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England - Premier League

Liverpool

20 Oct 2024 11:30

Chelsea

Prediction :

Under 3.5

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Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

Prediction published on 20/10/2024, 02:33 by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions

The blockbuster event in the Premier League this weekend will come from Merseyside on Sunday afternoon when Liverpool lock horns with Chelsea at Anfield. The Reds are leading the league standings after seven matches, while the Blues are in fourth place. Check out our match prediction below!

Matches between these two have been very closely contested in recent times, and while Liverpool are unbeaten in their last six games against this opponent, five of those ended level. Chelsea, however, have only won one of their last nine matches at Anfield and lost 4-1 in this exact fixture last season.

Given their record this season, the hosts are the clear favourites in the pre-match betting markets, but the visitors have been one of the most attacking teams in the league this season. The stage is set for what should be a thrilling contest between these English giants - let’s get into the key stats in this one!

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The Best Betting Odds for Liverpool v Chelsea Match

1	X	2
1.6	4.5	4.75
1.91	2.9	4
1.72	4.53	4.48
1.72	4.53	4.48
1.66	4.5	4.6
1.66	4.4	4.46
1.66	4.4	4.46
1.59	4.8	4.9
1.68	4.4	4.36
1.68	4.1	4.3
1.65	4.6	5.1
1.57	4.5	5
1.61	4.6	5.2
1.62	4.6	4.75
1.58	4.9	5.2
1.65	4.2	4.6

Check all Liverpool vs Chelsea odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Liverpool and Chelsea?

Our prediction for the Liverpool vs Chelsea match is: Under 3.5!

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/10/2024 between Liverpool and Chelsea in Premier League :

The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.51% for a win of Liverpool against Chelsea with odds of 1.91 at Ladbrokes.
The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Liverpool vs Chelsea is 17.15% with odds of 4.9 at Betsson.
Our prediction model gives a 37.33% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Liverpool with odds of 5.2 at Unibet.

Liverpool - Chelsea Prediction and Best Odds:

Liverpool Chelsea Prediction	Probability	Odds
Liverpool wins	45.51%	1.91 at Ladbrokes
Over 2.5 goals	58.46%	1.44 at Bet365
Both Team To Score	46.67%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Liverpool	24.15%	5 at Bet365

Liverpool vs Chelsea Form

Liverpool and Chelsea's standings in the Premier League

Teams	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
1 Liverpool	28	11	9	1	1	15
3 Chelsea	19	11	5	4	2	8

Liverpool and Chelsea Last Matches

Liverpool Last matches

All Home Away

W W W W W W

Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals

50% BTTS

2.67 Goals scored

0.5 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

5 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Crystal Palace

0 : 1

Liverpool

2 Oct 2024 - Champions League

Liverpool

2 : 0

Bologna

28 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Wolves

1 : 2

Liverpool

25 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool

5 : 1

West Ham

21 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool

3 : 0

Bournemouth

17 Sep 2024 - Champions League

AC Milan

1 : 3

Liverpool

D W L W W W

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals

17% BTTS

2 Goals scored

0.33 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

2 Oct 2024 - Champions League

Liverpool

2 : 0

Bologna

25 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool

5 : 1

West Ham

21 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool

3 : 0

Bournemouth

14 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool

0 : 1

Nottingham Forest

25 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool

2 : 0

Brentford

11 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool

0 : 0

Las Palmas

W W W W W W

Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals

33% BTTS

2.33 Goals scored

0.33 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

5 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Crystal Palace

0 : 1

Liverpool

28 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Wolves

1 : 2

Liverpool

17 Sep 2024 - Champions League

AC Milan

1 : 3

Liverpool

1 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United

0 : 3

Liverpool

17 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Ipswich Town

0 : 2

Liverpool

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United

0 : 3

Liverpool

Chelsea Last matches

All Home Away

W W W W W D

Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals

50% BTTS

3 Goals scored

0.83 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

6 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea

1 : 1

Nottingham Forest

3 Oct 2024 - Conference League

Chelsea

4 : 2

Gent

28 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea

4 : 2

Brighton

24 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea

5 : 0

Barrow

21 Sep 2024 - Premier League

West Ham

0 : 3

Chelsea

14 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth

0 : 1

Chelsea

W D W W W D

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals

67% BTTS

2.83 Goals scored

1 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

6 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea

1 : 1

Nottingham Forest

3 Oct 2024 - Conference League

Chelsea

4 : 2

Gent

28 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea

4 : 2

Brighton

24 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea

5 : 0

Barrow

1 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea

1 : 1

Crystal Palace

22 Aug 2024 - Conference League

Chelsea

2 : 0

Servette Geneva

W W W L W W

Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals

67% BTTS

2.67 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

21 Sep 2024 - Premier League

West Ham

0 : 3

Chelsea

14 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth

0 : 1

Chelsea

29 Aug 2024 - Conference League

Servette Geneva

2 : 1

Chelsea

25 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Wolves

2 : 6

Chelsea

15 May 2024 - Premier League

Brighton

1 : 2

Chelsea

11 May 2024 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest

2 : 3

Chelsea

Liverpool vs Chelsea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Liverpool

