France - Ligue 1
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Lille vs PSG Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
by Nella Wagah in Ligue 1 Predictions
After their triumphant run in the Champions League qualifiers, Lille will shift attention to Ligue 1. They are set to host champions PSG in the top match of the third round in the league. Read on for our prediction.
Lille are coming from a 2-1 defeat to Slavia Prague but they did enough to reach the league stage of the Champions League. Edon Zhegrova’s goal in Prague ensured Lille have scored in all their six matches so far.
This attacking threat will be key as they take on the champions. Lille rarely fail to score in this fixture even though PSG have lately been the dominant. While they scored in each of the last six meetings, Lille only avoided defeat once.
They have scored 10 times in their six matches but Lille will feel a bit short defensively. In the six outings they managed three clean sheets.
PSG have taken their place at the league summit very early. Two wins in two matches, with 10 goals scored means they edge Lille on goal difference. These two are among the four teams with perfect runs so far, but at least one will crumble this weekend.
PSG will be hoping theirs stays intact as they go into their first season without talisman Kylian Mbappe.
This corresponding fixture last season ended in a 1-1 draw, the only time PSG failed to beat Lille in six meetings. Les Parisiens will seek to avoid a repeat, and their strong start suggests the job ahead is doable.
PSG are coming from a 6-0 win against Montpellier, building on their earlier 4-1 victory at a stubborn Le Havre.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lille v PSG Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
81 | 7 | 1.1 |
|
|
4 | 2.62 | 2.05 |
|
|
151 | 9 | 1.07 |
|
|
151 | 9 | 1.07 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.8 | 1.9 |
|
|
4.4 | 3.94 | 1.74 |
|
|
4.4 | 3.94 | 1.74 |
|
|
100 | 8 | 1.08 |
|
|
4.04 | 3.82 | 1.84 |
|
|
4 | 3.9 | 1.86 |
|
|
81 | 23 | 1.03 |
|
|
81 | 9 | 1.06 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.75 | 1.89 |
|
|
4.33 | 3.75 | 1.75 |
|
|
4.25 | 3.95 | 1.78 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.7 | 1.88 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lille and PSG?
Our prediction for the Lille vs PSG match is: Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/09/2024 between Lille and PSG in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.89% for a win of Lille against PSG with odds of 151 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lille vs PSG is 23.91% with odds of 23 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.2% chance ⭐ for a win of PSG vs Lille with odds of 2.05 at Ladbrokes.
Lille - PSG Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lille PSG Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 46.2% | 2.05 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.27% | 2.11 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: PSG/PSG | 20.31% | 2.8 at Unibet |
Lille vs PSG Form
Lille and PSG's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
29 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 23 |
|
4
|
19 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
Lille and PSG Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Aug 2024 - Champions League
24 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
20 Aug 2024 - Champions League
17 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
13 Aug 2024 - Champions League
6 Aug 2024 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
20 Aug 2024 - Champions League
6 Aug 2024 - Champions League
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - Ligue 1
6 May 2024 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Aug 2024 - Champions League
17 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
13 Aug 2024 - Champions League
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2024 - French Cup
19 May 2024 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
12 May 2024 - Ligue 1
7 May 2024 - Champions League
27 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
21 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Apr 2024 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2024 - French Cup
19 May 2024 - Ligue 1
15 May 2024 - Ligue 1
Lille vs PSG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
19 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
21 Aug 2022 - Ligue 1
6 Feb 2022 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2021 - Ligue 1
Lille against PSG Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
S. Umtiti
R. Fernandes
MidfielderN. Bentaleb
E. Mbappe
A. Gomes
L. Hernandez
P. Kimpembe
N. Mendes
ForwardG. Ramos
Most goals and assists
Lille
PSG
J. David
(11 Goals)
B. Barcola
(10 Goals)
O. Sahraoui
(3 Assists)
O. Dembele
(6 Assists)
Lille - PSG Key Points
- Both teams scored in the last six meetings between PSG and Lille.
- Five of the last six meetings between these teams had over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in three of Lille’s first six matches of the season.
- PSG’s two matches so far this season have seen 11 goals scored.
- In three of PSG’s last five league matches both teams scored.
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Our Lille vs PSG Prediction
This match will be the pick of the weekend and it will definitely be action-packed, looking at the teams’ performances this season. Lille would feel sharper, having played six matches already but PSG have the quality even after Kylian Mbappe’s departure.
We are assured of goals in this fixture, as both teams parade top attacking talent. Like it has been in a large part of the teams’ recent meetings, this is likely to be high-scoring. Our prediction for Lille v PSG is for both teams to score and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lille PSG
| Lille vs PSG | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 3.75 | 81 | +2,060.0% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 7 | +100.0% |
| PSG wins | 1.95 | 1.1 | -43.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 43.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 51.3% and is now 90.9% (39.6%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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