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Lille vs Montpellier Hsc Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Lille will be returning home to host bottom placed Montpellier in Ligue 1 after two tough away matches. Heading into this match the hosts are sitting just below the Champions League positions. Below we have the preview and a prediction for this match.
Lille are returning from a brave showing in the Champions League, drawing 1-1 away to Borussia Dortmund. Before that they had suffered a 4-1 defeat at PSG and Les Dogues will be keen on rising again here.
Their third loss in six league games left them five points off the top three. However, in their 12 Ligue 1 home matches this season, Lille only lost twice.
Montpellier’s fate seems to be facing towards dropping to Ligue 2 rather than staying up. A porous defence and blunt attack are combining to make things even harder for La Paillade.
The past five matches have particularly been tough for Jean Louis Gasset’s side. The team conceded at least twice in each of those matches yet scored just once.
In the most recent outing, Montpellier suffered a 4-0 home loss to Rennes. Going into their 13th away match of the season in all competitions, Montpellier managed just one win. In nine of the earlier 12, they failed to score.
The visitors conceded less than two on only four occasions in their 12 away matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lille v Montpellier Hsc Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.4 | 4.75 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.36 | 5 | 8 |
|
|
1.65 | 3 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.45 | 5.1 | 7.8 |
|
|
1.45 | 5.1 | 7.8 |
|
|
1.41 | 4.9 | 7.25 |
|
|
1.38 | 5 | 7.6 |
|
|
1.38 | 5 | 7.6 |
|
|
1.41 | 5.2 | 7.4 |
|
|
1.38 | 5 | 7.6 |
|
|
1.41 | 5 | 7.4 |
|
|
1.42 | 5.1 | 7.4 |
|
|
1.4 | 5 | 7 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.1 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.39 | 4.9 | 7.8 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.75 | 7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lille and Montpellier Hsc?
Our prediction for the Lille vs Montpellier Hsc match is: Lille to win with a clean sheet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/03/2025 between Lille and Montpellier Hsc in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 70.9% for a win of Lille against Montpellier Hsc with odds of 1.65 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lille vs Montpellier Hsc is 14.87% with odds of 5.2 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.24% chance ⭐ for a win of Montpellier Hsc vs Lille with odds of 8.5 at Unibet.
Lille vs Montpellier Hsc Form
Lille and Montpellier Hsc's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
41 | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
|
18
|
15 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | -37 |
Lille and Montpellier Hsc Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2025 - French Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2025 - French Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
17 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
14 Jan 2025 - French Cup
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2024 - French Cup
8 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
Lille vs Montpellier Hsc Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Sep 2023 - Ligue 1
16 Apr 2023 - Ligue 1
4 Sep 2022 - Ligue 1
12 Feb 2022 - Ligue 1
Lille vs Montpellier Hsc last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Missing players
S. Umtiti
T. Santos
ForwardE. Zhegrova
C. Jullien
N. Maksimovic
I. Sylla
B. Omeragic
MidfielderS. Dzodic
T. Coulibaly
ForwardA. Gueguin
Y. Issoufou
O. Maamma
G. Ngosso
Most goals and assists
Lille
Montpellier Hsc
J. David
(19 Goals)
A. Nordin
(4 Goals)
J. David
(5 Assists)
T. Savanier
(4 Assists)
Lille and Montpellier Hsc Stats in Ligue 1
Lille - Montpellier Hsc Key Points
- Lille kept two clean sheets in the last three matches against Montpellier.
- Lille have three wins in their last four home league matches.
- In the last 13 meetings with Montpellier, Lille are unbeaten.
- Montpellier scored one goal in their last five matches.
- Montpellier lost eight of their last 10 matches.
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Our Lille vs Montpellier Hsc Prediction
Lille’s Ligue 1 ambitions have been slowed by their recent results. However, returning home to host the weakest side in the league should offer a lift. As they still have a Champions League home game to think of, there could be some distraction but we don’t expect much from Montpellier.
The visitors are winless in this fixture in the last 13 meetings and given their poor run in attack, they could struggle here again. Our prediction for Lille v Montpellier is for Lille to win with a clean sheet.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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