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20 October 2024 - 11:30 

- Day 8

England - Premier League

Liverpool
VS
Chelsea

Prediction :

Under 3.5

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Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

 by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions

The blockbuster event in the Premier League this weekend will come from Merseyside on Sunday afternoon when Liverpool lock horns with Chelsea at Anfield. The Reds are leading the league standings after seven matches, while the Blues are in fourth place. Check out our match prediction below!

Matches between these two have been very closely contested in recent times, and while Liverpool are unbeaten in their last six games against this opponent, five of those ended level. Chelsea, however, have only won one of their last nine matches at Anfield and lost 4-1 in this exact fixture last season. 

Given their record this season, the hosts are the clear favourites in the pre-match betting markets, but the visitors have been one of the most attacking teams in the league this season. The stage is set for what should be a thrilling contest between these English giants - let’s get into the key stats in this one!

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The Best Betting Odds for Liverpool v Chelsea Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.62 4.33 5
Ladbrokes
1.91 2.9 4
1xbet
1.72 4.53 4.48
22bet
1.72 4.53 4.48
Betobet
1.67 4.3 4.4
Betwinner
1.63 4.5 4.6
Stake
1.64 4.5 4.9
Melbet
1.68 4.4 4.36
Tonybet
1.68 4.1 4.3
Check all Liverpool vs Chelsea odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Liverpool and Chelsea?

Our prediction for the Liverpool vs Chelsea match is: Under 3.5!

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/10/2024 between Liverpool and Chelsea in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.17% for a win of Liverpool against Chelsea with odds of 1.91 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Liverpool vs Chelsea is 17.31% with odds of 4.53 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 37.52% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Liverpool with odds of 5 at Bet365.

Liverpool vs Chelsea Form

Liverpool and Chelsea's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Liverpool
Liverpool
18 7 6 0 1 11
4
Chelsea
Chelsea
14 7 4 2 1 8

Liverpool and Chelsea Last Matches

Liverpool
Liverpool Last matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.17
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
2.67
Goals conceded
0.5
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

5 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
0 :  1
Liverpool

2 Oct 2024 - Champions League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Bologna

28 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  2
Liverpool

25 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool
5 :  1
West Ham

21 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
3 :  0
Bournemouth

17 Sep 2024 - Champions League

AC Milan
1 :  3
Liverpool
Chelsea
Chelsea Last matches
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.83
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
3
Goals conceded
0.83
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

6 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Nottingham Forest

3 Oct 2024 - Conference League

Chelsea
4 :  2
Gent

28 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
4 :  2
Brighton

24 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
5 :  0
Barrow

21 Sep 2024 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  3
Chelsea

14 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  1
Chelsea

Liverpool against Chelsea : Head to Head (H2H)

Liverpool

33 %

Draw

67 %

Chelsea

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
1.33
BTTS
33%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
0.33
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%

25 Feb 2024 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
0 :  1
Liverpool

31 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
4 :  1
Chelsea

13 Aug 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Liverpool

4 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  0
Liverpool

21 Jan 2023 - Premier League

Liverpool
0 :  0
Chelsea

14 May 2022 - FA Cup

Chelsea
0 :  0
Liverpool
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Liverpool - Chelsea: Form Analysis

Barring a shock 1-0 defeat to Nottingham Forest in mid-September, Liverpool have been formidable this season, notching up six wins from their first seven games. 

The Reds beat Crystal Palace 1-0 ahead of the international break, a result which extended their current win streak to six matches across all competitions. 

At home, the hosts have won two of their three games this term. They have also scored two or more goals on home soil in seven of their last 10 league games dating back to February. 

Liverpool have conceded the fewest goals (2) and maintained the most clean sheets (5) this season!

Meanwhile, after losing their opening match to Manchester City, Chelsea have been in impressive form and are now on 14 points, trailing the league leaders by just four. 

The Blues were held to a 1-1 draw by Forest last time out, though they are unbeaten in their last six league games, including four wins and two draws. 

