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Liverpool vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
Saturday’s Premier League action will draw to a close with a blockbuster fixture from Anfield where Liverpool will be playing host to Aston Villa. The Reds are currently leading the league standings with 25 points, while the Villans are sixth with 18 points after 10 games. Check out our match prediction below!
Liverpool have enjoyed success in this fixture at home in recent times, winning five and drawing just one of their last six matches against this opponent at Anfield. Aston Villa, meanwhile, lost their last top-flight match and are now aiming to avoid their first set of back-to-back defeats since May 2023.
Given their record leading up to this match, it is unsurprising to see that bookmakers have made the hosts the clear favourite in this contest. However, Unai Emery’s side are more than capable of going toe-to-toe with the best around and cannot be ruled out without a chance in this one. Let’s dive into the key stats at play in this intriguing battle.
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The Best Betting Odds for Liverpool v Aston Villa Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.45 | 4.75 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.73 | 3 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.84 | 5.86 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.84 | 5.86 |
|
|
1.47 | 5 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.9 | 6.4 |
|
|
1.49 | 4.76 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.47 | 5 | 6.2 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.8 | 7 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.75 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.49 | 5 | 6.4 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.75 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.49 | 4.9 | 6.4 |
|
|
1.47 | 4.5 | 6.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Liverpool and Aston Villa?
Our prediction for the Liverpool vs Aston Villa match is: Both teams to score!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/11/2024 between Liverpool and Aston Villa in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 63.77% for a win of Liverpool against Aston Villa with odds of 1.73 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Liverpool vs Aston Villa is 16.5% with odds of 5 at Betobet.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Liverpool with odds of 7 at Vbet.
Liverpool - Aston Villa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Liverpool Aston Villa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 63.77% | 1.73 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77.89% | 1.6 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 62.08% | 1.75 at Betway |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Liverpool | 25.97% | 4.55 at Betsson |
Liverpool vs Aston Villa Form
Liverpool and Aston Villa's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
28 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 15 |
|
9
|
18 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
Liverpool and Aston Villa Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
20 Oct 2024 - Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
20 Oct 2024 - Premier League
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
25 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
3 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
6 Oct 2024 - Premier League
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
3 Nov 2024 - Premier League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
29 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
Liverpool vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 May 2024 - Premier League
3 Sep 2023 - Premier League
20 May 2023 - Premier League
26 Dec 2022 - Premier League
10 May 2022 - Premier League
11 Dec 2021 - Premier League
Liverpool - Aston Villa: Form Analysis
Liverpool will enter this match riding a wave of confidence following a 4-0 win over Bayer Leverkusen in the Champions League which took them top of the League Phase standings.
That result also extended the Reds’ current win streak to three games, while they are now unbeaten in their last 12 matches across all competitions.
At home, Arne Slot’s side have won each of their last three league games, and four of their five matches this season, barring a shock defeat to Nottingham Forest back in September.
Liverpool have scored two or more goals in eight of their 10 Premier League matches this season!
Meanwhile, Aston Villa’s perfect Champions League record was ended in midweek, when they were beaten 1-0 by Belgian Pro League champions Club Brugge 1-0 on the road.
The Villans are now on a three-match losing streak in all competitions and winless in their last four. They have also managed only one win in their last five Premier League matches (W1 D3 L1).
Notably, though, the visitors have performed marginally better on the road this term, earning 10 of their 18 points in away games, with just one defeat conceded in five top-flight matches (W3 D1 L1).
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Liverpool against Aston Villa Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
Alisson
MidfielderH. Elliott
F. Chiesa
ForwardD. Jota
M. Cash
MidfielderR. Barkley
Liverpool & Aston Villa Squad Analysis
Liverpool came away from their Champions League victory unscathed, though they do still have four players sidelined ahead of this weekend’s matchup.
The first is Diogo Jota, who suffered an abdominal injury against Chelsea last month and has been ruled out until after the upcoming international break.
Alisson Becker is also on the treatment table due to a hamstring injury alongside Harvey Elliot, who is still on the mend from a fractured foot sustained on international duty.
Federico Chiesa has struggled to find his feet since arriving at Anfield in the summer and will not feature this weekend owing to a lack of match fitness.
Mohamed Salah has seven league goals this season and scored in each of Liverpool’s last three matches!
Morgan Rogers was withdrawn from the match against Tottenham Hotspur last weekend with a knock, but he featured for the side in midweek and should be good to go in this one.
However, the Villans will be missing two first-team players for their trip to Merseyside with Matty Cash (calf) and Ross Barkley (muscle) both sidelined due to injuries.
Most goals and assists
Liverpool
Aston Villa
M. Salah
(10 Goals)
J. Duran
(8 Goals)
M. Salah
(10 Assists)
Y. Tielemans
(4 Assists)
Liverpool - Aston Villa Key Points
- Four of Liverpool’s last five league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Liverpool have scored two or more goals in eight of their 10 league games this season.
- Four of Aston Villa’s last five league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Both teams have scored in all five of Aston Villa’s away league games this season.
- Both teams have scored in four of the last five matches between these sides.
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Our Liverpool vs Aston Villa Prediction
Liverpool are enjoying a very impressive season, though they are developing a bit of a habit of starting matches slowly which has seen them concede the first goal in their last two league games.
Aston Villa, on the other hand, need a victory here to stay up with the chasing pack and will likely throw caution to the wind in an attempt to unsettle the league leaders. With the amount of attacking talent on display here, we are expecting goals at both ends in this one. Our Liverpool vs Aston Villa prediction: Both teams to score!
Liverpool vs Aston Villa - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5
Liverpool have scored two or more goals in eight of their 10 league games this season and seven of their last eight have gone over 2.5 goals in total. Additionally, all five of Aston Villa’s away league games this season have ended with three or more goals scored.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Liverpool Aston Villa
| Liverpool vs Aston Villa | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 1.57 | 1.45 | -7.6% |
| Draw | 5 | 4.75 | -5.0% |
| Aston Villa wins | 4.33 | 6.25 | +44.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Liverpool is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 63.7% and is now 69.0% (5.3%)
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Liverpool vs Aston Villa match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Liverpool and Aston Villa will be played on November 9 at 20:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Liverpool and Aston Villa will take place at Anfield in Liverpool.
The Premier League match between Liverpool and Aston Villa will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the Premier League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
David Coote will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Tim Wood, Craig Taylor and Samuel Allison as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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