Isak could well find himself on the scoresheet once again.
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Liverpool vs Newcastle match : Frequently asked questions
The Liverpool v Newcastle United match will be shown live on TNT Sports 1 and TNT Sports Ultimate in the UK. Live Streaming is available through the Discovery+ app.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our English Premier League Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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