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Lille vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Sridhar in Champions League Predictions
Lille could look to make the most of Mbappe-less Real Madrid as they aim for a first win in their 2024-25 Champions League campaign. This match at the Pierre Mauroy Stadium on Wednesday comes with our prediction of a win for the visitors.
A defeat on matchday one for Lille marked a poor start, which was part of a four-game losing sequence. They may have stopped that streak with a draw and win in their last two matches before this match, but Lille could be stretched in this encounter.
Real Madrid is a powerhouse in this competition, and they are likely to build on the 3-1 win over Stuttgart in their first match. Although Kylian Mbappe is likely to miss a starting role here, there's enough firepower in the visiting camp to brush the French hosts aside.
Can Lille bank on their weekend win and improve their fortunes in the Champions League? Or is it going to be another stroll in the park for Real Madrid, who always seem to reserve their best for this competition? Read more to find out.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lille v Real Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.25 | 4.1 | 1.6 |
|
|
4.8 | 2.8 | 1.8 |
|
|
5.71 | 4.43 | 1.63 |
|
|
5.71 | 4.43 | 1.63 |
|
|
5.75 | 4.2 | 1.59 |
|
|
5.25 | 4.16 | 1.61 |
|
|
5.25 | 4.16 | 1.61 |
|
|
5.6 | 4.4 | 1.58 |
|
|
5.5 | 4.26 | 1.57 |
|
|
5.6 | 4.4 | 1.57 |
|
|
5 | 4 | 1.65 |
|
|
5.25 | 3.9 | 1.7 |
|
|
4.75 | 3.6 | 1.75 |
|
|
4.2 | 3.83 | 1.91 |
|
|
4 | 3.6 | 1.88 |
|
|
4.6 | 3.85 | 1.78 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lille and Real Madrid?
Our prediction for the Lille vs Real Madrid match is: Real Madrid to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/10/2024 between Lille and Real Madrid in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.54% for a win of Lille against Real Madrid with odds of 5.75 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lille vs Real Madrid is 27.49% with odds of 4.43 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.97% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Madrid vs Lille with odds of 1.91 at Vbet.
Lille - Real Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lille Real Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 38.97% | 1.91 at Vbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.44% | 1.91 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 71.43% | |
| Half-time : Lille / Full-time : Real Madrid | 13.65% | 25 at Betsson |
Lille vs Real Madrid Form
Lille and Real Madrid's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
|
20
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
Lille and Real Madrid Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
21 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
13 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
28 Aug 2024 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
20 Aug 2024 - Champions League
6 Aug 2024 - Champions League
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
13 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
28 Aug 2024 - Champions League
17 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
13 Aug 2024 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
24 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
21 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
1 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
21 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
1 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
14 Aug 2024 - Uefa Super Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
14 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
29 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
18 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Lille - Real Madrid: Form Analysis
Lille came off a 3-0 win over Le Harve in Ligue 1 over the weekend, which followed a 3-3 draw against Strasbourg. This mini-sequence of games halted their four-game losing sequence between the end of August and mid-September.
That sequence also had them losing 2-0 to Sporting on matchday one. That game was marked by a red card to Angel Gomes, while Sporting scored once in each half to make it a comprehensive win. That marred their record in this competition, where they started in the third qualifying round, getting past Fenerbahce (3-2 on aggregate) before brushing Slavia Prague aside in the playoffs (3-2 on aggregate).
Madrid won only one of their last four Champions League visits to France.
That is an underwhelming record for a side that is a continental giant and has six wins and one draw in matches played away from home. The visitors are coming off a 1-1 draw against Atletico Madrid at the weekend, a derby marred by crowd trouble and a late equalizer they conceded.
That ended a run of five straight wins for Los Blancos, a sequence where they scored 14 goals and netted two goals at least in each of those games. That said, Madrid have struggled away from home this season. They drew three and won just once in their four competitive away matches so far, which could be a flicker of hope for Lille.
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Lille against Real Madrid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
S. Umtiti
MidfielderN. Bentaleb
E. Mbappe
A. Gomes
D. Alaba
Lille & Real Madrid Squad Analysis
It's a big list of absences that Lille is currently holding. Angel Gomes is out of this match with a red card and is suspended. There are as many as six other players who are out with injury concerns. Nabil Bentaleb, Hakon Arnar Haraldsson, Ismaily, Ethan Mbappe, Ngalayel Mukau, and Samuel Umtiti are out for different injury concerns.
That leaves the hosts light on personnel, but they can take comfort from the fact that Real have problems of their own. The visitors have seen their injury list grow in the recent weeks with Thibaut Courtois joining the treatment room, but the bigger news is the absence of Kylian Mbappe.
Mbappe could start from the bench for Real Madrid!
That's because the forward's return appears to be ahead of schedule. That aside, Madrid have other injury concerns to worry about as the likes of Brahim Díaz, Dani Ceballos, David Alaba, and Fran García are out of this contest.
All eyes in the Lille camp will be on Jonathan David, who has ten goals to his name in all competitions this season. That includes a hat-trick in their last game, and Madrid will be away from the forward.
While Mbappe's goals will be missed, Madrid will hope that Rodrygo and Vinicius Junior will go on to add to their tally of three goals each in this competitive campaign.
Most goals and assists
Lille
Real Madrid
J. David
(15 Goals)
V. Junior
(13 Goals)
M. Fernandez
(3 Assists)
, 
O. Sahraoui
(3 Assists)
V. Junior
(6 Assists)
Lille - Real Madrid Key Points
- Lille lost four of their last six matches in all competitions
- Lille conceded three goals each in their last two home matches
- Lille lost their last two Champions League matches
- Madrid won five of their last six matches, drawing the other
- Madrid have won their last three Champions League matches
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Our Lille vs Real Madrid Prediction
Lille halted their winless sequence around with a win at the weekend, but they are still a long way off the top. The French side hasn't quite impressed at home, and playing Real Madrid doesn't help things. Although the potential absence of Kylian Mbappe makes this tricky for the visitors, Real Madrid has enough in the tank to press forward and keep scoring. Our prediction for Lille v Real Madrid is a win for Real Madrid.
Lille vs Real Madrid - Other Interesting Predictions
Rodrygo to score a goal anytime
With Kylian Mbappe injured, Real Madrid will hope there’s something coming from Rodrygo. The stylish Brazilian forward has two goals from his last three matches and can be a threat for the French hosts here. Back him to score a goal.
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Lille vs Real Madrid match : Frequently asked questions
This Lille vs Real Madrid UEFA Champions League match is set to be broadcast live on TNT Sports 5 in the UK.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our UEFA Champions League Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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