33 %

Draw

67 %

Chelsea

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.33

Total goals

33%

BTTS

Goals scored (Team 1)

0.33

Goals scored (Team 2)

17%

Over 2.5

83%

Under 2.5

25 Feb 2024 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea

0 : 1

Liverpool

31 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool

4 : 1

Chelsea

13 Aug 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea

1 : 1

Liverpool

4 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea

0 : 0

Liverpool

21 Jan 2023 - Premier League

Liverpool

0 : 0

Chelsea

14 May 2022 - FA Cup

Chelsea

0 : 0

Liverpool

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Liverpool - Chelsea: Form Analysis

Barring a shock 1-0 defeat to Nottingham Forest in mid-September, Liverpool have been formidable this season, notching up six wins from their first seven games.

The Reds beat Crystal Palace 1-0 ahead of the international break, a result which extended their current win streak to six matches across all competitions.

At home, the hosts have won two of their three games this term. They have also scored two or more goals on home soil in seven of their last 10 league games dating back to February.

Liverpool have conceded the fewest goals (2) and maintained the most clean sheets (5) this season!

Meanwhile, after losing their opening match to Manchester City, Chelsea have been in impressive form and are now on 14 points, trailing the league leaders by just four.

The Blues were held to a 1-1 draw by Forest last time out, though they are unbeaten in their last six league games, including four wins and two draws.

Chelsea are the second-highest-scoring team this season with 16 goals, and are one of only two sides in the division with a 100% away record after three matches on the road.

Notably, the visitors have scored 10 goals in their three away matches to date.

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Liverpool against Chelsea Lineups: Starting 11

Liverpool

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

C. Kelleher

T. Alexander-Arnold

I. Konate

V. Van Dijk

A. Robertson

C. Jones

R. Gravenberch

M. Salah

D. Szoboszlai

C. Gakpo

D. Jota

N. Jackson

J. Sancho

C. Palmer

N. Madueke

R. Lavia

M. Caicedo

M. Gusto

L. Colwill

T. Adarabioyo

R. James

R. Sanchez

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Chelsea

Missing players

Liverpool

Goalkeeper

Alisson

Midfielder

H. Elliott

F. Chiesa

Chelsea

Forward

O. Kellyman

Liverpool & Chelsea Squad Analysis

Liverpool will have to make do without the services of their first-choice shot-stopper Alisson Becker, who sustained a hamstring injury against Palace ahead of the international break.

Joining the Brazilian on the sidelines this week is Harvey Elliott (fractured foot), while all of Alexis Mac Allister, Kostas Tsimikas and Wataru Endo are flagged as minor doubts.

Caoimhin Kelleher will therefore feature between the sticks for the Reds and Federico Chiesa has been cleared as fit to feature in the matchday squad.

Cole Palmer has contributed to 11 of Chelsea’s 16 goals this season (6 goals, 5 assists)!

Palmer will almost certainly start this match, but the same cannot be said for skipper Reece James, who is still on the road to recovery from a hamstring problem.

The Blues will also be forced into a reshuffle in defence, with both Marc Cucurella and Wesley Fofana currently suspended after crossing the yellow card threshold against Forest last time out.

Most goals and assists

Liverpool

Chelsea

Top Goalscorer

M. Salah (10 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

C. Nkunku (8 Goals)

Best assists

M. Salah (10 Assists)

Best assists

C. Palmer (5 Assists)

Liverpool - Chelsea Key Points

All seven of Liverpool’s league games this season have ended with under 3.5 goals.
Liverpool have kept five clean sheets in their seven league games.
Five of Chelsea’s seven league games this season have ended with under 3.5 goals.
Chelsea have kept clean sheets in two of their three away league games.
Fewer than four goals were scored in five of the last six matches between these two in all competitions.

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Our Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction

While Chelsea have looked very impressive in attack this season, they have not come up against a defence like Liverpool’s as yet. Indeed, the Reds have maintained a staggering five clean sheets in seven and have only conceded two goals this term.

Additionally, the league leaders have been very tough to breach on their home patch, shutting out opponents in two of their three league games at Anfield, and they will know that keeping the Blues forwards quiet here will be crucial to their chances of coming away with the victory. Our Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction: Under 3.5!

Prediction :

Under 3.5

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Liverpool vs Chelsea - Other Interesting Predictions

Liverpool wins!

Odds 1.7

Liverpool have won six of their seven league matches this season and are unbeaten in their last five against this opponent. Additionally, Chelsea have only won one of their last nine league matches at Anfield.

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