Chelsea are the second-highest-scoring team this season with 16 goals, and are one of only two sides in the division with a 100% away record after three matches on the road. 

Notably, the visitors have scored 10 goals in their three away matches to date. 

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Liverpool vs Chelsea last Lineups

Liverpool

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
Alisson
66
T. Alexander-Arnold
5
I. Konate
4
V. Van Dijk
21
K. Tsimikas
17
C. Jones
10
A. Mac Allister
11
M. Salah
38
R. Gravenberch
18
C. Gakpo
20
D. Jota
15
N. Jackson
19
J. Sancho
20
C. Palmer
11
N. Madueke
8
E. Fernandez
25
M. Caicedo
3
M. Cucurella
6
L. Colwill
29
W. Fofana
27
M. Gusto
1
R. Sanchez

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Chelsea

Missing players

Liverpool
Liverpool
Midfielder

H. Elliott

F. Chiesa

Chelsea
Chelsea
Defender

R. James

Midfielder

C. Chukwuemeka

Forward

O. Kellyman

Liverpool & Chelsea Squad Analysis

Liverpool will have to make do without the services of their first-choice shot-stopper Alisson Becker, who sustained a hamstring injury against Palace ahead of the international break.  

Joining the Brazilian on the sidelines this week is Harvey Elliott (fractured foot), while all of Alexis Mac Allister, Kostas Tsimikas and Wataru Endo are flagged as minor doubts. 

Caoimhin Kelleher will therefore feature between the sticks for the Reds and Federico Chiesa has been cleared as fit to feature in the matchday squad. 

Cole Palmer has contributed to 11 of Chelsea’s 16 goals this season (6 goals, 5 assists)!

Palmer will almost certainly start this match, but the same cannot be said for skipper Reece James, who is still on the road to recovery from a hamstring problem. 

The Blues will also be forced into a reshuffle in defence, with both Marc Cucurella and Wesley Fofana currently suspended after crossing the yellow card threshold against Forest last time out. 

Liverpool and Chelsea Stats in Premier League

Liverpool
Liverpool
Chelsea
Chelsea
86%
Victories
57%
0%
Draw
29%
14%
Defeats
14%
2.14
Total goals per match
3.43
1.86
Goals scored per match
2.29
0.29
Goals conceded per match
1.14
43%
Over 2.5
43%
57%
Under 2.5
57%
14%
BTTS
57%
71%
No goals conceded
29%

Liverpool - Chelsea Key Points

  1. All seven of Liverpool’s league games this season have ended with under 3.5 goals.
  2. Liverpool have kept five clean sheets in their seven league games.
  3. Five of Chelsea’s seven league games this season have ended with under 3.5 goals.
  4. Chelsea have kept clean sheets in two of their three away league games.
  5. Fewer than four goals were scored in five of the last six matches between these two in all competitions.
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Our Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction

While Chelsea have looked very impressive in attack this season, they have not come up against a defence like Liverpool’s as yet. Indeed, the Reds have maintained a staggering five clean sheets in seven and have only conceded two goals this term. 

Additionally, the league leaders have been very tough to breach on their home patch, shutting out opponents in two of their three league games at Anfield, and they will know that keeping the Blues forwards quiet here will be crucial to their chances of coming away with the victory. Our Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction: Under 3.5!

Prediction :

Under 3.5

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Liverpool vs Chelsea - Other Interesting Predictions

Liverpool wins!

Liverpool have won six of their seven league matches this season and are unbeaten in their last five against this opponent. Additionally, Chelsea have only won one of their last nine league matches at Anfield.  

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Liverpool vs Chelsea match : Frequently asked questions

The Premier League match between Liverpool and Chelsea will be played on October 20 at 16:30 GMT.

The Premier League match between Liverpool and Chelsea will take place at Anfield in Liverpool.

The Premier League match between Liverpool and Chelsea will be broadcast live on Sky Sports Premier League and Main Event in the UK.

Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the Premier League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!

John Brooks will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Simon Bennett, Darren Cann and Craig Pawson as the fourth official. 

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction
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