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by Steve Ashfield in World Cup Predictions
Lithuania put up a brave fight in their opening match in World Cup qualifying Group G. They only lost 1-0 away in Poland and now host Finland who won their opening group match in Malta. Can the Tricolours get a home win? Here's our match prediction.
The other country in this group is yet to be determined. It'll be the losers of the Nations League quarter-final between Spain and Netherlands. Lithuania are yet to reach a World Cup Finals and the loss in Poland was their eighth successive defeat.
Not since June 2024 have they won a match, that was an away win in Latvia. Their last 15 home games have produced just one victory over Gibraltar 12 months ago. Nine of their last 12 matches has seen under 2.5 goals scored.
Finland got their campaign off to a winning start with a 1-0 win in Malta. That ended a run of six successive defeats and eight matches without a win. With Poland and either Spain or Netherlands to face next, they will want a win in Lithuania.
The Finns have gone six away World Cup qualifiers without a win. Each of their last three away fixtures have all seen under 2.5 goals scored. We go for that statistic to come up in this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lithuania v Finland Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.6 | 3 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.3 | 2.88 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.7 | 2.15 | 2.6 |
|
|
3.83 | 2.97 | 2.31 |
|
|
3.83 | 2.97 | 2.31 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lithuania and Finland?
Our prediction for the Lithuania vs Finland match is: under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/03/2025 between Lithuania and Finland in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.93% for a win of Lithuania against Finland with odds of 3.83 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lithuania vs Finland is 23.56% with odds of 3.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.51% chance ⭐ for a win of Finland vs Lithuania with odds of 2.6 at Ladbrokes.
Lithuania - Finland Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lithuania Finland Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lithuania wins | 38.93% | 3.83 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 51.98% | 2.02 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | 2.15 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lithuania | 16.42% | 8 at Unibet |
Lithuania vs Finland Form
Lithuania and Finland's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
|
3
|
1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 |
Lithuania and Finland Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup
26 Mar 2024 - UEFA Nations League
17 Oct 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup
21 Mar 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2023 - Euro
17 Oct 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
Lithuania against Finland Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
Lithuania
Finland
G. Gineitis
(1 Goals)
,
A. Kucys
(1 Goals)
O. Antman
(1 Goals)
,
J. Pohjanpalo
(1 Goals)
,
K. Kairinen
(1 Goals)
Lithuania - Finland Key Points
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in nine of Lithuania's last 12 matches.
- The last time these two countries met, the game ended 1-0.
- The last three Finland games have all seen under 2.5 goals scored in them.
- Three of Lithuania's last five home matches have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
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Our Lithuania vs Finland Prediction
Lithuania were beaten in their opening qualifier but now have two home matches against Finland and Malta. Their last seven games have all been lost (one by a penalty shootout) but they only ever lose by a single-goal margin with four matches having under 2.5 goals.
Finland had a narrow 1-0 win in Malta but are still unlikely to reach the play-offs. This could be a tight match and our Lithuania v Finland prediction is under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lithuania Finland
| Lithuania vs Finland | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lithuania wins | 3.9 | 3.6 | -7.7% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 3 | -3.2% |
| Finland wins | 2.05 | 2.3 | +12.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lithuania is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 25.6% and is now 27.8% (2.1%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Lithuania vs. Finland game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Lithuania and Finland? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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